Lumbering-Evaporation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

48 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$91

$91 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-05 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$6	15	+15	Up	$-6	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$5	20	+20	Down	+$15	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$5	15	+15	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$3	10	+10	Down	$-3	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$3	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$3	10	+10	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	30	+30	open	—	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7c2bda…
05-05 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x8bcef6…
05-05 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd4f006…
05-05 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5c01fb…
05-05 18:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0c9be1…
05-05 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x66762c…
05-05 18:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x96c2a6…
05-05 18:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x17ba8e…
05-05 18:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x11955d…
05-05 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6d7cfd…
05-05 18:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf029f2…
05-05 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdfc50e…
05-05 09:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb3b298…
05-05 09:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6b4d2a…
05-05 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7b0184…
05-05 09:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5b504e…
05-05 09:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x443e8f…
05-05 09:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x64b656…
05-05 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5d7697…
05-05 07:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x52e86b…
05-05 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc4fd03…
05-05 06:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdbe8d5…
05-05 06:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4cecee…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4fe8f8…
05-05 04:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x84f8e6…
05-05 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe9c88f…
05-05 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8bd80b…
05-05 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0e61d6…
05-05 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x09f3fd…
05-05 03:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf4f5e6…
05-05 03:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x48dbfd…
05-05 03:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5f5224…
05-05 03:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1499da…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x43407b…
05-05 02:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcf934b…
05-05 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x585a10…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1c0fc8…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x64f294…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8bcaf4…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x18f9d6…
05-05 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xeb9ed0…
05-05 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd1534e…
05-05 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc83540…
05-05 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa7f680…
05-05 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc796e7…
05-05 01:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x135dfd…
05-05 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4b8eee…
05-04 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc308ec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	31	$5.04K	201	05-05 18:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	30	$5.04K	173	05-05 18:54
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	29	$1.87K	120	05-05 18:54
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	29	$1.85K	117	05-05 18:53
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	27	$1.73K	168	05-05 18:54
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	27	$1.50K	141	05-05 18:54
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	26	$768	86	05-05 18:54
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	26	$513	60	05-05 18:51