Unnatural-Reputation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,213

lifetime

Volume

$472.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 0% $-5

Politics

8% 100% +$206

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	2	$23.6K	11,990	11,990	+0	open	—	02-20 16:25
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$22.0K	11,206	11,206	+0	open	—	02-18 20:37
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	29	$19.2K	9,687	9,687	+0	open	—	02-17 16:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	31	$18.7K	9,940	10,441	-500	open	—	02-10 16:25
btc updown 15m 1770135300	2	$14.3K	7,818	7,783	+35	open	—	02-03 16:29
btc updown 15m 1769994000	2	$11.9K	6,265	6,256	+9	open	—	02-02 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	5	$11.2K	6,068	6,068	+0	open	—	01-31 15:51
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	2	$10.5K	5,527	5,527	+0	open	—	02-13 14:09
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	5	$10.3K	5,301	5,401	-100	open	—	01-30 16:38
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	15	$9.9K	4,013	7,279	-3,266	open	—	01-22 19:52
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	30	$9.1K	6,568	6,568	+0	open	—	01-27 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	4	$8.1K	4,256	4,256	+0	open	—	01-24 07:54
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	2	$7.8K	4,169	4,169	+0	open	—	01-23 04:12
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	41	$7.1K	6,292	4,092	+2,200	open	—	02-07 15:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	7	$7.1K	3,760	3,760	+0	open	—	01-23 02:44
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	25	$6.7K	3,475	4,476	-1,001	open	—	02-23 03:18
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	8	$6.7K	3,703	3,703	+0	open	—	01-21 15:59
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	3	$6.6K	3,353	3,353	+0	open	—	01-23 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	30	$6.1K	8,211	8,211	+0	open	—	02-27 15:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	2	$6.1K	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	02-19 07:52
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	29	$5.4K	627	6,132	-5,505	open	—	03-09 20:52
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	7	$5.0K	12,640	2,454	+10,185	open	—	03-20 00:59
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	2	$5.0K	10,273	0	+10,273	open	—	04-03 16:49
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 240plus	2	$5.0K	10,010	0	+10,010	open	—	03-08 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	04-22 17:22
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 240plus	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-27 22:37
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 240plus	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	04-08 18:10
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-23 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-25 00:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-30 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:27:04	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x918d9c…
06-09 22:56:30	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9648cb…
06-09 17:04:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe3d045…
06-09 17:03:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0xa64908…
06-07 19:47:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x07517c…
06-07 19:44:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xf90251…
06-07 17:13:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	SELL	88	9¢	$8	0x4251ba…
06-07 16:53:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xdd9daf…
06-07 16:28:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x21a9ee…
06-01 19:33:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	359	9¢	$33	0x60d66a…
06-01 14:55:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,339	50¢	$670	0xc1b210…
06-01 12:52:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,339	22¢	$300	0x567f41…
05-31 21:59:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x8fa16c…
05-31 21:58:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	31¢	$108	0x2d7084…
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0xf127d5…
05-23 18:32:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	177	9¢	$16	0x53e02c…
05-23 17:55:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	30¢	$225	0x3d717b…
05-23 17:45:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	34¢	$78	0x15bc1b…
05-23 17:45:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa2a432…
05-23 17:22:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	925	27¢	$250	0x3b863b…
05-23 17:20:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xe74506…
05-23 17:19:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0xdf7c16…
05-23 17:16:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xc5d482…
05-23 17:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xcca9e2…
05-23 16:08:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xdb612d…
05-23 16:06:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xa51e5f…
05-23 16:04:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	202	14¢	$28	0x11d458…
05-20 12:09:59	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x0db79e…
05-20 11:45:57	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x154b26…
05-20 11:40:47	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x96268b…
05-20 11:40:33	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa20dcc…
05-20 11:30:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7f4ed…
05-20 11:26:35	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf67511…
05-20 11:24:26	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0x3dd7b4…
05-20 11:22:58	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0ba53…
05-20 11:08:20	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3999ad…
05-20 10:54:00	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa7ffad…
05-20 08:55:30	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x83fe41…
05-20 07:43:14	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xa5bd56…
05-20 07:33:19	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xf2f8d0…
05-20 07:30:53	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x623f9c…
05-20 07:30:46	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xacd3dd…
05-20 07:30:24	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7abdc0…
05-20 07:29:49	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x89f238…
05-20 07:29:12	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x9efda2…
05-20 07:27:32	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xbf2c0c…
05-20 07:27:22	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xa3735b…
05-20 07:27:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0xb67072…
05-20 07:27:09	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x624810…
05-20 07:26:40	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa3ab58…
05-20 07:26:34	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	239	99¢	$238	0x686740…
05-20 07:26:15	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x9e1dd6…
05-20 07:26:06	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xefd84b…
05-20 07:21:47	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0b7397…
05-20 07:20:36	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7c7edb…
05-20 07:19:08	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$52	0x7ab675…
05-20 07:17:35	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x2a607c…
05-20 07:17:28	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x940ad0…
05-20 07:17:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x4bfeb5…
05-20 07:15:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xc6c70b…
05-20 07:10:11	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x47d799…
05-20 07:10:02	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x90580a…
05-20 07:09:36	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x12f46b…
05-20 07:09:17	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x168d06…
05-20 07:09:10	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x64e008…
05-20 07:07:33	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2,015	100¢	$2,011	0x3c7641…
05-20 07:07:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x02486e…
05-20 07:06:22	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8cf646…
05-20 07:05:41	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5c0baf…
05-20 07:05:24	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xe1fe73…
05-20 07:04:45	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2bc41…
05-20 07:02:22	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1193ec…
05-20 07:01:01	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2432e3…
05-20 06:58:08	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9a18f9…
05-20 06:56:53	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc80a87…
05-20 06:56:37	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfa3a7e…
05-20 06:54:08	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$87	0xd2d233…
05-20 06:53:47	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5d3943…
05-20 06:53:35	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0xf375cf…
05-20 06:53:26	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e5ee8…
05-20 06:51:50	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31275b…
05-20 06:51:17	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x2ce425…
05-20 06:48:59	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x03965f…
05-20 06:48:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x272ebb…
05-20 06:44:33	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0xf5dfca…
05-20 06:43:52	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x8a2777…
05-14 12:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,800	1¢	$30	0xf0fce8…
05-10 18:45:09	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x713f6a…
05-08 18:21:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	384	25¢	$96	0xf6a941…
05-08 18:21:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	25¢	$48	0xd1c8a2…
05-08 18:21:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x6c2013…
05-08 18:21:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x29965c…
05-08 18:21:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x25649f…
05-08 18:21:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x57a77f…
05-08 18:20:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x74a07b…
05-08 18:20:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	25¢	$100	0xb33477…
05-08 18:20:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8462d1…
05-08 18:20:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	25¢	$67	0x1a39d0…
05-08 18:20:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x192f52…
05-08 18:20:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xfd3be5…