Lone-Relaxation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

572

Trades

953

lifetime

Volume

$4.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-15 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

59% 79% -$2

Other

25% 64% +$4

Sports

14% 58% -$58

Tech

2% 67% -$1

Crypto

1% 69% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$446	243	243	+0	No	+$16	05-29 13:37
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	3	$396	250	250	+0	No	-$10	06-14 04:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$352	195	195	+0	No	+$36	05-09 00:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$287	159	159	+0	No	+$30	05-01 01:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$239	251	251	+0	Yes	-$161	06-15 00:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	05-11 15:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$171	99	99	+0	No	+$27	04-22 00:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$136	73	73	+0	No	+$9	04-21 02:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	05-20 13:14
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$99	128	0	+128	No	+$30	04-22 00:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$98	101	0	+101	Yes	+$3	05-20 13:14
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	2	$62	66	0	+66	No	+$4	04-11 14:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	06-03 11:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$59	63	0	+63	No	+$4	04-16 12:16
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$1	04-01 11:55
nba gsw phx 2026 02 05 total 217pt5	1	$44	45	0	+45	Under	+$2	02-06 05:19
nba lac sac 2026 02 06 spread away 4pt5	2	$41	42	0	+42	Kings	-$40	02-07 05:34
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	6	$39	51	31	+20	No	+$8	02-01 05:16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$32	41	0	+41	Yes	-$32	06-03 13:13
nba cle phi 2026 01 16	16	$31	42	42	+0	Cavaliers	+$2	01-17 02:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-26 07:57
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	6	$24	42	0	+42	No	-$24	02-28 12:55
nba cle den 2026 02 09 total 236pt5	4	$23	15	15	+0	Under	-$2	02-10 04:35
will trump say barack hussein obama during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	02-19 13:16
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	12	$16	217	217	+0	No	+$2	01-20 01:02
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	7	$16	27	0	+27	Yes	+$11	02-05 07:19
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	1	$16	21	0	+21	Yes	+$5	03-17 12:10
grok 4pt20 released by january 31 273	6	$15	11	11	+0	No	+$3	02-01 04:06
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	7	$14	46	0	+46	Yes	+$32	02-28 12:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	5	$13	9	13	-3	Yes	-$3	02-16 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:33:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	251	15¢	$39	0x89b7f4…
06-14 10:39:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x3519cc…
06-14 04:32:54	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	250	77¢	$193	0x1528f1…
06-12 08:45:48	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xc82e55…
06-12 08:45:25	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe1997f…
06-11 05:53:57	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdd68fa…
06-11 05:53:22	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x54be59…
06-11 05:53:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x3a3091…
06-09 05:13:42	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xc40ced…
06-09 05:11:40	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4ecf8e…
06-09 05:11:28	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd1314…
06-07 03:07:39	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd003f4…
06-07 03:07:33	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x4ef054…
06-07 03:07:04	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x768de2…
06-07 03:06:52	Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc62894…
06-07 03:06:43	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2ac5f3…
06-04 13:31:00	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc7e171…
06-04 03:44:18	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x1c347e…
06-04 03:43:42	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x9dafc6…
06-03 13:13:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x305afe…
06-03 11:36:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xcf590e…
06-02 02:34:54	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x91c29f…
06-02 02:34:42	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x38de29…
05-30 04:32:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x5b71d7…
05-29 13:38:24	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x747776…
05-29 13:37:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	243	95¢	$231	0x1529f7…
05-29 13:36:55	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x27912b…
05-26 14:13:47	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x38a067…
05-24 10:09:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	243	89¢	$215	0x761c20…
05-24 10:06:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x12a265…
05-24 00:31:15	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x88f204…
05-24 00:30:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcf4485…
05-20 13:14:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x66e06f…
05-20 13:14:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x240f62…
05-20 09:09:11	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc1e5df…
05-16 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x290952…
05-16 07:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbe0923…
05-15 20:59:18	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x02390d…
05-15 13:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x7ee8e6…
05-11 15:27:26	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xcc652c…
05-11 15:26:53	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf4faf7…
05-11 15:26:36	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8e55b1…
05-11 15:25:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x91d685…
05-09 00:32:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x65b0a8…
05-03 14:11:52	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x4f0055…
05-02 08:33:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	195	81¢	$158	0xadd62a…
05-01 01:19:12	Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x70eb15…
05-01 01:19:08	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb3342c…
05-01 01:18:48	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x525796…
05-01 01:17:40	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xef3362…
05-01 01:17:36	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab4b6f…
05-01 01:17:22	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe86dce…
05-01 01:07:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x4b1e1d…
04-25 03:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	159	81¢	$128	0x26681a…
04-22 00:29:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	128	77¢	$99	0x393aa9…
04-22 00:22:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xcc4eaa…
04-21 02:09:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	99	73¢	$72	0xb1014a…
04-21 02:09:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0x0f8f9a…
04-19 14:31:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	73	87¢	$63	0x2d37b7…
04-16 12:16:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xfd9f92…
04-16 12:16:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0c9694…
04-16 12:14:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfcdc0e…
04-16 12:14:14	will the golden state warriors make the nba playoffs 223	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8773fa…
04-16 12:13:26	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xb05f8b…
04-11 14:11:29	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x1b516f…
04-01 11:55:13	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x773d8f…
04-01 11:53:07	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1bd6e3…
04-01 11:53:01	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5d84ec…
03-29 02:58:52	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xfa7f1d…
03-29 02:58:34	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xaf0107…
03-29 02:55:34	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6ec996…
03-28 03:55:31	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5f544e…
03-27 03:40:23	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x22c157…
03-27 03:27:29	will trump say oil or gas during the fii priority summit	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2dfb5…
03-27 03:24:49	will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 895	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x97d2f1…
03-27 03:24:19	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x39ad8f…
03-27 03:24:09	will trump say jesus during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd1323f…
03-27 03:24:05	will trump say epic fury during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x27d130…
03-27 03:24:01	will trump say illegal alien during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdfc984…
03-27 03:23:47	will trump say eu or european union during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8d035c…
03-27 03:23:41	will trump say epa or protection agency during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x977c0f…
03-27 03:22:01	will mrbeast say dollar 5 times during his next video	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa0b611…
03-27 03:14:55	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribers during his next video	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb02642…
03-27 03:09:21	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf49e57…
03-23 11:12:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0e2f60…
03-19 10:16:35	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe18736…
03-19 09:45:57	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf472b1…
03-19 09:43:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x53dc99…
03-19 09:43:13	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x529229…
03-19 09:43:07	will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x476f5c…
03-18 13:31:27	meta close above 610 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x46feaf…
03-18 11:26:31	meta close above 610 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6a740f…
03-18 08:25:07	meta above 620 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbed108…
03-18 07:10:07	chatgpt outage by march 20	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcf790b…
03-18 07:08:49	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xab39ea…
03-18 07:08:41	will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x66654d…
03-18 07:06:13	will khamenei tweet again on march 19 2026 243 462	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4af8ab…
03-18 07:06:09	will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x11586e…
03-18 07:04:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2c16d1…
03-18 07:02:59	will jd vance say epic fury during michigan visit 196	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb5777a…