Cavernous-Anyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

35% 100% +$26

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$126	70	70	+0	open	—	04-26 10:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	04-04 00:29
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$108	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 22:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	04-04 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	05-13 08:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 10:41
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-19 21:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 20:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$67	55	55	+0	open	—	04-26 23:09
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	3	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 09:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$60	80	0	+80	No	+$20	04-26 23:22
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 07:31
atp bergs mannari 2026 04 06 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	04-06 10:57
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	05-16 22:52
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	05-24 01:07
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 01:42
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	2	$23	27	27	+0	open	—	06-09 07:39
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-03 00:03
atp diallo humbert 2026 03 21	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 21:15
atp sakella samuel 2026 04 08	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-09 12:37
atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-06 10:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 08:52
atp ouden guerrie 2026 04 07	2	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	04-07 08:38
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 00:14
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 08:00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 10:09
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 09:29
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-29 09:42
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	05-08 09:33
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:39:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x62c295…
06-07 13:34:55	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe2ff33…
06-07 11:16:39	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3c3fa2…
06-07 11:16:18	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6b9f7c…
06-06 08:00:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x918ef3…
06-06 07:27:42	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa4932f…
06-04 21:15:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x118bd6…
05-29 09:42:11	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xd07154…
05-25 08:24:03	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0xab66c7…
05-24 01:07:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x2ff9d7…
05-23 21:00:26	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xdec093…
05-21 11:40:43	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x68f43d…
05-19 21:15:34	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x24f565…
05-19 09:29:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbb9434…
05-18 19:18:47	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5496ae…
05-18 12:14:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x62cedd…
05-18 09:03:00	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xdeefc7…
05-17 08:19:17	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc4fce3…
05-17 01:02:43	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x27ad93…
05-16 22:52:54	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x889706…
05-16 00:27:18	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1c4a3c…
05-16 00:26:30	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x66a272…
05-16 00:14:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa278df…
05-15 23:54:01	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb95c09…
05-15 07:31:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x727007…
05-15 07:23:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x003085…
05-15 01:58:18	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd99800…
05-15 01:47:34	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xd8a3ba…
05-14 08:23:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8c925f…
05-14 08:23:17	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc0158c…
05-13 09:26:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x79f65c…
05-13 08:54:50	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x519494…
05-13 08:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3c4c55…
05-10 11:54:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x440aca…
05-10 11:49:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x508dd9…
05-10 11:48:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7b3b32…
05-10 08:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x785eb4…
05-08 09:33:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x265099…
05-07 22:11:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc94fb5…
05-06 17:34:16	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee6f62…
05-06 01:46:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x77b37d…
05-03 00:03:14	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1ab668…
04-28 22:26:20	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2f948f…
04-28 20:47:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3ad13e…
04-28 10:09:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x78d45d…
04-26 23:22:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x6deb00…
04-26 23:09:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	45¢	$25	0xfcce9a…
04-26 10:25:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xbae699…
04-25 10:09:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x56dc76…
04-25 06:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x8cd556…
04-16 18:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6f67ef…
04-14 22:55:48	Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xee6c38…
04-13 16:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x725be1…
04-09 12:37:05	atp sakella samuel 2026 04 08	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc0e810…
04-07 08:38:19	atp ouden guerrie 2026 04 07	Guy Den Ouden	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf98179…
04-07 08:37:55	atp ouden guerrie 2026 04 07	Guy Den Ouden	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x73589e…
04-07 08:34:07	wta grabher eala 2026 04 07	Julia Grabher	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa7af68…
04-07 08:25:15	atp atmane quinn 2026 04 07	Ethan Quinn	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0d1e96…
04-06 11:12:31	atp cadenas gaston 2026 04 06	Hugo Gaston	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x148dc0…
04-06 10:57:39	atp bergs mannari 2026 04 06 set handicap home 1pt5	Bergs	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xededee…
04-06 10:20:21	atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	Andrey Rublev	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x48975d…
04-06 10:07:27	atp bergs mannari 2026 04 06 set handicap home 1pt5	Bergs	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xfdaa47…
04-06 09:59:09	atp baez wawrink 2026 04 06 first set winner Baez vs Wawrinka	Wawrinka	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5d0ccc…
04-05 10:21:51	atp norrie kecmano 2026 04 06	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf68ff4…
04-05 01:42:43	NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x5d7aba…
04-05 00:02:11	NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x1b36a9…
04-04 22:25:05	atp basilas garin 2026 04 05	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x5ee6a2…
04-04 22:11:17	atp basilas garin 2026 04 05	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8b01b2…
04-04 21:23:47	atp basilas garin 2026 04 05	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdd9bcd…
04-04 21:08:17	atp basilas garin 2026 04 05	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb7a977…
04-04 21:00:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0xc3cf32…
04-04 20:59:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x7dc06a…
04-04 11:26:57	atp dzumhur kjaer 2026 04 04	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x7ec178…
04-04 11:13:09	atp dzumhur kjaer 2026 04 04	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd18beb…
04-04 10:38:35	atp dzumhur kjaer 2026 04 04	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xeb6f77…
04-04 10:31:51	atp dzumhur kjaer 2026 04 04	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x378aa4…
04-04 00:29:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x51aa27…
04-04 00:28:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7e3db6…
04-02 22:06:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xdd22eb…
04-02 10:13:35	wta fernand shnaide 2026 04 02	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x60cefe…
04-02 09:49:39	atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x755c78…
03-30 20:29:31	atp cina muller 2026 03 30	Alexandre Muller	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe70ebf…
03-29 11:26:56	atp altmaie martine 2026 03 30	Pedro Martinez	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x847949…
03-29 10:49:06	atp kopriva medjedo 2026 03 30	Vit Kopriva	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x8d8a22…
03-29 10:43:52	atp trungel barton 2026 03 29	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe45399…
03-29 10:43:10	atp herbert harri 2026 03 29	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x088be4…
03-29 10:43:04	atp herbert harri 2026 03 29	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a5705…
03-29 10:42:16	atp vallejo svajda 2026 03 30	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x740781…
03-29 10:41:10	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0a22e4…
03-29 01:54:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xae56c3…
03-21 21:15:15	atp diallo humbert 2026 03 21	Ugo Humbert	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xce95e3…
03-19 07:10:57	atp perrica carabel 2026 03 18	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3d5524…
03-17 20:20:59	atp bergs brooksb 2026 03 18	Zizou Bergs	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x70e73b…
03-15 22:00:31	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1bf358…
03-15 13:50:35	atp giustin forejte 2026 03 16	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xffec05…
03-15 10:27:51	atp giustin forejte 2026 03 16	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xaa6669…
03-15 08:01:41	atp travagl poljica 2026 03 16	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x8a16fb…
03-15 07:35:25	atp travagl poljica 2026 03 16	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6a1cf9…
03-14 10:05:17	wta sabalen rybakin 2026 03 15	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x760c50…
03-14 08:18:05	atp blockx navone 2026 03 14	Mariano Navone	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8af89c…