Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$228

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved (90d)

161

Trades (90d)

696

696 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$48.8K

$48.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-04

last 10-30 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 66% -$378

Other

5% 100% +$150

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+300	$51	3¢	$9	-$42	08-05 23:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 22:15 UTC	48	$2.9K	2,136	2,136	+0	Down	+$853	08-10 22:28
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	3	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$117	08-05 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	26	$1.9K	1,968	1,968	+0	Up	-$197	08-11 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 20:00 UTC	16	$1.8K	1,029	1,029	+0	Up	+$244	08-07 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC	29	$1.6K	1,621	1,621	+0	Up	-$287	08-11 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	5	$1.4K	802	802	+0	Up	+$174	08-11 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:45 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,171	445	+727	Up	-$496	08-10 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC	7	$1.1K	711	711	+0	Down	+$72	08-08 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC	20	$1.1K	783	481	+302	Down	+$30	08-08 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:00 UTC	7	$1.0K	631	631	+0	Up	+$225	08-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	17	$1.0K	619	512	+106	Up	+$114	08-09 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	17	$986	930	708	+222	Up	-$6	08-08 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 18:15 UTC	13	$976	606	606	+0	Down	+$176	08-11 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	5	$926	1,126	644	+482	Down	-$161	08-11 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	5	$911	638	638	+0	Down	-$119	08-10 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 21:15 UTC	5	$883	1,019	256	+762	Up	+$94	08-10 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 17:45 UTC	8	$843	1,202	1,202	+0	Down	-$422	08-12 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	22	$823	485	485	+0	Up	+$136	08-08 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 09:00 UTC	4	$804	601	601	+0	Down	+$4	08-11 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC	9	$789	489	384	+105	Down	+$77	08-09 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 13:45 UTC	13	$784	543	437	+106	Down	+$33	08-09 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 11:15 UTC	6	$664	368	368	+0	Down	+$64	08-09 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 22:00 UTC	4	$629	932	932	+0	Up	-$171	08-10 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:15 UTC	5	$623	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	08-08 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	10	$597	325	325	+0	Up	+$47	08-10 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 12:15 UTC	4	$595	365	365	+0	Up	+$127	08-09 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:15 UTC	3	$546	512	512	+0	Down	-$254	08-10 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	5	$528	293	293	+0	Down	+$53	10-28 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:00 UTC	8	$526	329	329	+0	Down	+$126	08-11 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:30 UTC	3	$524	493	493	+0	Up	-$233	08-10 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca1344…
10-30 17:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb02b3f…
10-30 16:58:45	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa5f756…
10-30 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd507ae…
10-30 15:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xcf7687…
10-30 14:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7e6312…
10-30 14:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x82296e…
10-30 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4f76f6…
10-30 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x383ea6…
10-30 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xc40537…
10-30 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x495e22…
10-30 14:17:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4fe66a…
10-30 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x6c89cd…
10-30 14:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x493c85…
10-30 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x402c72…
10-29 22:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xd77860…
10-29 21:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	926	0¢	$2	0x3258ba…
10-29 21:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$9	0xc428ba…
10-29 20:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfa27c7…
10-29 19:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x357c7d…
10-29 14:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xfa29c4…
10-29 14:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x80ae53…
10-29 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd38dd8…
10-29 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbbe471…
10-29 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x616a2b…
10-29 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x07871a…
10-29 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb16458…
10-29 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x88a0b3…
10-29 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc20a7e…
10-29 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x05e775…
10-29 11:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xfe8e6c…
10-29 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xc37cf1…
10-29 10:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x450ce6…
10-29 08:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x1a5e8f…
10-29 08:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x44f8b4…
10-29 08:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f3ebb…
10-29 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed4651…
10-29 08:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa2953b…
10-29 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb21a6c…
10-28 21:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x322b97…
10-28 21:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf0b6d2…
10-28 21:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x94ee64…
10-28 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0x6cd151…
10-28 21:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x8885a6…
10-28 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe28b68…
10-28 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x7c2f5b…
10-28 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x23e97b…
10-28 14:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	293	99¢	$290	0xfb6d18…
10-28 14:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x6571bd…
10-28 13:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x7c348b…
10-28 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0x7ebf4b…
10-28 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd61b0a…
10-27 22:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x7039a5…
10-27 22:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x05f646…
10-27 13:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0x584817…
10-27 13:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0xbe86cf…
10-26 20:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x627453…
10-26 16:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0xe48b3f…
10-26 15:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	209	68¢	$143	0xec6026…
10-26 15:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	40	46¢	$19	0xb8cc8b…
10-26 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb95416…
10-26 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9463f5…
10-26 13:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xdd1e40…
10-25 20:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xdcf024…
10-25 20:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x419111…
10-25 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x859a69…
10-25 16:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1da797…
08-29 17:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	221	51¢	$111	0x4c510a…
08-29 14:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x2a973f…
08-29 14:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xc1c95d…
08-29 14:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$30	0xd50ae8…
08-27 07:47:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	311	10¢	$31	0x1671b7…
08-17 17:38:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd318d0…
08-17 17:38:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x823634…
08-17 17:38:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x66c058…
08-15 14:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xae1f06…
08-15 14:45:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0e5f96…
08-15 12:26:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x097ac8…
08-12 19:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	633	40¢	$254	0x71995e…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf44344…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee1a82…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbc46ba…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x99d978…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x826e68…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x818057…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x507eff…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4efe9b…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4d3a82…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	50¢	$55	0x3f9610…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x38a854…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x36c769…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x35759b…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x29de7a…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x0dcddb…
08-12 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x04c8a3…
08-12 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	87	50¢	$43	0xec65bf…
08-12 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf7280…
08-12 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3999f8…
08-12 19:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd47155…
08-12 19:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x3500f8…