Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

2,517

Trades

3,705

lifetime

Volume

$92.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$75

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 09-25 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

38% 57% +$2,184

Crypto

33% 57% -$137

Other

29% 39% -$243

Tech

0% 0% -$146

Sports

0% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		+2,255	$71	3¢	$65	-$5	09-25 09:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+178	$11	6¢	$10	-$1	09-25 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	20	$13.4K	42,127	42,127	+0	No	-$1,019	04-26 03:28
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$9.3K	6,044	6,044	+0	No	+$1,313	03-31 21:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	13	$7.6K	5,532	5,532	+0	No	+$656	03-31 18:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$6.0K	4,412	4,412	+0	No	-$33	03-29 19:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$5.7K	4,839	4,839	+0	Yes	-$274	03-28 09:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$4.3K	3,103	3,103	+0	Yes	+$282	04-04 23:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$3.0K	3,128	3,128	+0	No	-$47	03-28 09:15
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.4K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	+$363	04-04 15:49
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$2.3K	1,384	1,384	+0	No	+$288	04-09 03:14
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$2.3K	1,406	1,406	+0	No	+$264	03-21 11:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.9K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	-$79	03-22 12:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$1.3K	53,321	30,521	+22,800	No	-$362	03-31 17:22
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	5	$568	1,126	0	+1,126	No	+$558	03-30 10:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$269	1,680	1,680	+0	No	+$67	04-07 23:21
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	12	$146	1,210	0	+1,210	No	-$146	03-19 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	2	$138	131	131	+0	Up	+$112	09-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$134	125	125	+0	Up	+$114	09-13 22:34
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	5	$106	118	118	+0	Yes	+$61	09-25 09:14
will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	1	$101	300	0	+300	Yes	-$101	03-19 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:25 UTC	2	$97	53	53	+0	Up	+$9	08-31 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$91	80	80	+0	Down	+$51	09-10 11:54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	4	$71	2,255	0	+2,255	open	—	09-25 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$71	68	41	+27	Up	+$19	09-07 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$71	111	77	+34	Up	+$11	09-11 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$70	53	53	+0	Up	+$30	09-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$70	60	32	+28	Down	+$8	09-07 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$69	79	63	+16	Down	+$9	09-11 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$67	58	48	+11	Up	+$38	09-13 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$66	62	36	+26	Up	+$16	09-13 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$61	78	62	+17	Up	+$18	09-11 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 09:22:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	6¢	$11	0x38876b…
09-25 09:20:53	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	3¢	$12	0x09cd8b…
09-25 09:19:38	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xaefb7d…
09-25 09:18:53	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	238	5¢	$11	0x505ef0…
09-25 09:17:56	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xf0c7cf…
09-25 09:14:36	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	SELL	59	71¢	$42	0xc27825…
09-25 08:31:03	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	4¢	$14	0x84f221…
09-25 08:29:24	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	808	4¢	$28	0x5abadc…
09-25 08:28:48	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	SELL	59	71¢	$42	0x24c7f8…
09-24 13:25:59	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4a410a…
09-24 13:25:12	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	93	19¢	$18	0x19c6a5…
09-24 13:23:09	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xf0e5a5…
09-24 13:19:17	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	707	2¢	$16	0xec66bb…
09-24 12:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 25?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xe2d95d…
09-24 12:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x702ca4…
09-24 12:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xd6f481…
09-24 12:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8f3cbf…
09-24 12:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x29d69d…
09-24 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xa4d0f4…
09-24 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x6dc4c7…
09-24 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5e8135…
09-24 12:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xbf4016…
09-24 12:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x796c96…
09-24 12:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x32e371…
09-24 12:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2e558f…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xebcf44…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb56cec…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8a73a7…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x653ce7…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x4a1753…
09-24 12:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x48a2e9…
09-24 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xab5c06…
09-24 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xa4e93d…
09-24 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x790731…
09-24 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4b0ac4…
09-24 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x16d4b5…
09-24 12:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xd6c118…
09-24 12:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xa6d402…
09-24 12:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x8db138…
09-24 12:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x5bac7f…
09-24 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xea3c19…
09-24 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xce8abd…
09-24 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x9ca9e7…
09-24 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x7bff0d…
09-24 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x4593ce…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x53463a…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x4bd143…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x306df7…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x10942a…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x094a16…
09-24 12:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x012d47…
09-24 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xd2c9aa…
09-24 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x992ee8…
09-24 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x5c8ae3…
09-24 12:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x29d76c…
09-24 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xce65cc…
09-24 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc124f1…
09-24 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x552bfb…
09-24 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x19444d…
09-24 12:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x057802…
09-24 12:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf3ddcb…
09-24 12:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xd64183…
09-24 12:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xbe85e7…
09-24 12:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb36af5…
09-24 12:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x59890b…
09-24 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xec401d…
09-24 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xe8826c…
09-24 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xddf93f…
09-24 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x6d88a1…
09-24 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x4120f3…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xed0b15…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xc35977…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x4cbcd5…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x255ec7…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x128390…
09-24 12:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x0e8ce9…
09-24 12:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x558763…
09-24 12:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x3ba961…
09-24 12:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x281bbc…
09-24 12:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x18cfdd…
09-24 12:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x101e64…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xfdc08b…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xee19d8…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xdf4520…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 24?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xbd32ba…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xad22d3…
09-24 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x93fb25…
09-24 12:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x6cc961…
09-24 12:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x2ba71a…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc9ee40…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x758695…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5d74bb…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x2f4fe5…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x2d44da…
09-24 12:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x17d3dc…
09-24 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x7b3e54…
09-24 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3d97a8…
09-24 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x2aee1e…
09-24 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x28750b…
09-24 12:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xbd7cde…