Realized P&L (90d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
12
12 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$66
$66 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$31
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85% 0% $-4
Tech
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Yes +21 $7 57¢ $12 +$5 05-08 10:00
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes +20 $10 32¢ $7 $-4 05-08 10:00
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026? Yes +10 $4 35¢ $4 +$0 05-14 05:31
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026? Yes +10 $3 24¢ $3 $-0 05-14 05:31
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 05-14 05:31
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 05-08 10:00
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026? Yes +10 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 05-14 05:31
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-1 05-08 10:00