Realized P&L
+$203
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
59
Trades
592
lifetime
Volume
$19.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$12.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 19:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
69% 95% -$34
Sports
17% 100% +$166
Politics
13% 70% +$70
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,736 $3,434 94¢ $3.5K +$61 10-26 20:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,717 $2,074 81¢ $2.2K +$116 10-26 20:40
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,966 $1,956 100¢ $2.0K +$6 10-26 19:16
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +799 $778 97¢ $778 +$0 10-24 00:33
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,841 $794 27¢ $754 -$40 10-26 20:47
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +689 $688 100¢ $688 +$0 10-26 18:25
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +296 $296 100¢ $295 $0 10-26 18:13
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +265 $265 100¢ $265 +$0 10-25 04:23
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +234 $228 95¢ $223 -$5 10-23 02:36
elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 360 379 No +207 $193 93¢ $192 -$1 10-22 15:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +192 $192 100¢ $192 $0 10-26 10:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +185 $174 93¢ $172 -$2 10-25 22:07
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +149 $149 100¢ $149 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +222 $211 66¢ $147 -$64 10-22 10:54
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026? No +127 $127 100¢ $127 $0 10-22 06:47
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $121 96¢ $120 -$1 10-22 02:46
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +104 $101 98¢ $102 +$1 10-22 03:10
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +114 $101 89¢ $102 +$0 10-25 01:27
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +100 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +96 $93 95¢ $91 -$2 10-23 15:47
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +82 $80 97¢ $79 $0 10-22 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +147 $132 48¢ $71 -$61 10-26 16:29
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +52 $50 96¢ $50 $0 10-22 03:46
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 $0 10-21 22:18
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 $0 10-26 16:00
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 $0 10-26 02:36
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $31 94¢ $32 +$1 10-15 16:09
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-26 03:33
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 99¢ $28 $0 10-25 21:08