Fluid-Condor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

482

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$9.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-29 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

93% 62% -$212

Politics

5% 20% -$454

Sports

1% 40% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ		+16	$10	82¢	$13	+$3	10-29 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$374	556	0	+556	No	-$374	10-25 22:12
cs2 lgc ts7 2026 08 22	3	$115	66	66	+0	Spirit	+$16	08-22 20:03
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	8	$104	227	19	+209	England	+$62	07-06 03:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 4pt5	5	$87	68	46	+22	France	+$5	07-18 21:57
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	4	$86	113	0	+113	Argentina	+$27	07-04 00:28
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$81	101	35	+67	Spain	-$40	07-12 04:04
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?	3	$75	43	43	+0	No	+$11	05-24 00:01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	3	$72	42	42	+0	Yes	+$12	05-23 20:05
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-09-14?	4	$70	117	28	+89	No	+$11	09-14 17:35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?	3	$60	55	27	+27	Yes	-$20	05-24 07:18
cs2 prv 100t 2026 08 14	3	$56	36	36	+0	PARIVISION	+$16	08-14 19:46
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$56	138	0	+138	Spain	-$56	07-19 01:34
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?	2	$54	34	34	+0	No	+$14	10-27 01:04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	3	$53	33	33	+0	Yes	+$13	09-12 21:08
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-24?	2	$53	33	33	+0	No	+$13	05-24 21:48
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-22?	3	$52	33	33	+0	No	+$13	07-23 00:28
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$52	121	0	+121	Spurs	-$52	05-24 21:49
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-06?	4	$50	69	0	+69	No	+$19	09-06 21:56
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-17?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$9	10-18 02:33
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-02?	4	$49	38	38	+0	No	+$9	10-03 01:57
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)	2	$49	29	29	+0	CA Mineiro	+$9	10-27 01:03
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-09-11?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$9	09-12 04:23
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-09-19?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$9	09-20 03:05
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-09-20?	3	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$8	09-20 15:26
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	12	$48	758	191	+567	No	-$21	10-01 16:17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$47	84	0	+84	Yes	+$37	06-29 13:41
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?	3	$45	71	0	+71	No	-$45	05-24 20:14
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	3	$45	66	0	+66	Yes	+$21	07-23 00:53
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?	3	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	07-23 00:52
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-26?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	08-27 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:04:07	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x27f27e…
10-29 03:03:55	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xf3c8d3…
10-29 03:03:43	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x832604…
10-29 02:59:13	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x99d657…
10-29 02:58:49	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xcd837a…
10-28 20:06:04	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7fc82a…
10-28 20:02:53	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x22d580…
10-28 18:11:17	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xb000d2…
10-28 15:55:08	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x7cbb7b…
10-28 15:54:41	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x746623…
10-28 15:53:49	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x9f85e0…
10-28 15:53:22	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa7e305…
10-28 12:12:40	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfd6018…
10-28 12:11:47	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x020183…
10-27 01:13:03	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	FaZe	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7c6842…
10-27 01:05:30	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x7ed872…
10-27 01:04:44	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x291f18…
10-27 01:04:05	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb1261d…
10-27 01:03:54	Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)	CA Mineiro	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd8a683…
10-26 21:57:39	Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)	CA Mineiro	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x703181…
10-26 21:57:11	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdc7483…
10-25 22:12:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x1f0297…
10-25 22:12:14	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xac223c…
10-25 22:10:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xc2f0bb…
10-25 22:09:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xa38e4b…
10-25 20:47:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0xa89a01…
10-25 20:24:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	105	72¢	$76	0x525a32…
10-25 16:40:56	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x75de71…
10-25 16:40:26	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8efd8a…
10-25 15:15:18	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xcc5900…
10-25 15:13:15	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x19b6c6…
10-25 04:12:00	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xd0ea93…
10-25 00:06:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x40ef27…
10-24 03:39:33	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	Imperial	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xee743d…
10-24 03:37:48	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	paiN	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6c077c…
10-24 03:36:51	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6d5d40…
10-24 03:36:38	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd6b278…
10-24 03:35:54	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc7756f…
10-24 03:35:11	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5ce7da…
10-24 03:34:54	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x073002…
10-24 03:32:17	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd1587d…
10-24 03:31:14	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa14cc3…
10-24 03:30:57	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc4df91…
10-24 03:30:23	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa61998…
10-24 03:29:33	Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf89a38…
10-24 03:29:12	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4813eb…
10-24 03:28:17	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x510703…
10-24 03:27:45	Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)	Botafogo FR	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd2a719…
10-24 03:27:24	Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)	Botafogo FR	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7698cc…
10-24 03:26:53	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf06c35…
10-24 03:26:24	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9202fe…
10-24 03:25:47	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2f6d20…
10-24 03:23:56	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x27fe9a…
10-24 03:23:21	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf5811d…
10-24 03:22:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe6ded6…
10-24 03:22:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3ea347…
10-24 03:19:59	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3a15bf…
10-24 03:16:36	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6a4b2d…
10-23 03:51:38	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6e4b80…
10-23 03:51:05	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xaa31e0…
10-23 03:50:20	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x48d547…
10-23 03:49:27	Will Randers FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x02afec…
10-23 03:48:24	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xca93e5…
10-21 22:37:11	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcac518…
10-21 22:33:47	Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xab8058…
10-21 22:33:09	Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x492005…
10-21 22:31:57	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9c4fcf…
10-21 22:31:23	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xaca876…
10-21 22:30:47	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1e8c0e…
10-21 22:28:45	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x31ca47…
10-21 22:28:32	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8685d1…
10-21 03:35:42	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x293b66…
10-21 03:35:06	Counter-Strike: paiN vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A	paiN	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x36cbea…
10-21 03:34:38	Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7939f3…
10-21 03:34:21	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	BC.Game Esports	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf824db…
10-21 03:33:56	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbf1b1a…
10-21 03:33:41	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Heroic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x688bcb…
10-21 03:33:23	Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	TheMongolz	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x52b1e2…
10-21 03:01:17	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc33e62…
10-21 02:59:30	Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x040518…
10-21 02:57:17	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9f4ef0…
10-21 02:56:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0fbf5c…
10-21 02:56:21	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7e2a45…
10-21 02:56:09	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1891c0…
10-20 20:10:59	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf8cd24…
10-20 01:59:18	Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3e03c6…
10-20 01:53:06	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd0fd6d…
10-20 01:51:14	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc68746…
10-20 01:45:30	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc80d8d…
10-20 01:44:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1223b5…
10-20 01:43:21	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2f717f…
10-19 01:24:44	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x382e6c…
10-18 02:56:17	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x3d0e8f…
10-18 02:52:32	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5b9fa5…
10-18 02:50:45	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xafb103…
10-18 02:49:56	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1898a5…
10-18 02:49:38	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb26434…
10-18 02:48:54	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7c2aac…
10-18 02:48:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe40295…
10-18 02:47:09	Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2fc241…