Authorized-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

280

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:06
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:19
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 15:20
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:23
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeefb74…
10-31 09:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x615a0d…
10-30 10:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef2d10…
10-29 08:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c35cf…
10-28 07:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b9ddc…
10-27 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd7fe3…
10-26 09:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63bdc…
10-22 10:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a3c17…
10-20 07:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06341f…
10-19 08:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe743d4…
10-18 09:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab820c…
10-17 11:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19ab28…
10-16 08:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041ad5…
10-15 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7058eb…
10-14 09:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x941f64…
10-13 08:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c49cd…
10-12 08:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x955ba9…
10-11 08:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd555aa…
10-08 08:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa12ba6…
10-07 14:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd73248…
10-06 07:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85c85a…
10-04 15:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ba6bb…
10-03 05:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf54f20…
10-02 07:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5c6ea…
10-01 08:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x130fab…
09-30 12:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbf384…
09-29 14:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bdc8a…
09-28 09:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb7277…
09-27 08:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x139d1d…
09-25 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771587…
09-24 08:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x739b5b…
09-23 06:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x442cf1…
09-22 07:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bed46…
09-21 09:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb161f0…
09-20 05:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1471ff…
09-19 08:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57c1e5…
09-18 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e3b33…
09-17 03:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dfe80…
09-16 08:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f9c3e…
09-15 09:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ab357…
09-14 08:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63a2f7…
09-12 16:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x354914…
09-11 07:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed4ec9…
09-10 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0a85a…
09-09 02:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc234e9…
09-08 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7789a…
09-07 08:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2eea1…
09-06 17:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7e873…
09-06 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dbac1…
09-05 09:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91a15e…
09-04 17:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfee129…
09-03 09:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaab23…
09-02 07:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41d8dd…
08-30 08:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x371f50…
08-29 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe50997…
08-28 07:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a5e9…
08-27 08:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa5a1e…
08-26 08:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x038793…
08-25 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0cb27…
08-24 09:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b70d4…
08-23 14:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed47cb…
08-22 08:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ef88f…
08-21 07:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04044c…
08-20 08:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4301a0…
08-19 10:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6df46e…
08-18 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898676…
08-17 07:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa85cfa…
08-16 11:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f0224…
08-15 09:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9061…
08-14 06:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60fc4f…
08-13 07:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4d0be…
08-12 07:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5908ac…
08-11 06:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x422336…
08-10 06:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x997051…
08-09 01:20:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc18683…
08-08 07:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d0c5…
08-07 01:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84559…
08-06 06:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5494dc…
08-05 07:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ff1a4…
08-04 08:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e7ece…
08-03 07:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc42ce…
08-02 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x599f86…
08-01 06:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x765b09…
07-31 08:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19a1f7…
07-30 06:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72aa0a…
07-29 06:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2a65a…
07-28 06:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c5292…
07-27 08:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfb45c…
07-26 06:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb99cee…
07-25 07:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x521cca…
07-24 09:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8f087…
07-23 07:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc487d…
07-22 01:49:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0f127…
07-20 23:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x404677…
07-20 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x432378…
07-18 23:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5001e8…
07-18 00:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9741eb…
07-17 06:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f161f…
07-15 22:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e71a7…
07-15 07:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32bc65…