Cautious-Pence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$527

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

604

Trades

1,314

lifetime

Volume

$8.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 06-17 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% -$295

Other

3% 25% -$232

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	1	$197	318	0	+318	No	-$197	06-15 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	145	$134	865	801	+64	Up	-$12	06-02 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	7	$129	74	74	+0	Down	+$18	06-02 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$83	46	46	+0	Down	+$8	06-03 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:55 UTC	2	$77	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	06-16 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	2	$71	45	45	+0	Down	-$9	06-16 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	5	$71	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	06-16 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:30 UTC	2	$70	40	40	+0	Down	+$10	06-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$67	42	42	+0	Down	-$8	06-16 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$65	121	0	+121	Down	-$65	06-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	6	$65	65	7	+58	Up	+$7	06-02 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	5	$64	36	36	+0	Down	+$7	06-15 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:35 UTC	2	$63	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	06-16 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$63	39	39	+0	Down	-$7	06-15 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	06-14 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:30 UTC	2	$62	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	06-16 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$62	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	06-10 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	2	$61	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$59	61	61	+0	Down	-$37	06-03 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$58	31	31	+0	Down	+$3	06-15 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$58	39	39	+0	Up	-$2	06-15 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	2	$56	36	36	+0	Down	-$8	06-10 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$55	38	33	+4	Up	-$13	06-15 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	2	$55	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	06-10 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:30 UTC	5	$54	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	06-11 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:20 UTC	2	$52	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	06-08 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	5	$52	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	06-15 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:50 UTC	3	$51	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:30 UTC	2	$51	35	35	+0	Down	-$10	06-15 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	9	$50	135	0	+135	Down	-$50	06-02 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 02:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc2f7ee…
06-17 01:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1e41cf…
06-17 01:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xf4c47c…
06-17 01:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xfffd82…
06-17 01:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x444c0a…
06-16 23:58:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xfa0161…
06-16 13:32:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xbf2351…
06-16 11:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd13424…
06-16 11:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0xe52b68…
06-16 10:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x082ed1…
06-16 10:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x33f6a0…
06-16 10:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4faff4…
06-16 10:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7a48c5…
06-16 09:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x602ef1…
06-16 09:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbe256a…
06-16 09:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f26d4…
06-16 09:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xf161a3…
06-16 09:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x133fe7…
06-16 09:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x81c348…
06-16 09:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x27144b…
06-16 09:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xbee03c…
06-16 09:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x757d61…
06-16 09:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x328b1a…
06-16 09:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6eb211…
06-16 09:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x22618d…
06-16 08:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xad58e2…
06-16 08:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x383156…
06-16 08:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x846657…
06-16 08:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x05ea6b…
06-16 07:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfd992…
06-16 07:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1ab6de…
06-16 07:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x7b852e…
06-16 07:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x17641e…
06-16 07:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x025b1e…
06-16 06:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb7dea4…
06-16 06:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x48a1f3…
06-16 06:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaeb8b4…
06-16 06:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea89b3…
06-16 06:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3eae6e…
06-16 06:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6b65d1…
06-16 06:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x58e493…
06-16 05:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0xd2155b…
06-16 05:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x5759b1…
06-16 05:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x50c66c…
06-16 05:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x2bdd31…
06-16 05:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	45	69¢	$31	0x003237…
06-16 05:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xdbf691…
06-16 02:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd42a35…
06-16 02:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0xb52396…
06-16 02:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76d2f1…
06-16 02:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c37f0…
06-16 02:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2b0cef…
06-16 02:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x39c9f4…
06-16 02:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	89¢	$33	0x811dce…
06-16 02:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x64d9db…
06-16 02:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xdb133e…
06-16 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x8a0211…
06-16 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	89¢	$38	0x6763c8…
06-15 14:02:21	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	318	62¢	$197	0x674c81…
06-15 13:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xb598c5…
06-15 13:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$14	0xfc3890…
06-15 13:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8231b0…
06-15 13:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xe86d1b…
06-15 13:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xa9e819…
06-15 13:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7c32a9…
06-15 13:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x915e61…
06-15 13:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xcf8fc4…
06-15 13:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xa8db4f…
06-15 13:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0x73e9c9…
06-15 13:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xedd543…
06-15 13:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x0c8216…
06-15 13:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x7dc33d…
06-15 13:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x328a60…
06-15 12:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	35	59¢	$20	0x655ece…
06-15 12:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x306de5…
06-15 11:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x1ca3af…
06-15 11:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	89¢	$27	0x80fd1d…
06-15 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0x6cf6ae…
06-15 11:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xe8076b…
06-15 11:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89f788…
06-15 11:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6b57dc…
06-15 11:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfdbf88…
06-15 11:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x435316…
06-15 11:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x1ea4fa…
06-15 11:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0312b6…
06-15 11:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4e5cb…
06-15 11:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a267d…
06-15 11:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x61f57c…
06-15 11:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$22	0xabd7ca…
06-15 02:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x46d1f2…
06-15 02:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x53ca27…
06-15 01:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0x0dbdb6…
06-15 01:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xb7051f…
06-15 01:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0d77a5…
06-15 01:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xe7b847…
06-15 00:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	70¢	$28	0x68fa47…
06-15 00:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x552624…
06-15 00:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x3cd8bf…
06-15 00:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xe619d4…
06-14 14:49:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Curaçao	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x315057…