Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$209

Hit rate

26.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,103

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$609

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-27 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

96% 25% -$8,161

Sports

4% 0% -$746

Crypto

0% 50% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,000	$220	21¢	$210	-$10	10-19 14:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+7,000	$126	3¢	$185	+$60	09-29 23:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10,992	$91	1¢	$88	-$3	09-21 00:10
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+12,163	$58	1¢	$67	+$9	10-27 11:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+11,277	$108	0¢	$39	-$69	10-14 13:19
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,050	$61	1¢	$15	-$46	10-17 06:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+400	$39	1¢	$3	-$36	09-04 03:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,385	$115	0¢	$1	-$113	07-29 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$2.5K	10,000	9,291	+709	No	+$1,412	07-02 14:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	228	$1.7K	296,158	186,409	+109,749	No	-$250	07-09 01:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	24	$1.7K	207,805	0	+207,805	No	-$1,696	09-04 17:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$1.6K	1,727	1,727	+0	Yes	+$520	07-29 18:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	22	$1.5K	618,606	0	+618,606	No	-$1,459	09-04 17:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$1.4K	1,397,144	0	+1,397,144	No	-$1,397	06-09 17:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	337	$1.1K	173,549	73,549	+100,000	No	-$293	07-02 14:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$983	84,179	0	+84,179	No	-$983	02-11 09:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$949	32,760	0	+32,760	No	-$949	06-16 12:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$690	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$690	09-14 16:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$640	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$640	06-05 14:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$500	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$500	05-19 18:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$400	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$400	06-05 13:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	18	$377	41,635	0	+41,635	No	-$377	09-02 01:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$361	480	0	+480	Yes	+$119	07-29 16:39
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	99	$250	111,017	0	+111,017	No	-$250	09-18 01:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$220	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-19 14:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$150	999	0	+999	No	-$150	02-09 04:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	9	$126	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	09-29 23:16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$115	500	0	+500	No	-$115	06-29 22:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$115	1,385	0	+1,385	open	—	07-29 18:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$108	11,277	0	+11,277	open	—	10-14 13:19
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$101	4,200	0	+4,200	No	-$101	06-29 22:04
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$100	06-29 22:06
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$100	145	0	+145	Yes	+$45	07-03 20:52
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$100	270	0	+270	No	-$100	07-02 17:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$99	510	0	+510	No	-$99	06-29 22:05
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$99	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$99	06-29 22:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	99	$91	11,000	8	+10,992	open	—	09-21 00:10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$80	500	0	+500	No	-$80	07-09 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:36:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	0¢	$1	0x7b7038…
10-27 11:36:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0x71b861…
10-27 11:36:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	0¢	$2	0x7f9f64…
10-27 11:36:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	0¢	$2	0x7ffc7c…
10-27 11:36:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0xdefe50…
10-27 11:36:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	0¢	$2	0xea587c…
10-27 11:36:08	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	309	0¢	$2	0xcc8877…
10-27 11:36:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0x277865…
10-27 11:35:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	397	0¢	$2	0x86dc14…
10-27 11:34:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xdbee91…
10-27 11:34:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xa1e3a5…
10-27 09:27:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xbbbf07…
10-27 08:08:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc3c0a2…
10-27 07:29:47	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa2fdfa…
10-27 04:30:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x2109ea…
10-27 04:06:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xd396b0…
10-27 02:59:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x105f25…
10-26 20:35:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe6f499…
10-26 20:32:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x18bb7a…
10-26 20:28:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3c168…
10-26 20:25:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9f29c0…
10-26 20:23:08	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc2fe2b…
10-26 20:19:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7e7cbb…
10-26 20:16:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x16d59e…
10-26 20:12:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x01438f…
10-26 20:08:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7cdd35…
10-26 20:04:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xeea347…
10-26 20:01:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd1778a…
10-26 19:57:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc0254a…
10-26 19:54:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x65a383…
10-26 19:49:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc602d3…
10-26 19:46:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8312b8…
10-26 19:42:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x13492c…
10-26 19:39:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf9f7fb…
10-26 19:36:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x076198…
10-26 19:31:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xefb1df…
10-26 19:27:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdb4d62…
10-26 19:24:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x554ad4…
10-26 19:21:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdc74a0…
10-26 19:18:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x730a76…
10-26 19:15:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4f0ac4…
10-26 19:12:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2c7a81…
10-26 19:07:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf2a6ae…
10-26 19:03:39	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd6ae98…
10-26 18:59:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6c0d15…
10-26 18:56:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf84590…
10-26 18:53:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4a2951…
10-26 11:34:08	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x284fff…
10-26 11:33:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$2	0xa293e2…
10-25 09:40:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x173b27…
10-25 09:02:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xba0f37…
10-25 09:01:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0x01a8bf…
10-25 08:05:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x4500bc…
10-25 00:02:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9a7aa2…
10-24 11:46:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe4cf40…
10-23 16:28:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0x9c280d…
10-23 07:00:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x69e9b2…
10-23 06:11:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x965e4f…
10-23 01:50:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$1	0xa7f820…
10-23 01:50:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x0ea2ea…
10-23 01:43:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xe4f613…
10-23 01:43:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0xc032ad…
10-23 01:43:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$1	0x99e3d2…
10-23 01:43:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x29b063…
10-23 01:42:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xf9c1d7…
10-22 22:47:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	0¢	$1	0xef934d…
10-22 22:47:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xaeddc1…
10-22 22:47:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x60c726…
10-22 22:24:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa6dd23…
10-22 22:24:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xac5c46…
10-22 22:24:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0c02c0…
10-22 22:24:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x98ef13…
10-22 22:24:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd5cec8…
10-22 22:24:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd81269…
10-22 22:23:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x083267…
10-22 22:21:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x54022e…
10-22 22:21:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x3eefec…
10-22 22:21:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2c7f50…
10-22 22:21:39	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf8dd42…
10-22 22:21:39	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x54e4a0…
10-22 22:21:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc03e0b…
10-22 22:21:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2ac98c…
10-22 22:21:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1fbab3…
10-22 22:21:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x70e9d4…
10-22 22:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa58450…
10-22 22:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x79f328…
10-22 22:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x616bca…
10-22 22:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2c5c14…
10-22 22:11:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x82e70f…
10-22 22:11:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf9084b…
10-22 22:11:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x19dc34…
10-22 19:17:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x5ec2ba…
10-22 13:55:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x4b0c70…
10-22 13:55:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3c9375…
10-22 13:55:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0a1379…
10-22 12:57:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7158f0…
10-22 08:39:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x858c76…
10-22 08:31:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0xaafcc2…
10-22 08:30:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	0¢	$1	0x48397b…
10-21 21:15:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x338333…