Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$357
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$3.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$528
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% +$1,194
Sports
20% 0% $-532
Other
17% 50% $-664
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Yes -3,962 $-722 $-218 +$504 05-07 12:41
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +84 $10 100¢ $84 +$74 05-13 10:38
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +417 $150 19¢ $79 $-71 05-12 16:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? Yes +11,748 $115 $65 $-51 05-12 06:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +220 $69 16¢ $36 $-33 05-07 07:43
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? Yes -785 $-17 $-21 $-4 05-14 04:20
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +19,048 $252 $19 $-233 05-11 10:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -1,176 $-176 $-6 +$170 05-10 06:57