Average-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

262 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.84K

$25.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$135

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 11-11 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

99% 99% +$27

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 10?	No		+135	$135	100¢	$135	+$0	11-11 03:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7?	1	$352	352	+352	No	+$0	08-07 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?	1	$351	352	+352	No	+$1	08-03 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?	1	$351	351	+351	No	+$0	08-02 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 31?	1	$350	351	+351	No	+$0	07-31 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	1	$349	350	+350	No	+$0	07-29 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on July 4?	1	$349	349	+349	No	+$0	07-03 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 3?	1	$347	348	+348	No	+$0	07-03 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	2	$347	347	+347	No	+$0	07-04 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 5?	1	$346	347	+347	No	+$0	07-05 10:57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on June 30?	1	$346	346	+346	No	+$0	06-30 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 30?	1	$345	346	+346	No	+$0	06-30 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on June 26?	1	$345	345	+345	No	+$0	06-25 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29?	1	$345	345	+345	No	+$0	06-29 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?	1	$345	345	+345	No	+$0	06-24 23:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 24?	1	$344	344	+344	No	+$0	06-24 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	1	$342	343	+343	No	+$0	06-23 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 27?	1	$342	342	+342	No	+$0	06-27 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 21?	1	$342	342	+342	No	+$0	06-20 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15?	1	$342	342	+342	No	+$0	06-15 18:39
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 21?	1	$341	342	+342	No	+$0	06-21 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on June 22?	1	$341	342	+342	No	+$1	06-22 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?	1	$340	340	+340	No	+$0	06-14 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?	1	$340	340	+340	No	+$0	06-19 03:25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 9?	1	$337	338	+338	No	+$0	06-09 17:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	1	$337	337	+337	No	+$0	05-25 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 17?	1	$336	336	+336	No	+$0	05-17 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 27?	1	$336	336	+336	No	+$0	05-27 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 28?	1	$332	333	+333	No	+$0	05-28 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 4?	1	$331	332	+332	No	+$0	06-04 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	1	$325	325	+325	No	+$0	06-10 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 03:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 10?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xbc287a…
11-08 17:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on November 9?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4ac86f…
11-08 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 8?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x060bbf…
11-08 07:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on November 8?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xd08651…
11-06 17:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 7?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x6cf204…
11-05 21:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 6?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8cca43…
11-05 16:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x65591f…
11-05 09:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 5?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x248985…
11-03 21:16:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 3?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x85a8f4…
11-03 17:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x613f95…
11-03 17:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9bab2d…
11-03 11:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 3?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xc26d63…
11-02 19:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2f1e41…
11-02 16:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x623bdb…
11-02 00:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6492a8…
11-01 20:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 1?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4ca0e2…
11-01 20:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x27c25d…
11-01 15:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4cfc8a…
10-31 18:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3b4fa9…
10-31 17:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x16fca4…
10-31 17:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf26eed…
10-31 09:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 31?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x326775…
10-30 17:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb4089e…
10-30 16:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb02067…
10-29 13:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x16feb1…
10-28 21:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab3ec3…
10-28 20:12:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xee6d21…
10-27 23:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf312f2…
10-27 17:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b6015…
10-25 23:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf53e83…
10-25 06:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x4a818f…
10-25 04:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc88831…
10-24 22:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x100f69…
10-24 21:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x61c6e6…
10-24 21:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xeb43a5…
10-24 09:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 24?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa9c3ce…
10-24 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xafd42c…
10-24 08:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 24?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x551ca3…
10-23 17:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaba72f…
10-21 12:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77d1ef…
10-21 06:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72bc1a…
10-20 09:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e3451…
10-20 09:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfab496…
10-20 05:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d4b07…
10-20 04:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf941a9…
10-19 23:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30c322…
10-19 12:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x358f70…
10-18 12:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x42b84f…
10-14 13:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x6ffbe5…
10-10 11:05:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 10?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x49f280…
10-10 06:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x8b20f3…
10-09 03:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7e2c7…
10-08 22:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd88b4f…
10-06 14:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2f26f…
10-05 09:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2db067…
09-30 23:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa107b5…
09-30 16:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd8994…
09-30 02:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf405d1…
09-30 00:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x341b47…
09-26 21:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x24e843…
09-26 18:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 26?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xecb3b5…
09-21 11:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x768603…
09-20 13:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4aa86…
09-19 01:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb86271…
09-18 19:22:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on September 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x246fc3…
09-17 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8935eb…
09-16 16:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6619a…
09-15 12:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe95072…
09-15 11:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x082b01…
09-12 14:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd74305…
09-11 09:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf1d16…
09-09 19:27:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52aaf0…
09-07 14:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e0e71…
08-28 08:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe22b5b…
08-27 21:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b2644…
08-21 11:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b2eb2…
08-11 17:37:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x562d33…
08-09 04:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07224b…
08-09 04:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x444bc9…
08-07 00:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0xe13ca1…
08-03 20:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x045b46…
08-03 10:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x985abc…
08-02 12:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$351	0x75a0b5…
07-31 10:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0x58ee5e…
07-29 09:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x35aa97…
07-28 17:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2fc5c4…
07-25 20:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bb9f4…
07-22 02:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 22?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$324	0xefbe44…
07-19 15:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54077b…
07-17 08:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61ad6d…
07-17 08:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x810b0c…
07-07 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x006358…
07-07 13:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xd18049…
07-07 06:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 7?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x6bbc6e…
07-06 20:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x05724e…
07-06 05:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x3fe03c…
07-06 04:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xebd7b1…
07-05 10:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0x8e4fce…
07-04 17:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x72fb18…
07-04 17:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x075d09…