Vivid-Fix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$3

Other

34% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$15	97¢	$15	$0	09-12 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-30 23:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	07-04 01:28
bitcoin above 66k on august 16 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-14 21:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-04 07:45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-08 15:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-19 09:51
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-28 21:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 8?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-07 05:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	10-27 05:45
will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-19 23:54
ethereum above 2100 on july 28 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-27 17:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-14 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-15 19:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	10-10 07:32
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-23 02:56
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	04-11 02:29
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-17 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-18 01:21
bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	07-02 17:43
ethereum above 2100 on june 10 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-08 03:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	06-01 19:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 16	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-13 23:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-08 19:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-19 07:56
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-12 23:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-21 22:18
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-02 07:55
will bitcoin dip to 81k on september 24 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	09-24 21:14
bitcoin above 86k on april 24	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-23 01:44
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-26 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:45:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfb5761…
10-19 09:51:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc0d468…
10-10 07:32:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2c5403…
10-04 07:45:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe78f3a…
10-02 03:49:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x305026…
09-26 13:44:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0f4a67…
09-24 21:14:09	will bitcoin dip to 81k on september 24 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xad3e82…
09-14 04:01:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x931969…
09-12 19:41:36	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64cd34…
09-07 05:53:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x53ad61…
09-05 13:52:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x74cbaf…
09-02 15:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb3e3d3…
08-27 11:53:19	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x308c4a…
08-24 01:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0f3ba1…
08-22 19:22:19	bitcoin above 68k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe8ac91…
08-18 01:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe06cf4…
08-14 21:18:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4072c4…
08-08 15:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc0e408…
07-28 21:23:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x80de29…
07-27 17:18:16	ethereum above 2100 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa77833…
07-25 05:34:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf3b262…
07-21 21:10:27	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x068da3…
07-19 23:54:43	will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x58c8ea…
07-15 19:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf59b03…
07-13 10:11:56	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6831c1…
07-12 23:37:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5796c8…
07-11 11:09:26	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bcfb2…
07-08 16:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e6442…
07-06 21:40:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfdd469…
07-05 13:24:05	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdba822…
07-05 09:58:58	bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x36dbe7…
07-04 03:11:59	will ethereum reach 2000 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54fcb0…
07-04 01:28:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xa315c0…
07-02 17:43:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1b2b83…
06-21 18:14:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcec5b6…
06-08 03:14:15	ethereum above 2100 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5053c4…
06-02 22:36:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3af97c…
06-01 19:53:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x914db1…
05-30 08:05:41	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe1fe82…
05-26 23:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa4d26c…
05-25 10:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x65fac0…
05-23 02:56:15	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0aeb0c…
05-21 22:18:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9dbf99…
05-20 03:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xacbabd…
05-19 07:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb09a4…
05-19 00:10:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x77e8b4…
05-17 10:33:08	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6ec1a0…
05-13 21:23:29	Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28812e…
05-11 18:23:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x59eea4…
05-11 06:04:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x124cfd…
05-10 01:12:19	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeabec2…
05-08 19:28:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x76ab94…
05-08 04:12:24	Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x941274…
05-08 00:06:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43adb0…
04-26 16:12:22	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x60c06e…
04-25 04:50:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xbdc97e…
04-23 01:44:44	bitcoin above 86k on april 24	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x11949a…
04-21 15:08:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd2d548…
04-20 08:17:04	bitcoin above 68k on april 21	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9357ac…
04-18 00:16:04	xrp above 1pt2 on april 19	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x535b1e…
04-17 07:24:04	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ff8fb…
04-13 23:25:41	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7015a8…
04-11 02:29:03	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa2a498…
04-02 07:55:19	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9a4966…
03-30 23:40:09	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x61c48f…
03-20 04:11:33	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd43d66…
02-05 05:32:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x60d675…
01-30 06:08:38	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ccdca…
01-26 18:25:21	will solana dip to 80 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x43808f…
01-01 21:52:09	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8c5723…