Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$742

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved (90d)

200

Trades (90d)

2,011

2,011 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$16.5K

$16.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-12 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

73% 10% -$621

Sports

11% 8% -$38

Politics

11% 0% -$36

Tech

2% 22% -$40

Pop-Culture

2% 20% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	+20	$21	55¢	$11	-$10	10-27 12:30
Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	+0	$2	24¢	$0	-$2	10-20 04:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	No	+0	$0	34¢	$0	$0	10-27 15:32
Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	+0	$0	64¢	$0	+$0	10-28 06:20
Will Albania win 2026-27 Nations League Group C1?	No	+0	$3	25¢	$0	-$3	10-22 00:11
Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	+0	$1	78¢	$0	-$1	10-24 22:26
Will the Seattle Seahawks have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	+0	$8	36¢	$0	-$8	10-26 16:12
Will Jonathan Taylor have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	+0	$3	44¢	$0	-$3	10-23 01:36
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?	No	+0	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	10-22 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	10	$141	110	110	+0	No	-$20	10-26 20:19
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?	8	$102	80	80	+0	open	—	10-24 08:08
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	11	$91	78	78	+0	No	-$10	10-25 21:00
Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	8	$90	73	73	+0	open	—	10-23 04:30
Will Colston Loveland have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	9	$86	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 18:28
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	7	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 21:36
Will Carnell Tate have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$81	73	73	+0	open	—	10-26 07:59
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	10	$80	80	80	+0	Yes	-$13	10-24 22:54
Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	9	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	10-24 09:46
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	8	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 12:43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?	7	$75	60	60	+0	open	—	10-23 19:59
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	6	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 15:25
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	6	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 04:27
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	10	$73	69	69	+0	open	—	10-29 08:41
Will Trey McBride have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	9	$73	79	79	+0	open	—	10-27 01:47
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$71	60	60	+0	No	-$6	10-28 19:26
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia?	6	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 18:00
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?	6	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 20:16
Will Drake London have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	6	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 21:03
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	9	$68	60	60	+0	Yes	-$19	10-23 05:22
Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	9	$67	59	59	+0	open	—	10-25 08:40
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?	7	$66	53	53	+0	open	—	10-28 08:41
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	8	$65	61	61	+0	No	-$7	10-26 22:28
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	9	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 21:33
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	6	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 19:32
Will Chase Brown finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	7	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	10-24 14:25
Will Dak Prescott have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 11:41
Will there be 6+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	6	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 23:01
Will Rome Odunze have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$64	45	45	+0	open	—	10-27 11:32
Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	8	$63	50	50	+0	open	—	10-28 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 15:50:31	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0xffb0fc…
11-12 15:50:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xdc6f7c…
11-12 15:49:58	Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x6eac31…
11-12 15:49:42	Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x4fb4cc…
11-11 08:15:28	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xcb4c02…
11-09 11:06:09	Will Kyren Williams have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xad546e…
11-03 21:13:13	Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x46e2b4…
11-02 19:46:58	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x8159bc…
11-01 22:21:12	Will Zay Flowers have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x8bd19e…
11-01 15:53:24	Will JJ Wetherholt win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0xa88128…
10-30 09:28:06	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8cfbac…
10-30 01:56:49	Will C.J. Stroud have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8b4698…
10-30 01:47:40	Will C.J. Stroud have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xf4a7a2…
10-30 01:47:40	Will C.J. Stroud have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x0aa41c…
10-29 21:33:03	Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x69d181…
10-29 17:41:53	Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xd2f9bc…
10-29 16:05:17	Will Caleb Williams have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x0f0e19…
10-29 13:23:44	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1a7e2f…
10-29 13:18:01	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa3cdd0…
10-29 13:16:37	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7ad03c…
10-29 13:13:07	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x1151fc…
10-29 12:51:41	Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2dc181…
10-29 12:08:26	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xa669ee…
10-29 12:05:20	Will NK Slaven Belupo be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x75a957…
10-29 11:49:22	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa88cc0…
10-29 11:48:19	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x1122d1…
10-29 11:28:11	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x6e67d8…
10-29 11:19:50	Will Caleb Williams have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xac1e00…
10-29 11:04:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xff01e7…
10-29 10:34:34	Will Kenneth Walker III have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0xaca059…
10-29 10:34:34	Will Kenneth Walker III have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x176953…
10-29 09:29:01	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x512cab…
10-29 08:41:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x607c56…
10-29 08:41:49	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xc407ec…
10-29 08:41:49	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9b808f…
10-29 08:41:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xe93c27…
10-29 08:11:02	Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?	No	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x567102…
10-29 08:10:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x1fc62e…
10-29 07:59:29	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xc4ad61…
10-29 07:58:56	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xef6611…
10-29 07:57:23	Will NK Slaven Belupo be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfc7ea0…
10-29 07:39:17	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x37fc49…
10-29 07:35:52	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xd07232…
10-29 06:26:07	Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x32902e…
10-29 06:13:59	Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xa03858…
10-29 06:13:26	Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x82671e…
10-29 06:13:17	Will Orense be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x2d757d…
10-29 05:45:37	Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x2d4423…
10-29 05:45:37	Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x201d24…
10-29 05:36:58	Will Orense be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe994ba…
10-29 05:22:38	Will Kenneth Walker III have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9825d8…
10-29 05:22:22	Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x334e22…
10-29 05:20:11	Will Cameron Ward have 15.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xd68752…
10-29 05:13:16	Will Cameron Ward have 15.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc0d439…
10-29 05:10:53	Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc79ceb…
10-29 05:06:56	Over $1M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x02ec99…
10-29 04:30:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xbbfe6b…
10-29 02:43:10	will rihanna have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xa044bd…
10-29 02:41:56	will rihanna have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 20261130	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x492477…
10-29 02:30:20	Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x46718e…
10-29 02:14:58	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x48a888…
10-29 01:57:23	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x9393fd…
10-29 01:57:08	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x829102…
10-29 01:55:56	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9ce213…
10-29 01:12:40	Will Quentin Johnston have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x7ab837…
10-29 00:55:59	Will Quentin Johnston have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb44a0b…
10-29 00:33:23	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3b8adc…
10-29 00:12:38	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xf32d8e…
10-28 23:56:37	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc3ef33…
10-28 23:39:31	Will Drew Rasmussen lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0x6a2850…
10-28 23:37:58	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2302b3…
10-28 23:26:17	gemini carbon released by november 6 2026 20261026	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xdfc7a0…
10-28 23:24:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x108503…
10-28 23:23:50	gemini carbon released by november 6 2026 20261026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc8983c…
10-28 23:23:14	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x42a5c5…
10-28 23:19:25	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x87b5a7…
10-28 23:01:38	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x766f5b…
10-28 22:48:38	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x3a502d…
10-28 22:44:25	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf0b72e…
10-28 22:44:08	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfe3367…
10-28 22:35:26	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x70d9c2…
10-28 22:34:25	Will Drew Rasmussen lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x924296…
10-28 22:24:11	will there be no next gemini flash lite model 3pt6 release by november 30 2026	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x7fa3ad…
10-28 22:24:01	will there be no next gemini flash lite model 3pt6 release by november 30 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8bd6ac…
10-28 22:12:40	will the next fable model 5pt2 be released on november 3 2026	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9aeb63…
10-28 21:46:19	Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Data Center & AI revenue be above $6.5B?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xe99d0b…
10-28 21:29:32	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xbab5b8…
10-28 21:28:50	Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xbef14a…
10-28 21:28:49	Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7904f5…
10-28 21:19:04	Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x30b8b8…
10-28 20:32:16	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xae7c36…
10-28 20:32:07	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb5c4f4…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $53B?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x25288e…
10-28 19:48:25	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xd0cfc1…
10-28 19:26:32	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x697fde…
10-28 19:13:47	Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xe74656…
10-28 19:12:31	will the us birth rate in 2026 be 52pt0 or higher	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x58e630…
10-28 18:50:52	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x1beead…
10-28 18:48:05	Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x79f4e8…
10-28 18:35:16	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x438435…