Wasteful-Tolerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

276

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-29 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

84% 41% -$77

Crypto

7% 46% $0

Sports

4% 0% -$18

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Politics

1% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	4	$42	24	24	+0	No	-$1	03-05 16:47
will kevin wilson be the republican nominee for ms 02	4	$41	23	23	+0	No	-$2	03-08 10:48
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	5	$39	24	21	+4	No	-$1	03-04 10:47
will jordyn tyson be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	8	$38	60	60	+0	No	-$6	02-28 05:42
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	3	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$1	02-28 00:37
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 25c	6	$28	18	18	+0	No	-$2	04-09 23:50
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	3	$27	16	16	+0	No	$0	03-02 16:54
f1 australian grand prix winner hamilton 2026 03 07	3	$24	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-07 05:38
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-11 12:34
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on march 13 2026 792	3	$23	13	13	+0	No	-$1	03-10 14:14
fl1 lor aja 2026 03 01 spread home 1pt5	3	$22	50	50	+0	AJ Auxerre	-$1	02-28 00:37
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	-$1	03-02 03:44
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 14c	3	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	04-10 08:41
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$19	6	13	-8	No	+$0	02-28 00:37
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	-$1	04-08 10:34
crint aus ind 2026 03 06 draw	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$3	03-07 16:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 5	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	-$1	03-04 10:00
nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	4	$14	40	40	+0	Yes	-$9	02-28 04:24
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	4	$14	13	6	+6	No	+$1	04-20 08:09
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 115 139	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:56
bitcoin above 62k on march 3	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	03-02 00:52
highest temperature in chicago on march 8 2026 56 57f	2	$14	10	5	+5	No	$0	03-08 08:15
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:55
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 11:56
crint zwe zaf 2026 03 01	2	$13	7	7	+0	South Africa	-$1	03-01 11:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 380 399	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	2	$12	9	5	+4	Yes	-$4	03-05 13:30
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	2	$11	7	5	+2	Yes	$0	02-25 22:25
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	03-09 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 03:29:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4e2381…
08-29 03:27:52	Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x7226f2…
05-05 21:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x9f5576…
05-05 16:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x5d975b…
05-05 16:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x363626…
05-05 16:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8da3ea…
05-01 05:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x083711…
05-01 04:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xecd975…
05-01 01:42:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x488861…
05-01 00:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6901a3…
05-01 00:32:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xee54c6…
05-01 00:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06572d…
05-01 00:19:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb4badb…
04-30 23:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x687c9d…
04-30 22:52:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb1b252…
04-30 18:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe97ebf…
04-28 10:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4d8b13…
04-27 21:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31cc59…
04-27 21:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x87cdec…
04-27 20:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x574e69…
04-27 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1cdccb…
04-27 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa7bd4d…
04-27 11:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x779de4…
04-27 11:13:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0829e…
04-27 10:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc62770…
04-27 08:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7af257…
04-27 08:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x29197a…
04-26 09:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa7462b…
04-26 08:34:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x68a84d…
04-26 05:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6c5bd4…
04-26 01:31:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x58e70c…
04-25 23:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x465977…
04-25 23:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x08a5ea…
04-25 22:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x2311c8…
04-25 22:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0xc395f8…
04-25 22:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x16a938…
04-25 21:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4c1df8…
04-25 21:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8b9533…
04-25 21:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7f32a9…
04-25 21:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4e3a5c…
04-25 17:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0db3ca…
04-25 13:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x939c71…
04-25 12:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x2e2fcb…
04-25 12:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x169cf0…
04-24 06:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4a2d27…
04-24 06:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe0aa3b…
04-24 05:46:50	highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3e7680…
04-24 05:33:10	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x82a239…
04-24 04:37:24	highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3f1b38…
04-24 00:32:02	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd82a83…
04-24 00:14:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa896e8…
04-23 18:57:06	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x93bd41…
04-23 17:42:12	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa43f5f…
04-23 17:34:14	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 64 65f	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x142a15…
04-23 15:59:14	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfe0fdb…
04-23 14:54:24	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xee9cd4…
04-23 14:23:54	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xbfdad2…
04-23 14:00:58	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x23417a…
04-23 13:12:38	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7c4360…
04-23 12:48:02	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xe013cf…
04-23 12:34:36	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x958274…
04-23 12:34:34	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xad7d5f…
04-23 12:26:18	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5e9478…
04-23 11:46:48	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5e80f7…
04-23 11:36:44	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4ef67f…
04-23 10:05:20	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa6afd3…
04-23 09:54:04	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x3ce159…
04-23 06:49:16	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x046605…
04-23 02:49:26	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf3ab23…
04-20 23:00:44	highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78db9e…
04-20 22:07:40	highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc88b59…
04-20 21:55:26	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x9cf906…
04-20 20:45:58	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xf7525d…
04-20 19:21:56	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9db3cd…
04-20 19:06:28	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x03558f…
04-20 17:42:10	highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 48 49f	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xbdcbc6…
04-20 17:25:12	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2a4173…
04-20 17:00:12	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 13c	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x480d1b…
04-20 16:42:50	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xc2efbf…
04-20 16:38:12	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xb7590d…
04-20 16:32:34	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd154aa…
04-20 16:30:26	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x788add…
04-20 14:29:24	highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5d9f78…
04-20 14:01:28	highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3fd03…
04-20 13:56:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xba7c7d…
04-20 11:09:26	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 13c	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7826d9…
04-20 10:20:08	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xea066f…
04-20 08:09:54	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xb496e9…
04-20 06:19:32	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x038ce9…
04-20 06:11:34	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e5db3…
04-20 06:09:38	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2dc802…
04-20 04:12:36	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x30985b…
04-20 03:31:40	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0d9484…
04-20 03:24:56	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x69eeb0…
04-20 03:05:14	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x85d589…
04-18 23:06:58	highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ace4f…
04-18 22:48:58	highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xbbfa8b…
04-18 17:50:28	highest temperature in houston on april 19 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5abe7a…
04-18 16:18:04	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xf8b436…
04-18 03:01:30	highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x47efca…