Capital-Frock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,506

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-30 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-11

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 325 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773301200	9	$76	33	66	-33	open	—	03-12 07:45
ethereum up or down on march 13	18	$71	72	72	+0	open	—	03-13 11:36
btc updown 15m 1774015200	7	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	03-20 14:14
btc updown 15m 1772970300	11	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$32	26	26	+0	Down	$-5	05-14 03:45
btc updown 5m 1772945700	8	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 05:00
btc updown 5m 1773006300	12	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 21:49
btc updown 15m 1774022400	5	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 16:10
btc updown 5m 1773013500	6	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$30	36	29	+7	open	—	04-30 04:00
btc updown 5m 1773015300	9	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	03-09 00:19
btc updown 5m 1773003600	13	$28	36	29	+7	open	—	03-08 21:05
btc updown 5m 1773009300	11	$28	30	24	+6	open	—	03-08 22:39
btc updown 15m 1773045000	11	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773010800	11	$26	36	18	+18	open	—	03-08 23:03
btc updown 15m 1774007100	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 11:57
btc updown 5m 1773007800	11	$26	36	30	+6	open	—	03-08 22:15
btc updown 5m 1773011100	7	$26	30	12	+18	open	—	03-08 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	7	$24	21	19	+2	Up	$-6	05-12 19:15
btc updown 5m 1772989500	10	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 17:09
btc updown 5m 1773859200	4	$24	18	12	+6	open	—	03-18 18:46
btc updown 15m 1774017000	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-20 14:39
btc updown 15m 1773046800	9	$24	36	24	+12	open	—	03-09 09:15
btc updown 15m 1774017900	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-20 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	6	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 04:02
btc updown 15m 1773979200	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-20 04:07
btc updown 5m 1774715100	8	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	03-28 16:29
btc updown 15m 1774057500	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	03-21 01:58
btc updown 5m 1772952600	5	$22	24	12	+12	open	—	03-08 06:55
btc updown 5m 1773017100	8	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:17:07	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdcd5dd…
07-01 06:16:55	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x79a32e…
07-01 06:16:55	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x464df8…
07-01 06:16:50	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfedf73…
07-01 06:16:41	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee0726…
07-01 06:16:37	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd85aef…
07-01 06:16:35	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x416621…
07-01 06:16:34	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8d7440…
07-01 06:16:31	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x03e96f…
07-01 06:16:26	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf2ec1c…
07-01 06:16:17	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6b46c7…
07-01 06:16:16	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6dbdcf…
07-01 06:16:14	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1ae67d…
07-01 06:16:10	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb86ced…
07-01 06:16:08	btc updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd96e34…
07-01 06:16:07	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2845d4…
07-01 06:16:04	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x442d92…
07-01 06:16:02	eth updown 5m 1782886500	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc097b…
07-01 06:13:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x01fed9…
07-01 06:13:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xe2790b…
07-01 06:13:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x94cb99…
07-01 06:11:52	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb4690c…
07-01 06:10:22	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x07e8e0…
07-01 06:07:26	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x75f22b…
07-01 06:06:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x98195a…
07-01 02:13:05	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdab0d2…
07-01 02:12:31	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51429a…
07-01 02:06:38	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xc856aa…
07-01 01:02:32	will the match not air 20260629195526269	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x45f3d3…
06-30 21:12:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x35cd01…
06-30 20:26:49	nvda close above 200 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa42386…
06-30 20:18:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x89ad37…
06-30 20:01:19	nvda close above 200 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc824de…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x56798c…
06-30 16:33:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x53aab3…
06-30 16:27:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8d6125…
06-30 16:17:10	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bb1d2…
06-30 16:03:40	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdb621c…
06-30 15:03:23	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd7f0ee…
06-30 15:01:22	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf0643…
06-30 14:18:46	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x02e4d5…
06-30 12:33:10	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb08a3a…
06-30 11:56:47	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1e2274…
06-30 08:41:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xd5703d…
06-30 08:39:35	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x798d70…
06-30 07:34:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xf7607e…
06-30 06:41:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2cca36…
06-30 05:06:53	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf4a699…
06-30 04:04:37	will lab reach 22 before 2027	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x728391…
06-30 03:40:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b0ec2…
06-30 03:40:25	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x68ad9f…
06-30 01:54:08	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4156ee…
06-29 20:00:13	nvda close above 195 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x531f11…
06-29 17:05:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xbe5800…
06-29 16:00:38	ethereum up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x519796…
06-29 07:05:59	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcfea85…
06-29 06:49:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd26e5…
06-29 06:40:38	will lab reach 22 before 2027	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x246ded…
06-28 23:03:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb037e4…
06-28 21:29:01	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9847ab…
06-28 20:39:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7b3354…
06-28 20:37:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb90996…
06-28 19:21:17	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c0796…
06-28 19:01:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb3c088…
06-28 16:53:37	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x57e288…
06-27 21:29:49	eth updown 15m 1782594900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x731055…
06-27 20:59:52	eth updown 15m 1782593100	Down	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0x4cbee5…
06-27 15:59:46	eth updown 15m 1782575100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xff802e…
06-27 02:44:50	btc updown 15m 1782527400	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe2370f…
06-26 08:59:44	btc updown 15m 1782463500	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x27a315…
06-26 06:48:40	btc updown 5m 1782456300	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x474e56…
06-26 06:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782455700	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7569bd…
06-26 06:36:55	btc updown 5m 1782455700	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x93d7a3…
06-23 05:39:50	btc updown 5m 1782192900	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa46f64…
06-22 16:19:58	btc updown 5m 1782144900	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x580d2b…
06-22 05:34:37	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4d399c…
06-21 09:04:59	btc updown 5m 1782032400	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb5b16e…
06-21 09:04:59	btc updown 5m 1782032400	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x641630…
06-21 07:49:53	btc updown 5m 1782027900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe3a609…
06-20 23:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781997300	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd63393…
06-20 19:14:47	eth updown 5m 1781982600	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0b409b…
06-20 17:50:01	eth updown 5m 1781977500	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x05b809…
06-20 08:34:35	btc updown 5m 1781944200	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3b9b19…
06-19 16:24:37	btc updown 5m 1781886000	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa14cab…
06-19 02:49:04	btc updown 5m 1781837100	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3a0d87…
06-19 02:09:16	btc updown 5m 1781834700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1e45cc…
06-18 16:34:58	btc updown 5m 1781800200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8f70f…
06-18 16:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781799900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57a148…
06-18 16:14:58	btc updown 5m 1781799000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9dfcd…
06-18 13:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781788200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49dd01…
06-18 10:50:52	btc updown 5m 1781779500	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e8b8e…
06-18 04:19:47	btc updown 5m 1781756100	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x00dc02…
06-17 15:19:50	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1351dc…
06-17 08:30:02	btc updown 5m 1781684700	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x4f80e9…
06-17 06:09:50	btc updown 5m 1781676300	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x452d0b…
06-17 01:09:56	btc updown 5m 1781658300	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8e5a8e…
06-16 18:34:55	btc updown 5m 1781634600	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9ef808…
06-16 14:50:01	btc updown 5m 1781621100	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa3393f…
06-15 17:54:58	btc updown 5m 1781545800	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x901629…
05-14 11:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xded7f3…