Tense-Finer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-02 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Crypto

15% 0% $-1

Politics

13% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+25	$10	40¢	$10	$-0	06-30 19:29
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-55	$-2	7¢	$-4	$-2	06-15 03:18
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-10	$-2	16¢	$-2	+$1	06-04 17:07
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$1	8¢	$1	$-0	06-04 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wuhan on march 23 2026 17c	9	$834	434	434	+0	open	—	03-23 07:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 14c	6	$801	401	401	+0	open	—	03-23 04:14
highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 20c	2	$791	401	401	+0	open	—	03-22 07:06
highest temperature in beijing on march 22 2026 22c	3	$733	392	392	+0	open	—	03-22 05:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 23c	3	$697	350	350	+0	open	—	03-21 05:18
highest temperature in chongqing on march 20 2026 17c	4	$696	349	349	+0	open	—	03-20 12:18
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$691	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	05-14 11:23
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 17c	2	$682	343	343	+0	open	—	03-22 04:05
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 16c	2	$676	339	339	+0	open	—	03-22 03:14
highest temperature in wuhan on march 22 2026 17c	4	$673	341	341	+0	open	—	03-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	2	$466	456	456	+0	open	—	03-24 05:11
highest temperature in chongqing on march 20 2026 15c	3	$418	348	348	+0	open	—	03-20 09:23
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$403	216	216	+0	open	—	05-14 09:33
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	2	$255	129	129	+0	open	—	04-22 16:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$211	112	112	+0	open	—	06-13 12:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 29c	4	$211	127	126	+1	open	—	04-10 09:33
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	2	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	06-07 16:44
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$183	94	94	+0	open	—	06-15 16:52
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	5	$159	92	92	+0	open	—	06-24 03:32
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 17corbelow	2	$141	70	70	+0	open	—	04-02 07:39
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 21c	2	$131	72	72	+0	open	—	03-20 08:13
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	2	$129	72	72	+0	open	—	03-27 08:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 18c	3	$127	69	69	+0	open	—	03-27 07:10
highest temperature in singapore on march 20 2026 32c	2	$126	81	81	+0	open	—	03-19 09:44
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 18c	2	$126	67	67	+0	open	—	03-19 08:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$124	19,505	5,752	+13,753	open	—	05-21 04:19
highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 21c	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	03-27 05:35
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	03-26 08:05
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	06-06 21:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$104	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 16:26:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcb0bb2…
07-02 16:21:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb2ef2d…
07-02 16:15:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x2019e2…
07-02 12:21:46	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x89fa27…
07-02 08:40:43	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21193e…
07-02 07:59:26	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x46431c…
06-30 19:29:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x848068…
06-30 19:13:58	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5fee2f…
06-30 17:54:05	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd9cfb7…
06-30 17:50:52	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe71888…
06-30 17:42:25	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x9e804e…
06-29 19:24:08	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a356f…
06-29 18:58:11	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	190	0¢	$1	0x3ea6d7…
06-29 18:46:34	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x36c2e3…
06-26 04:58:23	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfd922b…
06-25 20:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782420000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x04a52a…
06-25 17:47:23	eth updown 5m 1782409500	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x026fe4…
06-25 17:33:01	btc updown 5m 1782408600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4421a5…
06-25 17:28:46	btc updown 5m 1782408300	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2cebfd…
06-25 17:17:47	btc updown 5m 1782407700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd82bd1…
06-24 18:57:32	dota2 pr1 vsn2 2026 06 24	Power Rangers	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd4b4b3…
06-24 18:01:11	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x319685…
06-24 17:49:47	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5556dd…
06-24 06:01:32	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x121774…
06-24 03:32:22	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0x0fcd21…
06-24 02:14:13	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb61810…
06-23 18:55:01	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf1447e…
06-23 04:59:16	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x89c82d…
06-22 00:41:53	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x6cfd22…
06-15 21:23:51	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb0d2e7…
06-15 20:03:06	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x506ff9…
06-15 18:57:55	btc updown 5m 1781549700	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1bd04e…
06-15 18:56:45	btc updown 5m 1781549700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37b1f1…
06-15 18:52:28	btc updown 5m 1781549400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0868da…
06-15 18:46:45	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa2883d…
06-15 18:43:28	btc updown 5m 1781548800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4c63f8…
06-15 18:23:52	btc updown 5m 1781547600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa678a8…
06-15 18:22:27	btc updown 5m 1781547600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x634d16…
06-15 18:12:58	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbaccdf…
06-15 18:11:55	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x25ff48…
06-15 18:07:03	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0092fe…
06-15 18:04:46	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe39947…
06-15 18:03:25	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfef01f…
06-15 16:52:24	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0x3616a9…
06-15 07:08:34	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xc4b9a8…
06-15 03:30:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x310aa3…
06-15 03:27:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0x9a2649…
06-15 03:18:55	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xbcb889…
06-14 23:18:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcff9b3…
06-14 23:14:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0xfa95ea…
06-14 21:36:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6d9dd2…
06-14 21:17:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$1	0x68515c…
06-14 20:52:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x019744…
06-14 19:22:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x7e3634…
06-14 18:57:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xa7d823…
06-14 18:56:10	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	192	0¢	$1	0x9c925e…
06-14 18:55:58	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x525e25…
06-13 12:29:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xd33473…
06-12 08:23:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xebd8f1…
06-11 20:55:12	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x829fa6…
06-11 19:36:40	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6910d5…
06-11 19:23:43	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b68ca…
06-07 19:48:13	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xdeac4d…
06-07 19:08:34	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x18cb19…
06-07 18:31:19	Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	Ukraine	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x84f689…
06-07 18:30:28	Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	Ukraine	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6fae48…
06-07 16:44:46	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x824b69…
06-07 14:49:40	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4379a7…
06-06 21:29:13	United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xdcda57…
06-06 20:27:36	United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2a7040…
06-06 19:45:54	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xeb063b…
06-04 19:46:58	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc01de…
06-04 17:07:01	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x87bdea…
06-03 06:41:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$1	0x240ac1…
06-02 09:50:13	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3090b9…
06-02 06:43:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,125	1¢	$8	0x213f28…
06-02 05:23:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x240a1b…
06-02 05:12:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xef7b16…
05-31 17:46:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	288	0¢	$1	0x0aa71b…
05-31 17:45:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf009e0…
05-31 17:45:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb10659…
05-31 06:22:59	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0f8503…
05-31 04:09:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7be2ba…
05-30 17:49:57	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	134	25¢	$33	0xb3fa96…
05-30 17:49:33	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0xac2f64…
05-30 16:57:03	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x0d333f…
05-30 16:42:26	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x36cbf2…
05-30 15:58:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0e8b64…
05-30 15:39:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x206171…
05-30 12:25:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x00631e…
05-30 12:10:01	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x9b2616…
05-30 12:09:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x3557fe…
05-30 11:53:52	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xecf8bb…
05-30 11:53:31	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0e584a…
05-30 11:05:23	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x282572…
05-30 11:04:31	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xcde60b…
05-28 04:11:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0x66b46d…
05-25 14:04:36	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xdf8b11…
05-25 14:01:26	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xac4ff4…
05-24 20:55:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xdeff9e…