Tense-Finer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$38

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,189 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$18.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-31 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

72% 29% +$102

Politics

15% 46% -$128

Crypto

12% 15% +$92

Tech

0% 0% -$29

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 91% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+20	$10	24¢	$5	-$5	10-28 03:11
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	Yes		+40	$3	3¢	$1	-$1	10-13 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wuhan on march 23 2026 17c	9	$834	434	434	+0	No	+$33	03-23 07:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 14c	6	$801	401	401	+0	No	$0	03-23 04:14
highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 20c	2	$791	401	401	+0	No	+$10	03-22 07:06
highest temperature in beijing on march 22 2026 22c	3	$733	392	392	+0	No	+$48	03-22 05:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 23c	3	$697	350	350	+0	No	+$1	03-21 05:18
highest temperature in chongqing on march 20 2026 17c	4	$696	349	349	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 12:18
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$691	1,377	1,377	+0	No	+$171	05-14 11:23
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 17c	2	$682	343	343	+0	No	+$3	03-22 04:05
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 16c	2	$676	339	339	+0	No	+$2	03-22 03:14
highest temperature in wuhan on march 22 2026 17c	4	$673	341	341	+0	No	+$1	03-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	2	$466	456	456	+0	Yes	-$401	03-24 05:11
highest temperature in chongqing on march 20 2026 15c	3	$418	348	348	+0	No	+$278	03-20 09:23
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$403	216	216	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	2	$301	151	151	+0	No	+$1	06-03 08:06
laptop airdrop to trump holders by september 9	5	$282	341	341	+0	No	-$41	09-08 23:58
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	2	$255	129	129	+0	No	+$2	04-22 16:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$211	112	112	+0	No	+$11	06-13 12:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 29c	4	$211	127	126	+1	Yes	+$12	04-10 09:33
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06?	2	$207	108	108	+0	Yes	+$7	06-06 19:51
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	2	$205	105	105	+0	Under	+$5	06-07 16:44
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06?	3	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	06-06 18:47
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: Draw at halftime?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	06-06 15:06
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Draw at halftime?	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 09:50
Switzerland leading at halftime?	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 21:08
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$183	94	94	+0	Yes	+$3	06-15 16:52
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?	8	$165	136	136	+0	Yes	-$55	06-06 17:33
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	5	$159	92	92	+0	Yes	+$19	06-24 03:32
highest temperature in chengdu on april 2 2026 17corbelow	2	$141	70	70	+0	No	+$0	04-02 07:39
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 21c	2	$131	72	72	+0	No	+$9	03-20 08:13
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	2	$129	72	72	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:49:31	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8755c3…
10-29 05:08:05	Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	0¢	$1	0xc65344…
10-28 12:04:05	Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3a62e5…
10-28 04:02:34	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	0¢	$0	0x31188a…
10-28 04:00:35	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x29d1d2…
10-28 04:00:34	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8fb1e5…
10-28 04:00:17	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xba2ca9…
10-28 04:00:02	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8dd3fe…
10-28 03:11:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x562ff6…
10-28 03:06:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x13a8b7…
10-27 15:17:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x5e7175…
10-26 01:52:09	Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x12946d…
10-25 09:41:18	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0xefbc91…
10-24 07:02:51	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa52dc5…
10-23 15:28:26	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd8efb7…
10-23 04:03:00	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0xfe7c5f…
10-23 04:00:02	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8029a8…
10-23 04:00:02	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x109772…
10-22 23:58:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x83798f…
10-22 23:58:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x28879b…
10-22 23:58:00	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xc27645…
10-22 23:57:57	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8e90d4…
10-22 23:57:57	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0b249f…
10-22 23:57:56	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x1a7ddc…
10-22 23:57:53	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xebebb9…
10-22 23:57:53	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x80d217…
10-22 23:57:53	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x45e516…
10-22 23:57:51	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd62303…
10-22 23:57:51	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x16f905…
10-22 23:57:48	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xb5ef8f…
10-22 23:57:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc21881…
10-22 23:57:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x1e42b8…
10-22 23:57:45	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf74e99…
10-22 23:57:44	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcff5ee…
10-22 23:57:44	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b29c3…
10-22 23:57:44	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3ded93…
10-22 23:57:42	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc17a97…
10-22 23:57:42	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05f355…
10-22 23:57:41	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xbf687f…
10-22 23:57:41	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4c880e…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xdaf1ad…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd024ac…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7c1876…
10-22 23:57:39	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25fc9d…
10-22 23:57:38	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3375e…
10-22 23:57:36	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xcc3d68…
10-22 23:57:36	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1ae73d…
10-22 23:57:35	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3d26bf…
10-22 03:23:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x33f6d8…
10-21 03:55:24	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x08b099…
10-20 21:53:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe3f96…
10-20 21:53:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb2a1d6…
10-19 19:15:45	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x169e96…
10-19 12:14:08	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2dec62…
10-17 23:58:15	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xca55c0…
10-17 23:58:14	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2e4875…
10-17 23:58:14	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x036496…
10-17 23:58:12	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcc43fa…
10-17 23:58:12	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2243fb…
10-17 23:58:11	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0b3639…
10-17 23:58:08	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1fc947…
10-17 23:58:06	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xceeb2e…
10-17 23:58:06	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x69f664…
10-17 23:58:05	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xebeb12…
10-17 23:58:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x83e74d…
10-17 23:58:03	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x71bfbb…
10-17 23:58:02	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd53d9e…
10-17 23:57:59	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x291633…
10-17 23:57:54	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xef8b4d…
10-17 23:57:53	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x988902…
10-17 23:57:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05996f…
10-17 23:57:45	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc9c2c2…
10-17 23:57:42	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x486354…
10-17 23:57:41	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3c9238…
10-17 23:57:24	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x83fe1c…
10-17 23:57:24	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x60a653…
10-17 23:57:23	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x59c37b…
10-17 23:57:20	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd8a03a…
10-17 23:57:18	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2625a8…
10-17 23:57:17	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9ab1ec…
10-17 23:57:17	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x2e1787…
10-17 23:57:15	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xade3b5…
10-17 23:57:15	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x729684…
10-17 23:57:14	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa4c1c1…
10-17 23:57:14	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6f7ea0…
10-17 23:57:12	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2e8b67…
10-17 23:57:11	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc90126…
10-17 23:57:11	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x778401…
10-17 23:57:09	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xe97505…
10-17 23:57:09	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb793c1…
10-17 23:57:09	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1bde7e…
10-17 23:57:05	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce1cad…
10-17 23:57:05	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7a6a3b…
10-17 23:57:05	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ef637…
10-17 23:57:05	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5cadff…
10-17 23:57:00	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8f9c25…
10-17 23:57:00	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5c4554…
10-17 23:56:59	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x21dae9…
10-17 23:56:56	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x89cb9b…
10-17 23:56:51	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x64e943…