Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$136

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 33% $-38

Politics

30% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	+70	$47	88¢	$61	+$15	06-11 12:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	-200	$-60	26¢	$-51	+$9	06-01 08:39
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+100	$28	24¢	$24	$-4	06-11 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	7	$434	366	366	+0	open	—	02-22 13:53
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$432	200	250	-50	open	—	03-08 16:56
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	4	$430	250	250	+0	open	—	03-12 16:30
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	17	$429	300	300	+0	open	—	04-01 12:08
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	5	$413	457	443	+15	open	—	01-18 16:01
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	4	$412	250	250	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	19	$393	274	250	+24	open	—	03-28 12:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	6	$380	250	250	+0	open	—	06-01 14:48
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	11	$378	257	223	+34	open	—	02-12 14:35
x banned in uk by march 31	2	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 14:21
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	4	$352	213	213	+0	open	—	01-05 21:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	9	$344	203	197	+6	open	—	03-20 14:05
will abracadabra lady gaga win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	20	$344	750	0	+750	open	—	02-02 03:10
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	5	$342	300	500	-200	open	—	01-17 15:13
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	6	$338	220	220	+0	open	—	06-05 14:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	11	$328	200	250	-50	open	—	06-03 16:23
will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	6	$317	200	200	+0	open	—	02-16 17:50
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	9	$316	252	248	+4	open	—	02-27 12:58
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	8	$286	100	200	-100	open	—	02-16 21:08
will seth rogen the studio win best actor television musical or comedy at the 83rd golden globes	6	$279	300	100	+200	open	—	01-05 21:16
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	2	$274	100	200	-100	open	—	02-24 15:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	10	$267	246	146	+100	open	—	01-27 11:18
will israel or the us target tehran	6	$262	261	261	+0	open	—	01-19 15:04
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 14:55
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	7	$236	238	238	+0	open	—	04-11 03:26
penguin listed on binance by march 31	2	$227	100	220	-120	open	—	01-27 08:51
will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	6	$224	238	30	+208	open	—	02-17 00:53
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$216	145	145	+0	open	—	01-27 12:26
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	12	$214	150	300	-150	open	—	03-04 10:20
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 100 119	10	$206	429	43	+386	open	—	02-27 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:34:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	67	68¢	$46	0x67c4fb…
06-11 12:30:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x9a8647…
06-11 12:20:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xd8d934…
06-11 11:32:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x573f4a…
06-11 11:32:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0xff8473…
06-11 11:32:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x5bc5df…
06-11 09:57:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2b997d…
06-11 09:57:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x3173fa…
06-11 09:55:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x452bc5…
06-11 09:38:33	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xd3d8c7…
06-11 09:38:22	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xaba80f…
06-11 09:38:07	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x4606c7…
06-11 09:33:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2fcd90…
06-10 14:52:33	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xc1840e…
06-10 14:24:45	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x68f3e7…
06-10 14:05:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x6a2d61…
06-10 14:04:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xae7d3d…
06-05 14:13:43	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x06546e…
06-05 12:56:03	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	150	61¢	$92	0xf9415c…
06-04 13:33:40	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x6dc276…
06-03 20:22:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0x6baf24…
06-03 19:35:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0xe7c97a…
06-03 16:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x036037…
06-03 16:15:33	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x157c9c…
06-03 16:15:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xbc3412…
06-03 15:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0x2dca49…
06-03 15:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x199c9b…
06-03 15:08:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x928eca…
06-03 15:05:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	117	72¢	$84	0x503f9e…
06-03 13:30:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xc67594…
06-03 13:26:44	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	101	11¢	$11	0x3bde9e…
06-03 13:26:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	49	11¢	$6	0x10aa0b…
06-03 13:25:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x1f3fd4…
06-03 13:22:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x357477…
06-03 13:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0xba599a…
06-03 13:22:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x52f0a9…
06-03 13:13:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xee2d82…
06-03 13:13:54	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x1c119a…
06-03 13:13:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x6054c3…
06-03 13:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x92a4c9…
06-03 13:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbba8c8…
06-03 13:08:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b1d6c…
06-03 13:08:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa5b489…
06-03 13:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ea17a…
06-03 13:06:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0477f6…
06-03 13:06:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf74f02…
06-03 13:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd87bb3…
06-03 13:04:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf7efdd…
06-03 13:04:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc91c62…
06-03 13:04:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x24ec81…
06-03 13:03:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbc2587…
06-03 13:02:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x198a18…
06-03 13:02:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfd1fe7…
06-03 12:59:31	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x991a6e…
06-03 12:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa521d6…
06-03 11:54:29	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb71f29…
06-03 11:16:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xdc9876…
06-02 07:40:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0xc1c7c9…
06-02 07:06:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfdf005…
06-02 07:05:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xedba00…
06-02 01:48:21	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x355ff9…
06-02 01:48:19	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x5633b1…
06-01 14:48:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x8968df…
06-01 14:43:25	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x4a18ff…
06-01 13:09:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	84	73¢	$61	0x892922…
06-01 13:08:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x68f688…
06-01 13:02:54	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3d4e75…
06-01 12:30:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xa8ba52…
06-01 12:27:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1d8ce1…
06-01 12:27:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe9d6bd…
06-01 12:27:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0xb1333d…
06-01 12:24:22	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	177	78¢	$138	0x2f180e…
06-01 12:22:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x41c1ec…
06-01 12:21:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xb4d81a…
06-01 12:21:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x8941aa…
06-01 12:18:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xa7c635…
06-01 12:17:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb4b7f5…
06-01 12:17:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8805ca…
06-01 08:39:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x05958d…
06-01 08:33:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xaa2e3c…
06-01 08:33:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xbc0396…
06-01 08:32:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xebfda1…
06-01 08:29:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x648951…
06-01 08:23:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x35c657…
06-01 08:21:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1afe5b…
06-01 08:12:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0xc09b31…
06-01 08:09:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xf3e6d6…
06-01 08:07:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x938e77…
05-31 19:23:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x15423b…
05-31 17:13:15	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0xe1743b…
05-31 15:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xa197a2…
05-31 15:53:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xa2f6db…
05-31 15:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0xb4d478…
05-31 15:38:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x9cd1db…
05-31 14:31:26	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x4a4e3c…
05-31 14:30:51	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xd6adf6…
05-31 14:30:49	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1d3212…
05-31 14:16:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x4302be…
05-31 13:59:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x8c651b…
05-25 16:33:14	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	10¢	$22	0x841d38…