Yellowish-Sloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,945

lifetime

Volume

$251.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-20 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

81% 50% +$2,783

Other

12% 12% $-605

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$476

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 6	58	$19.8K	12,682	12,682	+0	open	—	03-09 08:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	52	$17.9K	22,319	22,319	+0	open	—	05-17 05:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	61	$10.1K	4,279,468	2,630,193	+1,649,275	Yes	+$3,084	05-09 19:25
will iran strike israel on march 5	18	$9.5K	5,353	5,353	+0	open	—	03-05 14:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	22	$8.8K	10,266	10,266	+0	open	—	04-28 04:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$8.0K	7,964	4,358	+3,606	open	—	03-07 17:58
will iran strike israel on march 3	26	$7.2K	10,978	5,978	+5,000	open	—	03-06 10:47
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$7.1K	3,563	3,563	+0	open	—	03-03 04:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$6.3K	17,770	17,770	+0	open	—	06-02 20:47
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	36	$5.1K	6,854	6,940	-86	open	—	05-28 17:59
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	44	$4.1K	13,558	13,558	+0	open	—	04-23 18:29
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	9	$3.7K	2,701	2,701	+0	open	—	04-08 23:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	46	$3.7K	7,386	7,386	+0	open	—	05-27 11:57
will iran strike israel on march 2	9	$3.5K	3,951	420	+3,531	open	—	03-02 18:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	14	$3.5K	6,329	3,720	+2,609	open	—	06-14 19:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	23	$3.4K	6,727	6,727	+0	open	—	05-28 14:41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	43	$3.2K	22,448	5,706	+16,742	open	—	06-20 17:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	52	$3.0K	49,066	49,066	+0	open	—	05-26 14:30
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	8	$3.0K	2,472	2,472	+0	open	—	05-19 18:26
will iran strike israel on march 4	18	$2.8K	29,590	29,590	+0	open	—	03-06 19:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.7K	4,255	4,255	+0	open	—	05-30 18:20
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	24	$2.5K	4,842	4,842	+0	open	—	05-29 16:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	14	$2.2K	7,038	7,038	+0	open	—	05-24 04:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	41	$2.2K	14,103	14,103	+0	open	—	07-02 22:27
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	15	$2.2K	2,069	2,069	+0	open	—	04-03 07:48
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	14	$2.1K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	06-02 03:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	56	$2.1K	7,578	7,872	-294	open	—	03-27 11:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	11	$2.0K	5,788	5,788	+0	No	$-349	05-06 03:47
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	35	$2.0K	2,866	2,866	+0	open	—	05-19 14:48
will iran strike israel on march 10	64	$2.0K	97,690	28,690	+69,000	open	—	03-17 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:36:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf88aa7…
07-20 15:35:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8e08d0…
07-20 15:35:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0deb1a…
07-20 15:35:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6695fa…
07-20 15:35:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfb898e…
07-20 15:15:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	370	67¢	$248	0xccf63d…
07-20 15:05:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	370	62¢	$230	0x24ab99…
07-20 14:59:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x03fe07…
07-20 14:04:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	394	67¢	$266	0xe01f72…
07-20 13:06:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	394	27¢	$106	0xe71e7e…
07-20 11:31:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	108	29¢	$31	0xc1505f…
07-20 11:30:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	254	29¢	$74	0x2c5b10…
07-19 20:38:40	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x87600d…
07-19 20:25:30	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xc8daa7…
07-19 20:20:28	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	696	4¢	$31	0x9b3915…
07-19 20:19:37	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	445	7¢	$31	0x34e43c…
07-19 20:14:18	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	436	5¢	$22	0xa81ae1…
07-19 20:14:12	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc8deb5…
07-19 20:14:12	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa34b20…
07-19 20:14:12	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3a4d10…
07-19 19:54:31	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	477	1¢	$4	0x368b3a…
07-19 17:29:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	723	6¢	$43	0xede25e…
07-19 10:49:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x33a195…
07-19 10:49:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x39d4c0…
07-19 10:49:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x55b6c1…
07-19 10:48:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6294f6…
07-19 10:48:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x121f41…
07-19 08:02:03	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	274	21¢	$58	0x8f9d03…
07-19 07:59:43	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x0d5237…
07-19 07:55:37	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x4cc62b…
07-19 06:11:46	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	393	19¢	$76	0xbb509f…
07-13 20:15:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	300	10¢	$31	0xa752cf…
07-13 20:10:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	300	10¢	$31	0xd4a325…
07-13 15:24:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	451	35¢	$159	0x571505…
07-13 14:56:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe56d68…
07-13 14:51:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	445	46¢	$203	0xd9bc18…
07-11 18:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	1,311	29¢	$380	0xc97b11…
07-11 09:49:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	458	31¢	$142	0xe169e7…
07-10 20:17:05	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0x4b5782…
07-10 19:14:58	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	170	49¢	$84	0x940b50…
07-10 19:13:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x446c97…
07-10 08:08:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	283	4¢	$13	0xeeef85…
07-08 21:10:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	283	4¢	$10	0x231405…
07-07 17:59:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	326	3¢	$10	0x7b9916…
07-07 17:32:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	326	7¢	$23	0xdb6792…
07-07 16:56:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xff66f3…
07-07 16:16:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	249	23¢	$57	0xe085c4…
07-07 15:55:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	249	48¢	$119	0xe0fffe…
07-07 15:53:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	773	16¢	$124	0x414389…
07-07 09:11:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,215	16¢	$194	0x1db2e7…
07-07 09:04:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	558	16¢	$89	0xb2826d…
07-07 07:04:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	442	21¢	$93	0x5227dd…
07-07 06:52:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	170	22¢	$38	0xe3e84f…
07-07 06:51:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf5de01…
07-07 06:51:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	266	22¢	$59	0xb854bd…
07-04 18:20:17	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	231	26¢	$60	0x9d52c9…
07-04 17:12:17	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	231	22¢	$51	0x22ced5…
07-02 22:27:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	443	1¢	$4	0x862b23…
07-02 22:18:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	602	1¢	$6	0x3f056f…
07-02 22:16:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf545e1…
07-02 22:15:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x45799a…
07-02 22:14:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x893c25…
07-02 22:13:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,350	1¢	$14	0x96f579…
07-02 21:43:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc5b43e…
07-02 17:03:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	845	2¢	$18	0x6bbddb…
07-02 17:03:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xce65f0…
07-02 16:10:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	281	2¢	$6	0xe5c599…
07-02 16:05:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,588	2¢	$33	0xad2c92…
07-02 10:46:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$71	0x4da265…
07-01 15:56:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,000	5¢	$196	0xa60441…
07-01 15:25:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$31	0xbbd50b…
07-01 15:23:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$19	0x7b6148…
07-01 06:17:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,880	1¢	$26	0x042af3…
07-01 05:54:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$2	0x82e224…
07-01 05:05:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x9ec49b…
07-01 05:04:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	315	2¢	$7	0xeeaf33…
07-01 05:01:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	385	2¢	$8	0x55b75f…
06-30 17:52:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	406	20¢	$79	0x017473…
06-30 17:49:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	470	19¢	$92	0x54cf1e…
06-30 17:13:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	101	18¢	$18	0xa6ab4f…
06-30 16:43:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,348	18¢	$243	0xe206a6…
06-30 16:42:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x81112c…
06-30 16:42:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xaf8fd4…
06-30 16:42:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x9ee286…
06-30 16:42:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x8bfd70…
06-30 16:42:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x486199…
06-30 16:42:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x3662eb…
06-30 16:42:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	604	18¢	$109	0x90c8f0…
06-30 16:30:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,954	12¢	$486	0xcf45fa…
06-30 11:00:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	517	5¢	$26	0x2f9f63…
06-30 11:00:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	517	3¢	$18	0xc9d2da…
06-29 22:15:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,009	35¢	$353	0x612140…
06-29 21:00:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x741f8a…
06-29 20:49:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	142	34¢	$49	0x42e835…
06-29 20:39:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	117	34¢	$39	0xd48a06…
06-29 20:19:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x37f519…
06-29 16:16:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,146	14¢	$163	0x905b4f…
06-29 12:15:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	273	14¢	$37	0x3364ea…
06-27 09:09:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,562	2¢	$43	0xcae4a8…
06-26 11:22:20	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,317	4¢	$57	0x926723…