Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$200

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

166

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$70.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$607

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-15 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

57% 39% -$1,222

Politics

24% 50% +$265

Pop-Culture

7% 38% -$378

Tech

6% 50% +$39

Crypto

3% 40% +$52

Sports

3% 50% -$324

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-679	-$407	89¢	$-607	-$200	06-15 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	38	$2.2K	1,245	1,245	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 21:47
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	6	$1.9K	1,240	1,240	+0	No	+$112	01-29 11:09
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	10	$1.7K	2,065	2,065	+0	No	-$41	02-14 10:38
will there be 16 or more inches of snow in nyc in january	2	$1.6K	887	887	+0	No	+$154	01-30 06:58
will israel strike lebanon on january 31 2026	5	$1.4K	1,188	1,188	+0	Yes	-$48	01-31 06:52
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	7	$1.3K	1,406	1,406	+0	Yes	+$29	02-03 08:00
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	6	$1.3K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$35	02-06 15:34
Will Trump name "Talarico" in April?	2	$1.3K	706	706	+0	No	+$28	04-27 09:29
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	5	$1.3K	757	757	+0	Yes	-$15	02-12 20:20
will woo seung min make a final pair in singles inferno season 5	4	$1.2K	697	697	+0	Yes	+$127	02-10 07:01
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$1.2K	673	673	+0	No	-$2	02-06 22:46
will amy madigan win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	2	$1.2K	819	818	+1	Yes	-$107	02-22 10:57
will goat second weekend box office be between 17pt5m and 20m	4	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	-$14	02-18 10:44
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	2	$1.1K	731	731	+0	No	+$0	01-28 22:20
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	5	$1.1K	718	718	+0	Yes	-$36	02-11 02:19
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 6 be greater than 2300000	5	$1.1K	1,300	978	+322	Yes	-$178	02-07 05:20
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.0K	1,386	1,376	+10	No	-$7	02-28 02:58
will seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in february	2	$1.0K	565	565	+0	No	+$42	02-14 00:16
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	6	$897	590	590	+0	No	+$0	02-19 08:25
will israel strike gaza on february 7 2026	2	$879	687	687	+0	No	+$0	02-04 04:33
will pacto histrico win 18 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	3	$843	451	451	+0	No	+$58	03-10 13:35
will cirkut win 3 grammys	4	$836	489	489	+0	No	-$24	02-01 11:10
nba mem lal 2026 01 04 assists cam spencer 8pt5	5	$834	471	471	+0	Yes	+$107	02-13 05:52
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$832	470	470	+0	No	-$5	04-09 12:26
will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$815	613	613	+0	No	+$55	04-09 14:15
will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	6	$810	871	871	+0	No	-$9	02-09 21:44
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$809	810	0	+810	Yes	+$1	02-14 08:33
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	2	$783	602	602	+0	Yes	+$36	02-15 16:03
will kanye release bully by march 20	4	$776	1,080	1,080	+0	No	+$193	02-09 13:09
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	7	$753	573	573	+0	No	$0	02-22 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:52:51	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	679	60¢	$407	0x28e161…
04-27 09:29:26	Will Trump name "Talarico" in April?	No	SELL	706	92¢	$650	0x974468…
04-24 03:25:40	Will Trump name "Talarico" in April?	No	BUY	706	88¢	$621	0xb00d69…
04-11 07:59:15	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0x9af9e1…
04-11 05:18:03	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xa224e8…
04-11 05:03:23	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	173	11¢	$19	0xd8772c…
04-11 05:03:15	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	US Catanzaro 1929	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0x8b615f…
04-09 21:47:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	387	88¢	$341	0xaf7967…
04-09 14:15:35	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	311	79¢	$246	0x680240…
04-09 14:14:13	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xeda1d9…
04-09 12:51:19	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	SELL	608	4¢	$24	0x612d19…
04-09 12:26:05	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	470	88¢	$414	0x7e4bae…
04-09 04:41:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	387	88¢	$341	0xda446a…
04-08 04:19:31	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	470	89¢	$418	0xa4e152…
04-07 10:36:07	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	BUY	455	19¢	$86	0x6fde0c…
04-07 10:35:53	sidemen charity match 2026 winner	Sidemen FC	BUY	686	19¢	$130	0x32d60d…
03-31 03:08:49	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	74¢	$44	0x2e1380…
03-30 17:28:27	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x746b44…
03-30 17:10:17	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xcf98a7…
03-30 17:08:53	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	SELL	43	82¢	$35	0x6c8b10…
03-30 15:57:25	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	SELL	54	10¢	$5	0xba5f96…
03-30 15:46:23	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	294	62¢	$182	0xd0c82b…
03-30 11:57:58	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0xcb62d1…
03-30 08:25:14	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	662	11¢	$73	0x30ab13…
03-30 05:44:04	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	BUY	53	80¢	$42	0x3042da…
03-30 05:15:18	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 85 89 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	613	62¢	$380	0x3f1f7a…
03-30 04:09:48	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x730e2a…
03-26 07:27:23	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	292	63¢	$184	0x23fae7…
03-26 07:27:03	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	140	63¢	$88	0xab6696…
03-26 07:26:47	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	178	63¢	$112	0x4147ee…
03-25 06:54:57	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	610	54¢	$329	0x16bdc8…
03-24 09:04:19	will trump post trump derangement or trump deranged on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	61	51¢	$31	0x06e1d3…
03-24 06:13:55	will trump post nasty on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	420	71¢	$298	0xd6f3d1…
03-24 03:14:15	will trump post nasty on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x0f945c…
03-24 03:14:03	will trump post nasty on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	390	63¢	$246	0x9dfb02…
03-24 01:43:37	will trump post trump derangement or trump deranged on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	61	42¢	$26	0x6c02b1…
03-23 11:06:41	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	462	63¢	$291	0x6ab5da…
03-23 11:06:29	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	458	63¢	$289	0x073d95…
03-22 11:15:31	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	665	33¢	$219	0x237e81…
03-22 11:15:13	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	107	33¢	$35	0x8f88c8…
03-22 06:35:13	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	SELL	118	33¢	$39	0xc2a992…
03-21 16:16:49	will iran successfully target shipping on march 25 2026 532	Yes	SELL	1,049	15¢	$157	0x72a675…
03-21 03:29:01	will iran successfully target shipping on march 25 2026 532	Yes	BUY	1,049	17¢	$178	0x943c7c…
03-20 07:24:25	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	199	22¢	$44	0xb1b97c…
03-20 07:24:09	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	691	22¢	$152	0x1cd89f…
03-19 12:59:05	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 10 be between 70 and 80	Yes	SELL	190	47¢	$89	0x97e84b…
03-19 02:08:35	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 10 be between 70 and 80	Yes	SELL	303	57¢	$173	0xdbf241…
03-19 02:08:27	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 10 be between 70 and 80	Yes	SELL	231	57¢	$132	0x238a09…
03-18 15:42:19	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	Yes	SELL	243	51¢	$124	0x9f8d9e…
03-18 04:32:41	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 10 be between 70 and 80	Yes	BUY	724	49¢	$355	0xf71b54…
03-18 00:59:33	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	Yes	BUY	243	42¢	$102	0xbc801b…
03-17 01:22:55	cbb howrd ncw 2025 12 27	Howard Bison	BUY	193	50¢	$96	0x69c28b…
03-17 01:03:57	cbb howrd ncw 2025 12 27	Howard Bison	BUY	560	50¢	$280	0x45d8a6…
03-16 07:47:09	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	603	49¢	$295	0x09165f…
03-16 02:16:29	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	319	20¢	$64	0x8d6cb6…
03-14 10:08:39	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	319	18¢	$57	0x8001f1…
03-14 09:51:19	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	603	43¢	$259	0x27b2b6…
03-10 13:35:19	will pacto histrico win 18 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0x48adf5…
03-10 13:33:03	will pacto histrico win 18 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf4bb64…
03-10 11:06:31	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	SELL	76	57¢	$43	0x1d71ae…
03-10 11:06:13	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x535166…
03-06 10:07:25	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 mot	No	BUY	201	53¢	$107	0x6cccce…
03-06 08:15:25	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	BUY	378	71¢	$268	0xaa77b5…
03-06 07:23:51	will pacto histrico win 18 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	BUY	451	87¢	$392	0xca9529…
03-06 06:33:09	spl hil njm 2026 03 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	465	79¢	$367	0x9c2896…
03-06 05:35:03	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	Yes	BUY	113	57¢	$64	0x975b69…
02-28 17:05:31	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	66	55¢	$36	0x227f3f…
02-28 17:04:15	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x557410…
02-28 09:34:29	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0x83ba3b…
02-28 09:13:21	will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x3cfa5a…
02-28 07:01:39	will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x88a5a1…
02-28 02:58:43	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	360	36¢	$130	0x572cc2…
02-28 02:57:49	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	364	36¢	$131	0xf3dec3…
02-28 02:57:15	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	652	36¢	$235	0x4318e1…
02-28 01:52:39	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,386	37¢	$513	0xf22040…
02-27 06:58:36	dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	GOP	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xcb9229…
02-27 03:45:16	cbb ala miss 2026 02 10	Ole Miss Rebels	BUY	703	80¢	$562	0x9a23e5…
02-27 01:52:20	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	68	13¢	$9	0x0344c4…
02-26 17:20:16	will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	Yes	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0x1f8ae4…
02-26 17:19:56	will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	SELL	443	8¢	$35	0xd79b28…
02-26 17:18:34	will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd2c061…
02-25 08:00:34	euroleague olympiac fenerbah 2025 12 04	Fenerbahce	BUY	1,322	49¢	$646	0x1a7bbf…
02-25 05:12:34	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	234	72¢	$168	0x454412…
02-25 03:13:52	will ditonellapiaga win sanremo 2026	No	SELL	115	86¢	$99	0x1a0724…
02-25 02:58:36	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	SELL	309	13¢	$40	0x01eed5…
02-25 02:57:34	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	SELL	463	13¢	$60	0xdaf4d0…
02-25 02:56:12	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	SELL	513	13¢	$67	0xd189ce…
02-25 01:52:20	will ditonellapiaga win sanremo 2026	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8411b5…
02-25 01:20:54	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x156fe8…
02-25 01:06:44	will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	463	19¢	$88	0x0ed344…
02-25 01:01:02	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	BUY	1,285	13¢	$167	0x95b8fb…
02-24 22:22:42	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	174	12¢	$21	0xda9189…
02-24 18:35:42	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 draw	Yes	SELL	237	28¢	$66	0x3791d6…
02-24 03:25:08	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 draw	Yes	BUY	237	15¢	$36	0xa23e1a…
02-23 20:01:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x3d3473…
02-23 19:59:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x6d2852…
02-23 19:58:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xadda8a…
02-23 19:57:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x6653bb…
02-23 19:56:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x9ebd18…
02-23 19:55:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0x994317…