Realized P&L
+$21.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.02K
Hit rate
53.5%
Resolved
1,103
Trades
6,490
lifetime
Volume
$837.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$16.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-28 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Sports
59% 48% +$1,975
Other
31% 51% -$4,399
Crypto
5% 69% +$24,597
Politics
4% 50% -$727
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$385
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5,883 -$4,762 93¢ $-5471 -$709 08-20 22:58
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5,448 -$4,755 94¢ $-5093 -$339 07-23 09:26
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -3,000 -$1,372 60¢ $-1785 -$413 08-21 16:33
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -1,605 -$1,490 96¢ $-1534 -$45 05-01 21:41
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,000 $310 88¢ $880 +$570 05-24 04:09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,700 $975 46¢ $782 -$193 06-13 20:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,058 $595 16¢ $649 +$54 07-10 10:22
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes -3,224 -$244 5¢ $-147 +$98 08-13 02:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,488 $124 5¢ $131 +$6 07-10 06:45
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No -2,783 -$233 4¢ $-124 +$109 08-13 02:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +750 $180 6¢ $49 -$131 09-28 23:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,000 $195 4¢ $40 -$154 08-27 09:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +175 $25 8¢ $14 -$11 08-15 09:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 -$134 70¢ $0 +$134 08-01 00:29