Unkempt-Step — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

205

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$73

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

59% 58% -$14

Sports

29% 56% -$9

Politics

8% 0% -$104

Crypto

4% 11% -$12

Tech

1% 33% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-70	-$61	98¢	$-69	-$9	06-07 22:35
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+98	$21	4¢	$4	-$17	09-18 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$102	114	0	+114	Yes	-$102	04-07 23:06
nhl pit nyi 2026 03 30	1	$101	101	0	+101	Penguins	+$0	03-31 01:29
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-12 07:31
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays	5	$76	675	0	+675	Cincinnati Reds	-$1	04-22 00:53
nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	2	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	06-30 17:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$61	0	70	-70	open	—	06-07 22:35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	3	$50	105	0	+105	St. Louis Cardinals	$0	04-19 01:47
nvda above 210 on march 13 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-12 12:09
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?	2	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$1	04-27 00:43
googl above 330 on march 20 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-19 15:19
nflx above 120 on july 17 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-12 13:52
nvda above 155 on march 13 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	03-12 12:09
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$21	98	0	+98	open	—	09-18 11:05
will is it cake valentines be the top us netflix show this week 237	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-22 15:47
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 758	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-22 15:47
will mike epps delusional be the top global netflix show this week february 10	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-04 12:12
amzn close above 200 on february 20 2026	3	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-20 19:06
nvda above 205 on march 20 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 15:19
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 90 99	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-07 00:57
fl1 aja ren 2026 02 22 ren	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	02-22 15:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	Under	-$15	07-17 14:47
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $560 on October 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-30 16:39
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-27 05:54
nflx above 40 on january 30 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-25 18:45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$12	22	0	+22	Kansas City Royals	-$2	04-27 00:30
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$11	20	0	+20	Cincinnati Reds	-$11	05-31 15:52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	2	$10	23	0	+23	Tampa Bay Rays	+$13	05-22 18:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-21 11:46
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 19 above $40?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	10-21 11:47
will aperture harry styles be the 1 song on spotify this week	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-04 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:41:10	Blues vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f50d2…
10-30 16:41:01	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5de749…
10-30 16:40:48	Kraken vs. Flames	Kraken	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbeade8…
10-30 16:39:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b2c1d…
10-30 16:39:43	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $560 on October 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x72771e…
10-21 11:48:29	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x057d98…
10-21 11:48:15	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7659ea…
10-21 11:47:48	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 19 above $40?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xead79f…
10-21 11:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64cedd…
09-18 11:10:51	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a97ba…
09-18 11:10:31	Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6f371d…
09-18 11:09:39	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x29957c…
09-18 11:09:21	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x46102c…
09-18 11:08:58	Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x43b0db…
09-18 11:08:36	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31ebe7…
09-18 11:08:19	Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x505683…
09-18 11:08:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe94fe0…
09-18 11:05:51	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x23e96b…
09-14 09:55:16	mlb mia ari 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f3254…
09-14 09:55:07	mlb sea laa 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b7517…
09-14 09:53:30	mlb sf stl 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0d4ccc…
09-14 09:53:21	mlb nyy min 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8997c9…
09-14 09:53:12	mlb bal nym 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xefb451…
09-14 09:53:01	mlb det tor 2026 09 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9fd0db…
09-14 09:52:34	mlb cws cle 2026 09 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9d8af…
09-14 09:52:24	mlb lad cin 2026 09 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x08b124…
09-10 16:34:46	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8a59af…
09-10 16:34:36	Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees	Colorado Rockies	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x43e9d4…
09-10 16:34:18	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdb401b…
09-10 16:34:04	Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Houston Astros	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7a7845…
08-29 15:40:28	mlb phi laa 2026 08 29	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe7b6b2…
08-29 15:40:18	mlb ari sf 2026 08 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x165335…
08-25 14:18:04	Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe63ca0…
08-25 14:17:48	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x083556…
08-25 14:17:37	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x05bed1…
08-25 14:17:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3184d3…
08-24 00:44:36	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0xbbdda7…
07-19 15:32:13	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 18	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xebfd8d…
07-19 15:30:12	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6ff7ad…
07-19 15:30:03	mlb tb bos 2026 07 19	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8223f7…
07-19 15:29:48	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 18	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x528001…
07-19 15:28:36	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x105039…
07-19 15:28:07	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x73a262…
07-19 15:27:52	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcb01b0…
07-17 14:47:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xb7b814…
07-17 14:46:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0bdfc9…
07-17 14:46:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd62fca…
07-17 14:46:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x82aa35…
07-17 14:46:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8c2e8e…
07-15 18:43:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5bb568…
07-15 18:42:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdb0b50…
07-15 18:42:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xebc58f…
07-15 18:42:37	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xee1931…
07-12 13:52:20	nflx above 110 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd0e16…
07-12 13:52:13	nflx above 120 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf0d3fa…
07-10 14:09:41	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4bed31…
07-10 14:09:31	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd977eb…
07-07 12:58:25	amzn above 275 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x925a35…
07-01 17:29:11	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x6a5a4f…
06-30 19:50:08	nvda above 230 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe07b36…
06-30 19:42:23	nvda above 230 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xdf2880…
06-30 18:57:52	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x437d91…
06-30 18:45:46	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb95169…
06-30 17:36:07	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x34558e…
06-30 17:35:56	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d42a0…
06-28 15:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1169da…
06-28 15:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb54bf1…
06-28 15:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x49fe4e…
06-28 15:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1b6c7…
06-28 15:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x523684…
06-28 15:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf38189…
06-28 15:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1de6f9…
06-28 15:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb526e…
06-28 14:58:26	mlb kc cws 2026 06 28	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa9f19d…
06-28 14:58:17	mlb chc mil 2026 06 28	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce9082…
06-28 14:58:08	mlb ari tb 2026 06 28	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x21264a…
06-28 14:57:59	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe6ee0c…
06-28 14:54:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5acdd3…
06-28 14:27:58	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6782bd…
06-28 14:27:29	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x229426…
06-28 14:27:07	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x13941d…
06-28 14:26:52	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9ede09…
06-28 14:26:26	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa39940…
06-28 14:25:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xaff969…
06-25 05:26:08	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x07f05d…
06-24 01:10:14	bitcoin above 74k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x6c275a…
06-24 01:09:29	bitcoin above 74k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x823ab6…
06-23 15:24:59	bitcoin above 74k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd556f7…
06-22 13:19:49	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x202d0c…
06-22 13:19:35	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4477e9…
06-22 13:19:26	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa1bff1…
06-22 13:19:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xda2488…
06-22 13:19:02	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6bde4e…
06-22 13:18:53	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x320bdb…
06-22 13:18:43	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb36524…
06-22 13:18:26	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x299967…
06-22 13:18:14	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1f8c7b…
06-22 13:18:01	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8579c8…
06-12 10:33:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x3e212b…
06-12 07:31:19	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b341e…