Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

$158

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-05 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

97% 57% +$1,630

Other

2% 50% -$26

Sports

1% 0% -$242

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-852	-$111	18¢	$-158	-$47	06-25 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$5.7K	3,092	3,092	+0	No	+$381	01-31 20:27
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$3.8K	2,071	2,071	+0	No	+$211	01-31 20:27
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$3.8K	1,952	1,952	+0	No	+$135	01-24 06:59
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$165	01-27 04:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$2.6K	1,550	1,550	+0	Yes	+$28	02-28 19:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$2.2K	1,373	1,373	+0	Yes	+$236	04-06 11:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	No	+$73	02-01 07:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$1.2K	730	730	+0	Yes	+$261	04-06 11:32
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	6	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Yes	+$95	02-02 22:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$1.1K	689	689	+0	No	+$14	03-09 20:58
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$1.1K	576	576	+0	No	+$65	01-17 14:34
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	6	$1.0K	1,131	0	+1,131	No	+$113	01-24 07:20
iran strike on israel by january 31	6	$760	418	418	+0	No	+$66	01-31 20:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$678	566	566	+0	No	-$55	03-09 20:59
odds of khamenei out in jan over 20 on friday	3	$629	564	564	+0	No	+$29	01-14 05:00
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$625	326	326	+0	No	+$25	01-15 04:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$529	1,093	1,092	+0	No	-$40	03-30 03:00
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$261	138	138	+0	No	+$12	01-17 14:22
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	2	$241	193	193	+0	Yes	+$141	02-28 08:32
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$219	119	119	+0	No	+$19	01-16 04:26
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$189	176	176	+0	Yes	-$9	02-22 21:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$178	105	105	+0	No	+$22	01-21 21:31
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$169	198	0	+198	No	+$29	01-15 19:48
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	2	$161	111	111	+0	Yes	+$61	02-28 08:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$160	178	85	+94	Yes	-$1	03-08 20:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$158	110	110	+0	Yes	+$9	02-02 19:56
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$142	282	282	+0	Yes	-$21	02-22 21:44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$132	1,723	0	+1,723	No	-$132	06-28 13:10
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	5	$128	171	171	+0	No	-$46	02-03 12:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$111	0	852	-852	open	—	06-25 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 18:33:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x503c9e…
06-28 13:10:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	146	20¢	$30	0xa11b85…
06-28 13:10:35	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	416	6¢	$25	0xe10e88…
06-28 13:10:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	341	20¢	$70	0xdfad9f…
06-25 19:26:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,307	8¢	$107	0x169231…
06-25 19:25:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	852	13¢	$111	0xb2faec…
04-08 03:00:27	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	55¢	$35	0x0b381b…
04-08 03:00:05	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	87¢	$49	0x143e8e…
04-06 19:21:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3fe49b…
04-06 19:20:55	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xac4eba…
04-06 19:19:17	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x0bb64d…
04-06 19:16:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x9f23fe…
04-06 11:32:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	730	100¢	$727	0xdf10da…
04-06 11:32:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	791	100¢	$789	0xebb294…
03-31 03:10:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	243	59¢	$143	0xed15ae…
03-30 03:05:06	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	421	68¢	$287	0x296a49…
03-30 03:00:36	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x837e83…
03-30 03:00:12	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	130	7¢	$10	0xb9117e…
03-26 16:11:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x974909…
03-25 05:50:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xa351f9…
03-25 05:48:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x02aad0…
03-25 05:48:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	192	14¢	$26	0x2336e3…
03-22 22:13:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	582	70¢	$407	0x9139f3…
03-22 21:59:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	972	72¢	$700	0x8cf195…
03-17 19:37:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xafe6ff…
03-17 19:36:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xfe90f5…
03-17 19:34:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	298	25¢	$74	0x395fa6…
03-16 13:02:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0xba5d80…
03-16 13:02:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	228	6¢	$13	0xc81421…
03-16 13:01:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	123	68¢	$83	0xc1580e…
03-16 13:01:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	298	28¢	$83	0x007b2e…
03-16 13:01:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	68¢	$39	0x67ecf2…
03-16 13:00:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	177	22¢	$39	0xc6e53a…
03-13 19:28:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	83	34¢	$28	0x0871aa…
03-13 19:28:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	593	5¢	$28	0xacb239…
03-11 20:41:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x9a1096…
03-11 20:41:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xcd0c91…
03-11 20:38:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0xa5ed7b…
03-10 15:36:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x00a5fc…
03-10 15:36:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	245	20¢	$50	0x28e359…
03-10 15:36:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7ba515…
03-10 15:35:19	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x2e6891…
03-10 11:23:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	388	13¢	$50	0xa9b1f1…
03-09 20:59:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	566	55¢	$311	0x4c8ddf…
03-09 20:58:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	175	29¢	$51	0x59edb6…
03-09 20:58:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	306	13¢	$40	0x4b1d37…
03-09 20:58:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	61	77¢	$47	0x81c3b4…
03-09 20:58:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	689	82¢	$565	0xa5fb73…
03-09 08:35:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x91dd61…
03-09 08:29:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe33627…
03-09 08:28:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	133	76¢	$101	0xfcbd0a…
03-09 08:28:17	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0xa7fb39…
03-08 20:10:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	94	74¢	$69	0x8a5161…
03-07 08:01:19	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xd6d6ef…
03-07 08:00:15	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	306	10¢	$30	0x98d5cb…
03-07 07:55:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	175	35¢	$61	0xc156ab…
03-07 07:54:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	48	59¢	$28	0x9247de…
03-07 07:52:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	85	39¢	$33	0xe0f93b…
03-06 22:13:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xa4bc53…
03-06 07:41:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x478ced…
03-06 07:41:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xc34491…
03-04 04:34:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	79	71¢	$56	0x952f39…
03-04 04:34:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	134	7¢	$10	0x5e0678…
03-03 19:42:21	will iran strike israel on march 5	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5e8846…
03-03 19:41:27	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2976c5…
03-03 19:41:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x1afb4e…
03-03 19:34:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0xdb09af…
03-03 07:40:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x269752…
03-03 07:39:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	507	79¢	$401	0x571823…
03-03 07:39:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0xe20ce2…
03-02 20:31:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xd51b8b…
03-02 20:27:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x690076…
03-02 10:57:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	138	38¢	$52	0xdcb20f…
03-02 10:56:53	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0x6fc18c…
03-01 19:51:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xd21d59…
03-01 19:49:23	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xa04fc6…
03-01 19:48:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xb5a2e9…
03-01 19:48:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x27b201…
03-01 19:39:25	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x079f09…
02-28 19:51:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	135	5¢	$6	0xf6cc14…
02-28 19:43:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x88fff8…
02-28 15:26:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6742aa…
02-28 14:57:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8dc60e…
02-28 08:32:15	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x5da3de…
02-28 08:32:05	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0xf1f52e…
02-22 21:44:40	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	21¢	$60	0x7fe16e…
02-22 21:44:28	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	176	51¢	$90	0x828c9b…
02-20 19:11:10	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	176	56¢	$99	0x015e50…
02-20 19:06:38	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x59fa46…
02-20 19:05:16	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x1886ef…
02-20 04:14:54	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	29¢	$82	0x453ea8…
02-20 04:13:38	will israel or the us target tehran 812	Yes	SELL	273	13¢	$36	0x25b2a2…
02-20 04:12:40	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	158	18¢	$29	0x50031d…
02-18 20:10:10	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xd4ba95…
02-18 20:08:04	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	404	15¢	$60	0x8344bf…
02-18 20:04:50	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0x17f5a8…
02-18 20:04:08	will israel or the us target tehran 812	Yes	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0xe61d94…
02-10 03:50:45	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	2,268	0¢	$5	0xf1da4b…
02-10 03:50:35	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	185	6¢	$11	0x60707b…
02-09 11:03:29	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	185	7¢	$13	0x05c547…