Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 09-30 01:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

59% 14% -$12

Other

41% 60% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-30 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$929	480	480	+0	No	-$2	05-09 08:25
will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	2	$880	465	465	+0	No	+$1	08-02 07:24
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	2	$874	465	465	+0	Yes	+$0	08-02 06:36
will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	2	$836	445	445	+0	No	+$0	08-13 08:16
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	2	$828	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-13 09:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$752	660	660	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 07:51
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$463	472	0	+472	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 08:28
tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	1	$312	335	0	+335	Çaykur Rizespor	+$23	04-13 07:34
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	3	$138	920	920	+0	open	—	07-15 05:45
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	3	$129	920	920	+0	open	—	07-15 02:33
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	5	$125	580	580	+0	open	—	06-22 10:46
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	4	$98	815	815	+0	open	—	07-02 08:30
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	3	$97	820	820	+0	open	—	07-02 07:20
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	4	$71	540	540	+0	No	-$1	06-22 12:06
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	4	$65	540	540	+0	open	—	06-21 05:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$53	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-27 05:52
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	4	$44	540	540	+0	No	-$10	06-18 07:04
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	4	$40	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-19 09:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-30 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 01:51:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe2f4ed…
08-13 09:36:28	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	No	SELL	450	92¢	$414	0xc98e8c…
08-13 08:54:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0x2e5c7c…
08-13 08:16:40	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	SELL	445	94¢	$418	0xed3f78…
08-13 07:09:34	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	No	BUY	445	94¢	$418	0xca0b09…
08-02 07:24:47	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	No	SELL	465	95¢	$441	0x7918b7…
08-02 06:48:35	will a new country join the abraham accords by august 31 1785517679415	No	BUY	465	94¢	$439	0xdba752…
08-02 06:36:27	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	Yes	SELL	465	94¢	$437	0xe8d270…
08-02 03:21:02	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	Yes	BUY	465	94¢	$437	0xeb48f0…
07-15 05:45:19	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	920	8¢	$74	0xf62ec6…
07-15 03:10:43	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	450	7¢	$32	0xa9f270…
07-15 03:10:41	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$33	0x0f5607…
07-15 02:33:22	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	920	7¢	$64	0x0b823b…
07-15 01:55:22	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$33	0x49a5a1…
07-15 01:55:20	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	450	7¢	$32	0x7c0a73…
07-02 08:30:55	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	420	6¢	$25	0x4bd765…
07-02 08:29:47	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	395	6¢	$24	0xbc73ae…
07-02 07:45:13	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	420	6¢	$25	0x1b2926…
07-02 07:45:13	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	395	6¢	$24	0x17bf66…
07-02 07:20:17	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	820	6¢	$48	0xc34820…
07-02 06:40:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	420	6¢	$25	0xed6f8b…
07-02 06:40:14	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x5fcb38…
06-22 12:06:31	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	6¢	$18	0xab99ec…
06-22 12:06:19	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	6¢	$17	0xc1d6ac…
06-22 10:53:02	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	7¢	$17	0x1b9316…
06-22 10:52:44	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	7¢	$18	0x0e026b…
06-22 10:46:52	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xb21a8f…
06-22 10:46:44	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	295	12¢	$35	0x3523b9…
06-22 10:45:53	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	280	11¢	$31	0xaffa4c…
06-22 07:50:29	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	285	10¢	$28	0x58795d…
06-22 07:50:13	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	BUY	295	10¢	$30	0x5820ea…
06-21 05:23:05	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	SELL	275	6¢	$16	0xa4f8ed…
06-21 05:22:52	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	SELL	265	6¢	$16	0x607770…
06-21 02:04:07	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	BUY	265	6¢	$16	0x3491f0…
06-21 02:03:32	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	BUY	275	6¢	$16	0x71063b…
06-19 09:04:50	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	SELL	255	4¢	$10	0x109b78…
06-19 09:04:29	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	SELL	245	4¢	$10	0x3bcbb4…
06-19 07:50:43	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0x257818…
06-19 07:50:37	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	BUY	255	4¢	$10	0x651074…
06-18 07:04:14	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	260	3¢	$8	0x678ad2…
06-18 07:03:59	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	280	3¢	$9	0xda5ce9…
06-18 03:07:05	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	280	5¢	$14	0x376bf3…
06-18 03:06:44	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0x2143cf…
05-29 07:51:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x8558b8…
05-29 07:50:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	168	56¢	$94	0x60bc6c…
05-29 07:34:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	220	56¢	$123	0xd8ada4…
05-29 06:33:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	220	57¢	$125	0x20b138…
05-29 06:17:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	215	57¢	$123	0x14cae1…
05-29 06:13:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6678ab…
05-29 04:27:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	220	58¢	$128	0x8534d8…
05-29 04:08:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	220	58¢	$128	0xebf96f…
05-27 05:52:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$27	0xdd62df…
05-27 05:28:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0x6538d1…
05-09 08:28:12	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	472	98¢	$463	0xf5b920…
05-09 08:25:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	480	97¢	$463	0x09ec03…
05-09 05:38:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	480	97¢	$466	0x8b8d10…
04-13 07:34:33	tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	335	93¢	$312	0x0ccb11…