Unnatural-Reputation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$201

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,286

lifetime

Volume

$508.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-06 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 0% $-5

Politics

12% 100% +$206

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	2	$23.6K	11,990	11,990	+0	open	—	02-20 16:25
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$22.0K	11,206	11,206	+0	open	—	02-18 20:37
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	29	$19.2K	9,687	9,687	+0	open	—	02-17 16:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	31	$18.7K	9,940	10,441	-500	open	—	02-10 16:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$16.1K	8,644	9,644	-1,000	open	—	06-16 20:02
btc updown 15m 1770135300	2	$14.3K	7,818	7,783	+35	open	—	02-03 16:29
btc updown 15m 1769994000	2	$11.9K	6,265	6,256	+9	open	—	02-02 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	5	$11.2K	6,068	6,068	+0	open	—	01-31 15:51
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	2	$10.5K	5,527	5,527	+0	open	—	02-13 14:09
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	5	$10.3K	5,301	5,401	-100	open	—	01-30 16:38
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	15	$9.9K	4,013	7,279	-3,266	open	—	01-22 19:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	3	$9.8K	5,437	5,437	+0	open	—	06-12 17:32
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	30	$9.1K	6,568	6,568	+0	open	—	01-27 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	4	$8.1K	4,256	4,256	+0	open	—	01-24 07:54
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	2	$7.8K	4,169	4,169	+0	open	—	01-23 04:12
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	41	$7.1K	6,292	4,092	+2,200	open	—	02-07 15:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	7	$7.1K	3,760	3,760	+0	open	—	01-23 02:44
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	25	$6.7K	3,475	4,476	-1,001	open	—	02-23 03:18
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	8	$6.7K	3,703	3,703	+0	open	—	01-21 15:59
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	3	$6.6K	3,353	3,353	+0	open	—	01-23 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	30	$6.1K	8,211	8,211	+0	open	—	02-27 15:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	2	$6.1K	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	02-19 07:52
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	29	$5.4K	627	6,132	-5,505	open	—	03-09 20:52
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	7	$5.0K	12,640	2,454	+10,185	open	—	03-20 00:59
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	2	$5.0K	10,273	0	+10,273	open	—	04-03 16:49
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 240plus	2	$5.0K	10,010	0	+10,010	open	—	03-08 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	04-22 17:22
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 240plus	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-27 22:37
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-23 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	03-25 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 20:08:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x51c473…
08-06 18:53:15	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	SELL	76	60¢	$46	0x287c54…
08-06 17:51:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x748f16…
08-06 10:28:45	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0x5353e5…
08-01 12:33:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xd2d694…
07-31 15:15:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0x38ee5a…
07-30 23:10:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x5e0b32…
07-30 10:00:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0be885…
07-29 16:23:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x36a669…
07-29 15:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x25e6b8…
07-28 23:07:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	208	62¢	$129	0x02ef76…
07-28 22:00:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	208	58¢	$120	0x97ac00…
07-23 19:37:37	uel bes mid 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	231	89¢	$206	0x55e883…
07-23 19:34:30	uel bes mid 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6605fe…
07-23 19:34:09	uel bes mid 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x697c97…
07-22 18:56:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xfeaef4…
07-22 15:55:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x915601…
06-28 03:59:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x41fa52…
06-28 03:10:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xdba02b…
06-26 14:10:09	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x394031…
06-26 11:05:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xfe79ca…
06-26 11:05:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x4a2189…
06-25 03:36:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x3353f8…
06-24 19:58:01	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x82d12f…
06-24 19:57:56	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	No	SELL	34	75¢	$25	0x3d4c10…
06-24 19:52:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0x1ece43…
06-24 19:26:32	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x2da3f7…
06-24 19:25:17	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xfc836e…
06-24 09:37:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	313	2¢	$6	0x070cac…
06-24 08:34:23	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	111	31¢	$35	0x056634…
06-23 16:13:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	152	18¢	$27	0x095915…
06-23 16:08:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x06e155…
06-21 17:21:08	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$85	0x6c175e…
06-21 16:26:40	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,329	4¢	$100	0x12c33f…
06-21 16:12:16	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	171	4¢	$7	0xa7f50c…
06-21 15:32:43	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	2,781	5¢	$139	0xe21e5e…
06-21 07:53:44	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	650	5¢	$32	0x6d1140…
06-21 07:44:02	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,061	5¢	$50	0x833594…
06-21 07:42:01	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,070	5¢	$50	0xb8b97e…
06-18 14:30:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	292	66¢	$193	0x3cd43f…
06-18 14:29:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x4864aa…
06-18 13:02:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	297	61¢	$181	0xb73f82…
06-18 12:59:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x318ebf…
06-17 16:41:41	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	648	82¢	$529	0xb253f2…
06-17 16:02:50	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	648	77¢	$500	0x9ff542…
06-17 10:53:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	869	73¢	$634	0xe3ba65…
06-17 10:53:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	1,000	73¢	$730	0xdcd293…
06-17 10:53:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x42b658…
06-17 10:53:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	122	73¢	$89	0xaa2869…
06-17 10:31:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	1,978	70¢	$1,385	0x0dc906…
06-17 10:31:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xcd35c6…
06-17 10:30:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x9da289…
06-17 10:30:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xdc24f5…
06-16 20:02:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	8,644	100¢	$8,601	0x511d35…
06-15 01:09:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,344	80¢	$6,675	0xc9ebe1…
06-15 01:08:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	295	80¢	$236	0x0c536d…
06-15 01:07:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x953c4d…
06-14 21:27:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,000	54¢	$537	0x5e5dd8…
06-14 20:08:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x412770…
06-14 04:58:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,147	26¢	$300	0x2de119…
06-12 17:32:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	5,437	92¢	$5,002	0xeff544…
06-12 16:54:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5,022	89¢	$4,470	0x62569f…
06-12 16:52:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	414	88¢	$365	0x0b96ce…
06-12 14:37:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x220e17…
06-12 07:40:51	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	82	74¢	$61	0xa4fe09…
06-12 02:33:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	968	8¢	$74	0xa5e506…
06-12 02:30:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x81adc8…
06-12 02:28:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0xb26231…
06-12 01:16:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	197	20¢	$39	0xcc580c…
06-12 01:02:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	197	20¢	$39	0x2e999a…
06-09 23:27:04	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x918d9c…
06-09 22:56:30	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9648cb…
06-09 17:04:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe3d045…
06-09 17:03:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0xa64908…
06-07 19:47:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x07517c…
06-07 19:44:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xf90251…
06-07 17:13:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	SELL	88	9¢	$8	0x4251ba…
06-07 16:53:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xdd9daf…
06-07 16:28:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x21a9ee…
06-01 19:33:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	359	9¢	$33	0x60d66a…
06-01 14:55:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,339	50¢	$670	0xc1b210…
06-01 12:52:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,339	22¢	$300	0x567f41…
05-31 21:59:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x8fa16c…
05-31 21:58:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	31¢	$108	0x2d7084…
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0xf127d5…
05-23 18:32:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	177	9¢	$16	0x53e02c…
05-23 17:55:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	30¢	$225	0x3d717b…
05-23 17:45:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	34¢	$78	0x15bc1b…
05-23 17:45:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa2a432…
05-23 17:22:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	925	27¢	$250	0x3b863b…
05-23 17:20:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xe74506…
05-23 17:19:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0xdf7c16…
05-23 17:16:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xc5d482…
05-23 17:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xcca9e2…
05-23 16:08:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xdb612d…
05-23 16:06:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xa51e5f…
05-23 16:04:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	202	14¢	$28	0x11d458…
05-20 12:09:59	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x0db79e…
05-20 11:45:57	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x154b26…
05-20 11:40:47	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x96268b…