Harsh-Dynamo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-29 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% -$1,062

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$1.4K	1,318	1,318	+0	Up	+$138	04-30 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$1.0K	886	886	+0	Up	+$224	04-29 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$734	613	613	+0	Up	+$334	04-29 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	6	$725	739	739	+0	Up	+$103	05-01 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$590	556	556	+0	Down	+$190	05-02 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$500	971	0	+971	Up	-$500	05-02 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$444	1,193	0	+1,193	Up	-$444	05-02 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$400	644	644	+0	Up	+$26	04-29 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$365	351	351	+0	Down	+$65	04-29 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$334	288	288	+0	Up	+$134	04-29 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$299	530	530	+0	Down	+$11	05-02 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$298	200	200	+0	Up	+$98	04-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$278	264	264	+0	Up	-$22	04-29 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$264	241	241	+0	Up	+$64	05-02 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$250	467	167	+301	Down	-$172	04-29 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$245	175	175	+0	Down	+$45	04-30 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$242	231	231	+0	Down	+$22	05-02 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$241	769	561	+208	Up	-$59	04-30 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$235	147	147	+0	Up	+$35	04-29 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$230	185	185	+0	Down	+$30	04-30 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$229	182	182	+0	Up	+$29	05-02 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$225	182	182	+0	Down	+$25	04-30 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$224	221	221	+0	Down	+$24	05-02 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$220	171	171	+0	Down	+$20	04-30 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$215	118	118	+0	Up	+$15	04-29 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$215	185	185	+0	Down	+$15	04-29 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$212	172	172	+0	Down	+$12	04-29 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$212	220	220	+0	Up	+$12	04-30 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$211	903	0	+903	Down	-$211	05-02 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$211	224	224	+0	Up	+$11	04-30 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:49:25	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x378573…
10-29 11:49:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x2fed01…
10-29 11:48:40	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc0d6e9…
06-22 09:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	68	60¢	$41	0x8910d3…
05-19 21:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xddb6c2…
05-02 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	971	51¢	$500	0x8ee1a3…
05-02 18:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	780	28¢	$222	0xac0876…
05-02 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	414	54¢	$222	0x90a768…
05-02 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,490	13¢	$200	0xf6ef94…
05-02 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	792	7¢	$55	0x777729…
05-02 18:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0xde54e7…
05-02 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x17492c…
05-02 13:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	182	71¢	$129	0x06000e…
05-02 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0cb090…
05-02 13:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	221	56¢	$124	0xb9889e…
05-02 13:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x8569dc…
05-02 13:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	556	70¢	$390	0x1298eb…
05-02 13:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x5a52da…
05-02 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	610	18¢	$111	0x8fe441…
05-02 13:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x13c1f1…
05-02 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xe197a9…
05-02 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	169	24¢	$40	0x31cee0…
05-02 13:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	241	68¢	$164	0xa31aa2…
05-02 13:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	241	41¢	$100	0x3d6bd0…
05-02 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	364	3¢	$11	0x333308…
05-02 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0x79a04a…
05-02 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	252	7¢	$18	0x471906…
05-02 12:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	252	17¢	$44	0x3c98a2…
05-02 12:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	278	49¢	$138	0x1e56a9…
05-02 12:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x4b2cd7…
05-02 12:43:10	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc7d8a5…
05-02 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	231	57¢	$132	0x6e5f62…
05-02 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x90d092…
05-02 10:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3b8341…
05-02 09:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x10980a…
05-02 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	102	22¢	$22	0xbef252…
05-02 09:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xd85700…
05-01 13:07:32	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x763ffe…
05-01 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	157	77¢	$120	0x506900…
05-01 13:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	38¢	$33	0x436393…
05-01 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xb156f7…
05-01 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	65	37¢	$24	0xad0614…
05-01 12:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x388964…
05-01 12:04:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc07442…
05-01 11:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	192	50¢	$96	0xbc544a…
05-01 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x8b114b…
05-01 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	127	24¢	$30	0xda01df…
05-01 11:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	232	63¢	$147	0xb0bc2a…
05-01 11:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x2ee297…
05-01 11:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	310	43¢	$134	0x923572…
05-01 11:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	310	36¢	$111	0xf5d990…
05-01 11:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	198	67¢	$133	0x6146d3…
05-01 11:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x9dae26…
05-01 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x11088f…
05-01 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0e674a…
04-30 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	137	63¢	$86	0x5b9a88…
04-30 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0x34343a…
04-30 13:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	256	50¢	$128	0x722cda…
04-30 13:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x1dd041…
04-30 13:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	88	66¢	$58	0x4a9013…
04-30 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0xe11b89…
04-30 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7f1bdd…
04-30 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x2c7e8a…
04-30 13:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	974	61¢	$591	0xd77d37…
04-30 11:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	182	69¢	$125	0x775703…
04-30 11:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x8e36a9…
04-30 11:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	185	70¢	$130	0xee2eae…
04-30 11:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x854d0a…
04-30 11:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	974	51¢	$500	0xf3e34e…
04-30 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	224	50¢	$111	0xd801a8…
04-30 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x966485…
04-30 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	273	9¢	$26	0x555ce1…
04-30 10:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x033d16…
04-30 10:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	220	51¢	$112	0x94ce0b…
04-30 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x4a8d5c…
04-30 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	175	83¢	$145	0x6df5cc…
04-30 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x6e246a…
04-30 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	366	27¢	$100	0x2d6b75…
04-30 10:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0x040eba…
04-30 10:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x718d1a…
04-30 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	561	16¢	$91	0x9c145a…
04-30 10:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xef118d…
04-30 10:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	545	18¢	$97	0x1cb9e4…
04-30 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3,092	2¢	$53	0xc199fb…
04-30 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,325	4¢	$47	0x02122c…
04-30 10:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x585cb7…
04-30 10:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	171	70¢	$120	0xcd7e30…
04-30 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x68cd73…
04-30 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x99b7e8…
04-30 10:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x9abf63…
04-29 21:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	120	81¢	$98	0x935efb…
04-29 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6d9b4f…
04-29 21:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	144	21¢	$30	0x1d218d…
04-29 21:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x83afa6…
04-29 21:15:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x89e725…
04-29 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	69¢	$86	0x8ea5b8…
04-29 21:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xe6d5c3…
04-29 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	102	83¢	$85	0xa2394d…
04-29 20:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x3ee088…
04-29 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	249	52¢	$130	0x47c450…