Cavernous-Anyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

37% 100% +$26

Sports

7% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	3	$163	120	120	+0	open	—	07-15 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$126	70	70	+0	open	—	04-26 10:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	04-04 00:29
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$108	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 22:07
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	5	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	06-23 11:16
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	04-04 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	05-13 08:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 10:41
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-19 21:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 20:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$67	55	55	+0	open	—	04-26 23:09
giuliano simeone 20260609174518100	3	$62	38	38	+0	open	—	06-16 19:29
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	3	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 09:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$60	80	0	+80	No	+$20	04-26 23:22
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	2	$57	55	8	+47	open	—	07-20 00:32
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 07:31
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	2	$45	62	0	+62	open	—	07-15 03:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	07-06 04:59
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	2	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	07-22 11:01
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 19:46
will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	2	$32	52	0	+52	open	—	07-25 11:51
atp bergs mannari 2026 04 06 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	04-06 10:57
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	07-23 10:06
ritsu doan 20260609171501495	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	06-14 03:19
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	07-08 19:14
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	14	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	07-15 11:34
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	05-16 22:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	40	40	+0	open	—	06-20 22:28
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	05-24 01:07
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 11:51:12	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xdee65b…
07-25 11:15:13	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0xa58de6…
07-25 07:59:52	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x671e9b…
07-23 10:06:03	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6a88e8…
07-22 11:49:46	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x96cfb7…
07-22 11:01:37	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xfa3a6e…
07-22 11:00:42	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe73e2c…
07-22 04:54:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0ded68…
07-20 00:32:21	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xcd301e…
07-19 20:12:48	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa5f1fe…
07-15 19:35:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x49949c…
07-15 14:03:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xccf31b…
07-15 11:34:35	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0xa803c7…
07-15 10:57:29	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x969d51…
07-15 03:31:41	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x94df96…
07-15 03:08:41	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0c0694…
07-15 03:07:19	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x5816ee…
07-08 19:20:02	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xac9302…
07-08 19:14:49	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xf62a00…
07-06 04:59:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xe3c6a9…
06-28 01:37:25	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x8d8f60…
06-26 21:21:10	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xbcd65c…
06-26 11:42:23	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5b6e4f…
06-26 10:33:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xb8e3a6…
06-24 09:53:53	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa80ff4…
06-23 11:16:32	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xe6e210…
06-23 09:01:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0c49a9…
06-23 08:26:59	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xf188fd…
06-23 08:22:23	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x42a93e…
06-22 17:06:43	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x1fc1b4…
06-22 10:19:31	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x1f14a9…
06-21 05:13:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x7f386f…
06-20 22:28:32	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x4aea65…
06-20 19:46:25	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2c302d…
06-19 14:37:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb1a7fd…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4f6be…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa3776e…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x95965c…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ba9fa…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x839567…
06-19 14:37:14	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5b5634…
06-19 14:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfcad0c…
06-19 14:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcdb464…
06-19 14:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89d571…
06-19 14:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x42a05e…
06-19 14:37:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28d2e2…
06-19 14:37:11	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f537a…
06-19 09:43:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8f225e…
06-16 21:56:25	noni madueke 20260609175104698	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x1cc9ab…
06-16 19:29:11	giuliano simeone 20260609174518100	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1f5e54…
06-16 19:28:55	giuliano simeone 20260609174518100	No	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0xd4df54…
06-16 10:26:10	giuliano simeone 20260609174518100	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x48f306…
06-16 10:01:54	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7ed469…
06-14 09:56:15	gustavo puerta 20260609175657516	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xe461af…
06-14 03:19:03	ritsu doan 20260609171501495	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xaec22b…
06-14 02:49:24	ao tanaka 20260609171501502	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1d9cbb…
06-14 02:40:09	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xff0bdd…
06-14 02:35:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2b1e95…
06-14 01:49:58	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc52b03…
06-13 11:25:33	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xc26de1…
06-09 07:39:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x62c295…
06-07 13:34:55	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe2ff33…
06-07 11:16:39	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3c3fa2…
06-07 11:16:18	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6b9f7c…
06-06 08:00:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x918ef3…
06-06 07:27:42	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa4932f…
06-04 21:15:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x118bd6…
05-29 09:42:11	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xd07154…
05-25 08:24:03	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0xab66c7…
05-24 01:07:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x2ff9d7…
05-23 21:00:26	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xdec093…
05-21 11:40:43	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x68f43d…
05-19 21:15:34	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x24f565…
05-19 09:29:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbb9434…
05-18 19:18:47	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5496ae…
05-18 12:14:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x62cedd…
05-18 09:03:00	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xdeefc7…
05-17 08:19:17	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc4fce3…
05-17 01:02:43	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x27ad93…
05-16 22:52:54	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x889706…
05-16 00:27:18	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1c4a3c…
05-16 00:26:30	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x66a272…
05-16 00:14:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa278df…
05-15 23:54:01	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb95c09…
05-15 07:31:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x727007…
05-15 07:23:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x003085…
05-15 01:58:18	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd99800…
05-15 01:47:34	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xd8a3ba…
05-14 08:23:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8c925f…
05-14 08:23:17	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc0158c…
05-13 09:26:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x79f65c…
05-13 08:54:50	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x519494…
05-13 08:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3c4c55…
05-10 11:54:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x440aca…
05-10 11:49:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x508dd9…
05-10 11:48:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7b3b32…
05-10 08:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x785eb4…
05-08 09:33:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x265099…
05-07 22:11:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc94fb5…
05-06 17:34:16	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee6f62…