Live-Fight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-11 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

54% 0% $-2

Other

29% 0% $-0

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$476	248	248	+0	No	$-1	03-26 09:24
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$454	236	236	+0	open	—	03-06 23:09
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$409	211	211	+0	No	$-0	03-30 13:19
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$291	150	150	+0	open	—	02-09 08:16
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	7	$230	118	118	-0	open	—	02-14 22:19
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	7	$216	119	119	+0	open	—	01-27 07:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$216	111	111	+0	open	—	02-25 18:08
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	11	$211	109	109	+0	No	$-1	03-06 03:41
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$208	107	107	+0	open	—	02-14 22:30
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	02-09 08:32
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	02-14 22:16
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	02-14 22:25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	02-14 22:16
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	03-07 09:50
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$179	92	92	+0	open	—	01-29 21:37
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$174	89	89	+0	open	—	02-23 00:02
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$167	87	87	+0	open	—	03-17 03:52
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$157	83	83	+0	open	—	03-15 10:36
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	03-19 09:32
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	02-24 00:51
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	4	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	02-06 15:39
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	02-06 15:32
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$110	58	58	+0	open	—	01-19 07:33
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	01-03 13:01
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	01-08 03:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$109	58	58	+0	open	—	02-06 15:33
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	01-23 05:41
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	03-08 01:32
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-09 08:05
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	5	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	01-25 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 06:08:46	mlb col sf 2026 07 10 extra innings	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8823a4…
07-10 23:06:16	mlb col sf 2026 07 10 extra innings	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xef1308…
05-15 10:50:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xcd3d50…
05-15 06:47:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xcc7a60…
04-04 15:14:13	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x9d739d…
04-01 04:47:23	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xc6c64e…
03-31 17:18:43	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xc31a05…
03-31 10:18:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x189645…
03-31 10:12:31	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9c8fec…
03-30 20:43:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xd125bc…
03-30 13:38:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf88460…
03-30 13:19:46	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x2c3fd9…
03-30 06:01:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x1ef892…
03-28 15:56:55	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x680a30…
03-28 09:50:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0xa893f5…
03-28 09:47:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xa0453a…
03-28 05:45:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x29f109…
03-26 13:37:09	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x24870d…
03-26 09:33:45	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0x6b6183…
03-26 09:24:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0x0875f3…
03-26 01:21:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xc2d6b0…
03-22 12:18:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xe69594…
03-22 08:16:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xac3746…
03-22 07:21:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$43	0x5381a8…
03-22 00:18:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x1a1668…
03-21 18:40:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x375420…
03-21 10:23:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0xc5e8f1…
03-20 06:00:19	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x137294…
03-20 05:04:59	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xf6ee37…
03-20 04:47:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x964399…
03-20 00:40:51	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x92412a…
03-20 00:40:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcaab85…
03-19 09:32:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x552bdf…
03-19 04:11:15	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x0d0903…
03-18 14:08:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x5f431b…
03-18 05:36:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x7219c8…
03-17 22:36:21	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x373cff…
03-17 15:16:57	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x174c30…
03-17 15:06:37	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x36a333…
03-17 03:52:11	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xed0dd1…
03-16 23:19:31	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x5d8797…
03-16 06:42:05	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x1c3988…
03-16 01:39:29	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x87d6e6…
03-15 16:42:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x08c607…
03-15 12:11:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x5c09ab…
03-15 10:36:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x2b38c8…
03-15 03:12:47	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xfd8027…
03-15 01:06:35	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0xf279b3…
03-14 17:48:11	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x1324a8…
03-13 08:33:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x4d92ae…
03-13 00:59:35	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x70eb85…
03-12 15:09:33	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	49	94¢	$47	0xe30131…
03-12 10:59:51	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x2f34ae…
03-12 10:30:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x72ebd3…
03-12 04:27:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xeb9dc6…
03-11 13:51:23	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x8cf498…
03-11 05:33:07	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x14b257…
03-10 08:38:29	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x2efca3…
03-10 03:53:35	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x0a385c…
03-10 03:14:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x30aaf1…
03-09 18:31:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$46	0x5e3237…
03-09 16:28:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x739216…
03-09 11:46:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	97¢	$37	0x9990d7…
03-09 11:14:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xd6d0c2…
03-09 05:59:57	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0xa843b6…
03-09 05:24:59	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0x64494a…
03-08 21:13:55	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x308b0a…
03-08 10:48:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x5a68cd…
03-08 02:25:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x924bb6…
03-08 01:32:41	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0xc84922…
03-07 20:19:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x4c2e1f…
03-07 09:50:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x775e83…
03-07 05:20:23	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x9dccbc…
03-06 23:09:47	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x4e67e3…
03-06 18:38:59	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x8af298…
03-06 16:48:35	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x33c8e0…
03-06 07:25:43	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab580d…
03-06 03:41:49	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x643194…
03-04 20:37:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xff0579…
03-03 12:43:07	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xd64edc…
03-03 07:38:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf01558…
03-03 07:38:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x144378…
02-25 18:09:38	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x0890ff…
02-25 18:09:08	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf77267…
02-25 18:08:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x9d1062…
02-25 18:08:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xaba54e…
02-24 00:51:32	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xf29a06…
02-24 00:51:12	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf5136b…
02-24 00:49:18	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x30e18f…
02-24 00:48:54	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xf53703…
02-24 00:37:32	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x580f99…
02-24 00:37:08	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xb9d264…
02-23 00:05:56	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x4e8328…
02-23 00:05:32	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x37cf19…
02-23 00:03:26	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x98f0b0…
02-23 00:03:08	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xfde92c…
02-23 00:02:42	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$48	0xbd40e7…
02-23 00:02:24	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x772744…
02-23 00:01:02	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x0d1e0b…
02-23 00:00:42	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xeb0933…