Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-29 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

67% 46% +$23

Other

22% 20% -$117

Tech

11% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	+18	$15	71¢	$13	-$2	10-07 21:09
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+43	$4	19¢	$8	+$4	10-26 05:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+8	$5	58¢	$5	-$1	10-27 12:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+2	$4	98¢	$2	-$2	09-29 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	4	$77	205	69	+136	Yes	+$183	10-06 01:31
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	4	$56	57	34	+23	open	—	10-18 23:13
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	13	$45	122	87	+35	open	—	10-15 23:44
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	2	$41	29	29	+0	Yes	+$11	10-03 22:30
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	6	$41	70	12	+58	No	-$7	10-08 00:49
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$39	67	67	+0	No	+$9	10-09 07:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$39	42	42	+0	No	-$21	10-25 23:28
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	2	$38	37	37	+0	Yes	+$9	10-06 22:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 23:55
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	2	$33	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	10-12 23:15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	3	$32	25	25	+0	No	+$2	10-06 16:52
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	2	$32	29	29	+0	No	+$6	10-06 03:23
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	7	$32	62	38	+24	open	—	10-18 23:13
Will Trump say "Toyota" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	2	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	10-06 22:47
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	5	$30	42	16	+25	Yes	+$10	10-10 00:53
Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	2	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	10-06 19:06
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	2	$28	77	48	+29	open	—	10-24 18:00
Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	2	$26	30	30	+0	No	-$4	10-12 02:00
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	3	$26	79	79	+0	open	—	10-29 17:55
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	4	$26	79	36	+43	open	—	10-26 05:02
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$25	312	175	+138	No	-$5	10-09 07:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$25	21	13	+8	open	—	10-27 12:18
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$22	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	09-29 01:01
Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week?	2	$21	17	7	+9	Yes	+$0	10-08 16:27
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$20	18	18	+0	No	+$0	09-28 16:36
Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	4	$20	52	14	+39	Yes	+$19	10-07 22:09
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$19	21	21	+0	Yes	-$11	10-25 22:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$19	20	5	+15	Yes	+$4	10-15 12:37
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	4	$18	93	30	+64	open	—	10-20 04:15
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	4	$18	269	95	+174	Yes	-$12	10-08 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:55:26	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0x825bc4…
10-27 12:18:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x4f6d22…
10-27 04:59:06	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe69fd8…
10-27 04:59:02	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	19¢	$14	0x59d1a1…
10-27 00:19:11	White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xe8335b…
10-26 23:52:41	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x396ed8…
10-26 23:52:36	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4eabff…
10-26 05:02:14	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0xd95e22…
10-26 02:56:57	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x4602f8…
10-25 23:55:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02938a…
10-25 23:55:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xecccf6…
10-25 23:51:11	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xbdbd1e…
10-25 23:28:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x91505a…
10-25 22:55:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0a038a…
10-25 22:42:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x666706…
10-25 22:19:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x542a4f…
10-25 22:18:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x0ffbc6…
10-25 21:56:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x6bed5b…
10-25 21:42:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xc00827…
10-25 16:05:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x73b347…
10-25 05:10:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x045635…
10-24 21:17:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x6817d1…
10-24 20:48:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc79d06…
10-24 18:00:59	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0x164239…
10-23 06:57:08	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	19¢	$15	0x7d0df3…
10-20 04:15:53	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xa3c13a…
10-20 04:05:06	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x1c37f0…
10-18 23:13:03	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0xee652a…
10-18 23:13:03	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xc906a6…
10-18 23:12:53	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x561bed…
10-16 22:48:17	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x902858…
10-16 16:03:58	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xfd6b90…
10-15 23:44:37	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb995f9…
10-15 23:44:16	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x750ebd…
10-15 12:37:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x859910…
10-12 23:15:41	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x87210d…
10-12 19:49:51	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xbdf4c2…
10-12 05:40:03	Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x11b798…
10-12 04:46:32	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0x1aa101…
10-12 04:36:26	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xe2eac8…
10-12 02:53:27	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xf3333b…
10-12 02:35:17	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$12	0x22e793…
10-12 02:00:29	Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x48fc98…
10-12 01:48:33	Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xffffa0…
10-12 01:46:06	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" this week?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x4c0ab4…
10-11 21:45:31	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc7c03c…
10-11 00:15:21	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x3c7247…
10-10 20:31:06	Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc21181…
10-10 19:03:09	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4d9ab4…
10-10 18:55:49	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x72d85f…
10-10 18:41:13	Will Trump say "Gay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x5a537f…
10-10 18:38:55	Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb18b77…
10-10 17:47:49	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x095145…
10-10 17:47:46	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x67adc1…
10-10 17:16:12	Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0xcacb00…
10-10 16:36:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x323653…
10-10 16:18:45	Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0202cd…
10-10 14:34:24	Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x89665c…
10-10 00:53:46	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xe363e3…
10-10 00:51:05	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd495fa…
10-09 21:17:01	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x33012d…
10-09 21:09:23	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3487d3…
10-09 21:07:53	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x777e54…
10-09 21:05:10	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x164dac…
10-09 21:04:50	Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x0ff6f2…
10-09 20:20:10	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	45	32¢	$14	0x7353a6…
10-09 20:15:47	Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x69f8c3…
10-09 20:11:41	Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	46	12¢	$6	0xfa88ac…
10-09 20:08:41	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf28259…
10-09 20:04:55	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x4053c9…
10-09 20:04:25	Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x70da9b…
10-09 20:04:16	Will Trump say "Handsome" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x44c487…
10-09 20:04:11	Will Trump say "Korea" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa04521…
10-09 20:03:23	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0x7e691c…
10-09 19:59:44	Will Trump say "Helicopter" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xccb896…
10-09 19:59:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xd67f6a…
10-09 19:50:13	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xa54cf5…
10-09 19:27:05	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x11f9cd…
10-09 17:35:13	will trump say crime 10 during his midterm rally in new york october 9	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x5c638a…
10-09 16:45:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x3f73b1…
10-09 16:30:07	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x77c57c…
10-09 16:28:47	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xf30a31…
10-09 15:51:31	Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0xa7ec7a…
10-09 15:26:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xfa95ba…
10-09 09:42:19	Will Trump say "Pig" or "Piggy" this week?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x1186fa…
10-09 08:15:10	Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x0e687f…
10-09 08:03:31	Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb42d4a…
10-09 07:27:00	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x029217…
10-09 07:26:57	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x005819…
10-09 07:23:01	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xfd00bd…
10-09 07:21:13	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xa3b890…
10-09 07:20:45	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9e9fed…
10-09 07:20:43	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xe1b0bc…
10-09 07:20:42	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x414426…
10-09 07:14:07	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x7e2532…
10-09 07:05:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0xf28f42…
10-09 07:02:43	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xb90f97…
10-09 06:37:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x558318…
10-09 06:20:30	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$7	0x122765…
10-09 06:15:40	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$2	0x02dea0…