Deadly-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

765 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$978 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 08-18 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

90% 84% -$92

Politics

10% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$98	58	58	+0	Yes	-$2	06-10 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	3	$55	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	06-22 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?	3	$54	61	60	+1	Yes	-$47	06-23 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 28?	20	$38	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-28 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	7	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-30 08:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	5	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-27 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-30 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 28?	5	$5	7	5	+1	No	-$1	05-28 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-30 08:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 20?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-20 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	4	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-15 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 28?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-28 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	4	$4	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-23 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 29?	4	$3	1,237	174	+1,063	Yes	-$3	05-29 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	3	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	06-17 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?	3	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	06-21 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 17?	3	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	06-17 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?	3	$2	4	3	+1	No	-$2	06-16 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 3?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-03 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 3?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-03 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 3?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-03 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 6?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 00:31
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 10:53
bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	08-18 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?	2	$2	631	0	+631	Yes	-$2	05-29 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?	2	$2	200	0	+200	Yes	-$2	05-29 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?	2	$2	595	0	+595	Yes	-$2	05-29 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 29?	2	$2	513	0	+513	Yes	-$2	05-29 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 10:52:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x91f959…
08-18 10:46:04	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4217be…
06-24 16:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43832d…
06-24 16:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b1a7c…
06-24 14:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9fd3d8…
06-24 14:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92cbe3…
06-24 13:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x070c64…
06-24 13:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x804c3e…
06-24 13:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3716d3…
06-24 13:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35f56b…
06-24 13:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2e11f8…
06-24 13:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xeb1d05…
06-24 12:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6719e0…
06-24 12:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa3f160…
06-24 11:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x95f366…
06-24 11:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf8a4e7…
06-24 10:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3e1045…
06-24 10:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30dd79…
06-24 09:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ab940…
06-24 09:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x95db43…
06-24 08:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa30c6c…
06-24 07:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd0cfc…
06-24 07:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x033fc0…
06-24 07:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5cbd97…
06-24 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6db5d6…
06-24 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6ac5f9…
06-24 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x70fcc4…
06-24 06:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0357ef…
06-24 06:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x054fea…
06-24 05:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3d8d39…
06-24 05:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbccb0f…
06-24 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4d3d7…
06-24 05:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3f41ff…
06-24 05:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x66909f…
06-24 04:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xde1815…
06-24 04:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdda8af…
06-24 03:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9736d5…
06-24 02:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2be659…
06-23 23:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x174dc9…
06-23 22:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbbc8d4…
06-23 22:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5e5894…
06-23 22:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x80225e…
06-23 21:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeaf53d…
06-23 21:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdba82a…
06-23 21:07:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c42cd…
06-23 21:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdbe986…
06-23 20:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa0dade…
06-23 19:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x84a36e…
06-23 19:56:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ce773…
06-23 19:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a44c4…
06-23 19:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x35349b…
06-23 18:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe5f390…
06-23 18:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5cd7d1…
06-23 17:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4c7e1a…
06-23 15:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x590d12…
06-23 15:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9967c2…
06-23 15:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdf48e6…
06-23 15:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x345a77…
06-23 15:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0b87c7…
06-23 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd5442a…
06-23 14:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0e79c1…
06-23 13:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7f6180…
06-23 13:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4abc8…
06-23 13:28:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9b5138…
06-23 13:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x47c70d…
06-23 13:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe52267…
06-23 13:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25f266…
06-23 13:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x50d759…
06-23 12:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbff634…
06-23 12:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc56161…
06-23 12:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x20f5a7…
06-23 12:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xefbcb1…
06-23 10:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf144bb…
06-23 09:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x508743…
06-23 09:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ae293…
06-23 07:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f24d4…
06-23 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d6d3b…
06-23 06:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b189b…
06-23 06:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x04a1d8…
06-23 06:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbb14a9…
06-23 06:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e07c9…
06-23 06:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3021a2…
06-23 05:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3da959…
06-23 05:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfdf22…
06-23 05:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb5573d…
06-23 05:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8c7756…
06-23 05:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x939b3c…
06-23 04:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x33145c…
06-23 04:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e52cb…
06-23 03:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd30d33…
06-23 02:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78848f…
06-23 00:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?	No	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xcfc4f9…
06-23 00:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdf4ebb…
06-22 23:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x80cfa7…
06-22 23:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd73e7b…
06-22 22:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99f7a9…
06-22 21:02:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd40a50…
06-22 21:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81a2ca…
06-22 21:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6c4cea…
06-22 20:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa27706…