Memorable-Swanling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$94

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

308

Trades

4,855

lifetime

Volume

$721.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$217

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-09 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Politics

51% 57% -$3,021

Other

43% 55% -$5,359

Crypto

4% 38% -$904

Tech

1% 50% -$111

Sports

1% 25% -$1,084

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	+511	$130	16¢	$79	-$50	10-27 10:06
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	+415	$154	18¢	$73	-$81	11-01 13:03
Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026?	No	+163	$61	40¢	$65	+$4	11-08 23:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	+1	-$21	15¢	$0	+$22	11-09 00:55
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	+0	-$12	81¢	$0	+$12	05-08 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	232	$46.3K	62,236	58,513	+3,723	Yes	-$5,960	06-19 10:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	90	$40.8K	33,639	33,639	+0	Yes	-$280	04-21 04:05
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	47	$31.2K	24,972	14,932	+10,040	No	+$3,975	03-31 18:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	61	$24.1K	16,838	16,838	+0	No	+$1,292	05-28 02:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	232	$15.1K	25,615	25,615	+0	Yes	-$353	03-19 01:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	82	$14.5K	13,929	13,929	+0	No	-$429	04-29 01:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	88	$14.0K	18,764	18,764	+0	Yes	-$2,561	03-30 04:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	21	$12.6K	10,952	10,952	+0	No	+$1,544	06-12 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	76	$10.7K	12,323	12,323	+0	No	+$249	04-09 18:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	129	$10.2K	10,041	10,040	+0	Yes	+$186	08-07 18:11
us strikes iraq by march 7	49	$10.1K	12,444	13,161	-716	Yes	+$1,078	03-08 04:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	52	$10.0K	8,031	8,004	+28	No	-$248	04-17 12:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	43	$9.9K	14,593	14,593	+0	Yes	-$2,511	04-03 12:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	59	$9.8K	10,107	10,107	+0	No	+$240	09-07 13:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	14	$9.0K	7,531	7,077	+454	No	+$105	08-07 17:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	28	$9.0K	6,848	6,848	+0	No	-$42	04-21 17:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	83	$8.1K	9,068	9,068	+0	Yes	+$558	10-30 15:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	36	$8.1K	7,023	7,023	+0	Yes	-$136	01-30 01:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	17	$8.0K	4,557	4,557	+0	No	-$436	04-20 14:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	12	$7.6K	5,660	5,660	+0	No	+$859	09-01 19:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?	5	$7.5K	5,896	3,296	+2,600	No	-$146	09-08 15:59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	48	$6.9K	4,933	4,933	+0	Yes	+$227	09-13 06:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	21	$6.7K	6,062	5,488	+573	No	+$315	08-12 06:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	123	$6.0K	6,724	6,724	+0	Yes	+$608	04-28 15:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$5.8K	4,549	4,049	+500	Yes	+$595	02-28 06:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	14	$5.8K	6,503	6,503	-0	Yes	-$687	06-20 19:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 10?	4	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$243	09-10 12:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	4	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$48	04-19 14:26
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	33	$5.2K	4,110	4,110	+0	No	+$990	02-25 15:46
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	19	$5.1K	4,799	4,799	+0	No	+$587	03-23 11:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:55:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	SELL	1,441	37¢	$533	0xeb34d9…
11-08 23:59:24	Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	155	37¢	$57	0x586a9f…
11-06 13:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x149587…
11-06 03:38:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	531	38¢	$202	0x4ebbf0…
11-05 18:02:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x601a42…
11-05 16:14:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	700	18¢	$126	0xe43185…
11-05 16:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x78aca7…
11-05 15:55:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	216	33¢	$71	0xd09d76…
11-05 15:55:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	193	33¢	$63	0x98d363…
11-05 15:06:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	SELL	1,194	30¢	$358	0x3a3e24…
11-05 15:06:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	SELL	106	30¢	$32	0xad2f87…
11-05 13:28:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	No	SELL	656	67¢	$440	0x10158d…
11-05 02:56:00	Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x72cc51…
11-04 15:08:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	700	39¢	$273	0x34eb8c…
11-04 15:00:58	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	717	61¢	$437	0x316692…
11-04 01:00:07	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x70d2b1…
11-04 00:14:42	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	708	58¢	$411	0x34924a…
11-03 12:36:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	No	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xca775a…
11-03 12:24:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	446	14¢	$63	0xc77890…
11-03 12:24:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	254	14¢	$36	0xc46ef4…
11-03 07:14:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,094	27¢	$572	0x2fee4e…
11-03 02:07:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	800	37¢	$299	0x6a7b37…
11-03 01:16:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xb5eaae…
11-03 00:54:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x903705…
11-03 00:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0x6d0bb7…
11-03 00:54:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	183	22¢	$41	0xcb0594…
11-03 00:51:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	170	5¢	$8	0x44d3d9…
11-03 00:51:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x2e2248…
11-03 00:50:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xc7bfbc…
11-03 00:50:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x7b9e77…
11-03 00:50:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x856ccb…
11-03 00:50:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x37db87…
11-03 00:50:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	104	11¢	$11	0xc76d1c…
11-03 00:50:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	175	11¢	$19	0x72948c…
11-03 00:50:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	135	11¢	$15	0x532ed6…
11-03 00:50:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	255	11¢	$28	0x2136bc…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	185	11¢	$20	0xddc4be…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xd09aa9…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	255	11¢	$28	0xad11d0…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	255	11¢	$28	0x7681a8…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	318	11¢	$35	0x21242f…
11-03 00:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x0110f0…
11-03 00:48:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	144	20¢	$29	0xddd582…
11-03 00:47:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x5705d8…
11-02 20:52:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	366	60¢	$220	0xe1e8d8…
11-02 20:52:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf62d68…
11-02 20:52:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92402f…
11-02 20:52:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7f13ab…
11-02 20:52:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6e401f…
11-02 20:52:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0x718dbd…
11-02 20:52:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	348	60¢	$209	0x8bfa4a…
11-02 15:58:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	No	BUY	111	46¢	$51	0x33ac2d…
11-02 15:57:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November?	No	BUY	289	46¢	$133	0xe0ccea…
11-02 15:55:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x815a55…
11-02 15:55:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0x7e43e5…
11-02 15:52:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0x80649f…
11-02 15:51:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0x853bb2…
11-02 15:07:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	380	48¢	$182	0x13aadd…
11-02 15:06:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x703f09…
11-02 15:06:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x1cf77f…
11-02 14:59:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	637	46¢	$293	0x4c2f32…
11-02 02:09:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	658	34¢	$224	0x14f421…
11-01 19:09:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	295	16¢	$47	0x379deb…
11-01 17:39:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	197	52¢	$103	0xe14ba5…
11-01 17:36:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xc165fb…
11-01 15:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xc2fdf3…
11-01 13:04:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb8f34f…
11-01 13:03:04	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	415	37¢	$154	0x8b00fe…
10-30 15:52:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1,562	69¢	$1,078	0x01fe9e…
10-30 13:09:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	700	56¢	$392	0x9075ae…
10-30 05:53:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x455a73…
10-30 05:51:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	434	46¢	$200	0xe3e697…
10-30 05:51:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	120	46¢	$55	0x394c43…
10-30 05:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	426	47¢	$202	0x3bf222…
10-30 05:50:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	181	51¢	$92	0xe8a7f2…
10-30 05:11:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	800	9¢	$74	0x506722…
10-30 02:37:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	600	55¢	$329	0x9b9e74…
10-30 02:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0d1aca…
10-30 02:25:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	228	45¢	$102	0xf9ab36…
10-30 02:08:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x326807…
10-30 01:59:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	453	29¢	$131	0x5667a1…
10-30 01:56:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x0ee482…
10-29 17:03:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	544	96¢	$524	0x7380cf…
10-29 16:57:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0xd25ba6…
10-29 16:20:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	497	96¢	$479	0xfc650c…
10-29 11:53:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0xadcc55…
10-29 03:08:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	289	74¢	$215	0xe210cd…
10-29 03:07:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	802	57¢	$457	0x75361a…
10-29 03:05:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x213e65…
10-29 02:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	218	66¢	$143	0x76336c…
10-28 14:49:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1,339	50¢	$671	0x060557…
10-28 14:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	275	55¢	$151	0xae364f…
10-28 13:46:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x0403d4…
10-28 11:16:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x95d0e1…
10-28 11:15:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	37	45¢	$16	0xe1b2d8…
10-28 11:15:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1a3a97…
10-28 11:14:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x6f4fb6…
10-28 11:13:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	136	45¢	$61	0xaf03f2…
10-28 11:09:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	136	45¢	$61	0x38a688…
10-28 08:04:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	247	52¢	$128	0x5cf37d…