Hurtful-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

159 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$91

$1.97K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 09-20 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

95% 33% -$134

Sports

3% 60% -$4

Crypto

1% 57% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?	2	$130	87	87	+0	No	+$10	06-09 20:51
Argentina leading at halftime?	2	$121	67	67	+0	Yes	-$1	06-10 01:36
Morocco leading at halftime?	2	$118	62	62	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 19:56
Armenia vs. Moldova: Draw at halftime?	2	$91	63	63	+0	Yes	+$35	06-09 15:53
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?	2	$88	63	63	+0	Yes	-$1	06-10 22:03
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	3	$86	62	62	+0	Yes	+$37	06-09 19:04
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?	2	$78	53	53	+0	Yes	+$10	06-09 13:26
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	2	$73	45	45	+0	Yes	+$17	06-10 21:45
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus?	2	$58	50	50	+0	Yes	+$42	06-07 15:01
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?	2	$56	86	86	+0	No	-$23	06-12 19:39
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Draw at halftime?	2	$47	28	28	+0	Yes	+$8	06-07 19:39
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?	2	$39	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	05-31 04:05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	3	$37	23	23	+0	Yes	+$9	05-09 20:35
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?	1	$37	54	0	+54	No	-$37	09-20 17:35
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?	2	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	06-06 23:53
Will South Africa vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?	2	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	05-29 18:01
Niger vs. Mauritania: Draw at halftime?	2	$35	21	21	+0	Yes	+$5	06-08 20:01
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	3	$35	34	18	+16	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	05-10 19:24
Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	2	$29	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	06-06 23:02
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	1	$26	38	0	+38	Yes	+$12	09-20 03:36
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	05-29 17:43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$25	53	53	+0	No	-$16	05-30 17:54
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?	2	$25	59	59	+0	No	-$15	06-09 18:17
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi	3	$24	46	46	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	-$16	05-26 12:53
mlb pit atl 2026 06 06	2	$22	13	13	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$3	06-06 22:41
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	1	$20	49	0	+49	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$20	05-26 14:22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$20	24	0	+24	Philadelphia Phillies	-$20	05-31 04:16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	05-10 17:56
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	2	$19	10	10	+0	Sebastian Baez	+$1	06-02 10:06
New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score	1	$18	26	0	+26	Yes	+$8	09-19 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:35:52	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0x2a3b6e…
09-20 03:36:54	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x292ef6…
09-19 21:41:20	New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x816ad1…
09-16 21:43:06	Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7e81d3…
07-18 09:30:00	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x884069…
07-18 09:27:28	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x043967…
07-18 09:26:15	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x9435a7…
06-27 22:05:49	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x5edd01…
06-18 17:49:04	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xbf867f…
06-18 17:48:34	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xbc3761…
06-18 17:47:41	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe477c7…
06-16 21:15:43	Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9f52e3…
06-14 12:15:13	Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2ce24a…
06-12 20:05:39	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0xca9353…
06-12 19:39:09	Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	86	19¢	$16	0x0c2565…
06-12 18:45:36	Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	86	46¢	$39	0xe8ad07…
06-10 22:06:49	Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb837ab…
06-10 22:06:09	Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3e3768…
06-10 22:05:25	Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc303ef…
06-10 22:05:00	Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x466ccd…
06-10 22:04:31	Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0224eb…
06-10 22:03:22	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	SELL	63	69¢	$44	0xa64f98…
06-10 22:00:45	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x1b6bb5…
06-10 21:45:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xcd0ecc…
06-10 20:37:42	Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x1f280b…
06-10 20:33:36	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria?	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x20031a…
06-10 20:32:13	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xc0476f…
06-10 14:44:28	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Nigeria?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xecb007…
06-10 12:40:18	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Nigeria?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x35bb34…
06-10 12:39:51	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x13381d…
06-10 12:39:03	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Nigeria?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x510d88…
06-10 12:38:43	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Nigeria?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb1766f…
06-10 01:36:25	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	67	90¢	$60	0x2f4a06…
06-10 01:32:09	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0xd1f8fd…
06-09 23:55:19	Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcde4fd…
06-09 20:51:16	Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	87	81¢	$70	0xec8dd7…
06-09 20:45:33	Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xe4afc3…
06-09 19:04:45	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x3ad57c…
06-09 18:29:28	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xd35a00…
06-09 18:17:48	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0x260bf8…
06-09 18:11:12	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xfd5641…
06-09 18:10:46	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xb05381…
06-09 15:53:51	Armenia vs. Moldova: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x725ce9…
06-09 15:06:37	Armenia vs. Moldova: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	63	44¢	$28	0x8f7119…
06-09 13:36:46	fif idn moz 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x75ce17…
06-09 13:26:40	Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	53	83¢	$44	0xcfeef6…
06-09 13:17:40	Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	65¢	$34	0x636e14…
06-09 12:25:42	Exact Score: Philippines 3 - 0 Myanmar?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x73a9d2…
06-09 12:22:39	Exact Score: Philippines 3 - 1 Myanmar?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x872348…
06-09 04:58:30	Exact Score: Philippines 3 - 1 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x8a8274…
06-09 04:56:07	Exact Score: Philippines 3 - 0 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x63cdbe…
06-09 04:55:07	Exact Score: Philippines 2 - 1 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x08329c…
06-09 04:53:45	Exact Score: Philippines 2 - 0 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9e3971…
06-09 04:53:31	Exact Score: Philippines 1 - 1 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x79aeb3…
06-09 04:52:54	Exact Score: Philippines 1 - 0 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x6aa9d0…
06-09 04:52:22	Exact Score: Philippines 0 - 0 Myanmar?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x323c8b…
06-08 20:01:10	Niger vs. Mauritania: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x67f951…
06-08 19:28:57	Niger vs. Mauritania: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x30f5a2…
06-07 19:56:01	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x213a5c…
06-07 19:44:46	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x69132b…
06-07 19:39:52	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x1d7851…
06-07 19:25:04	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x022e5c…
06-07 15:01:45	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xce22e4…
06-07 09:43:54	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 3 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x7279ed…
06-07 09:43:10	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 1 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x565ee5…
06-07 09:38:34	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x24bd93…
06-07 09:37:42	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 1 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xff50f9…
06-07 09:37:15	Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 0 Cyprus?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x0fe7d6…
06-06 23:53:45	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x760070…
06-06 23:14:33	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0x69d2c0…
06-06 23:02:22	Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x8c34fc…
06-06 22:42:31	Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	75¢	$12	0x6959f7…
06-06 22:41:03	mlb pit atl 2026 06 06	Atlanta Braves	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xb694be…
06-06 21:10:01	mlb pit atl 2026 06 06	Atlanta Braves	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6769db…
06-06 20:55:39	Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x617d15…
06-06 20:41:03	Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0xd68103…
06-06 20:39:42	Will Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$7	0xe8e679…
06-06 20:37:25	Will Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0x0c2d62…
06-06 20:35:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4ba87e…
06-06 20:12:39	Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x03be52…
06-06 19:37:39	mlb cin stl 2026 06 06	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x6651d7…
06-06 19:27:25	mlb cin stl 2026 06 06	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x7ab8e1…
06-04 21:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5d15da…
06-04 21:13:00	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x20a5bd…
06-04 21:11:58	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1e7604…
06-04 21:06:25	Will France win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf4efa8…
06-04 21:05:22	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x615a24…
06-04 21:03:09	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x184566…
06-04 21:00:33	Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3fd795…
06-04 20:16:54	Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbc3a24…
06-04 20:16:16	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd08c75…
06-04 20:14:07	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61788f…
06-02 13:50:17	Croatia vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x898c2f…
06-02 10:13:17	Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf0fd02…
06-02 10:06:35	Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sebastian Baez	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x081757…
06-02 09:14:36	Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sebastian Baez	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x87064e…
06-02 03:16:09	Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x173b5d…
06-01 21:16:50	Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4da3f0…
06-01 21:14:08	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x83f68c…
06-01 21:12:42	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe50d77…