Realized P&L
-$28.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.65K
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$131.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8.76K
Open exposure
$15.7K
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-30 10:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
50%
83%
+$4,717
Politics
50%
25%
-$33,485
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | +12,541 | $10,000 | 86¢ | $10.7K | +$723 | 07-30 10:30 | |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 | No | +5,634 | $4,000 | 88¢ | $4.9K | +$930 | 07-30 10:37 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 1 | $25.0K | 41,612 | 0 | +41,612 | Yes | -$24,967 | 01-14 12:50 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 1 | $15.0K | 16,129 | 0 | +16,129 | No | +$1,129 | 07-30 10:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 1 | $15.0K | 17,442 | 0 | +17,442 | No | +$2,442 | 03-13 13:02 |
| will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314 | 1 | $13.7K | 24,381 | 0 | +24,381 | Yes | -$13,707 | 01-17 08:31 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 1 | $12.4K | 17,619 | 0 | +17,619 | No | +$5,198 | 01-14 12:54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 2 | $12.3K | 9,438 | 9,438 | +0 | No | +$262 | 04-08 15:34 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 1 | $10.0K | 12,541 | 0 | +12,541 | open | — | 07-30 10:30 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31 | 1 | $10.0K | 13,330 | 0 | +13,330 | No | +$3,330 | 03-15 07:14 |
| us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 | 1 | $7.1K | 11,615 | 0 | +11,615 | No | +$4,519 | 07-30 10:34 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 2 | $7.0K | 20,023 | 0 | +20,023 | No | -$6,965 | 04-08 15:36 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 | 2 | $4.0K | 5,634 | 0 | +5,634 | open | — | 07-30 10:37 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 1 | $9 | 47 | 0 | +47 | No | -$9 | 01-13 13:53 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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