Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$190.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,975

lifetime

Volume

$230.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-15 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% -$97,187

Other

48% 7% -$88,592

Crypto

5% 19% -$4,298

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	444	$53.2K	19,210,939	0	+19,210,939	No	-$53,245	04-30 21:54
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	300	$29.2K	9,668,509	0	+9,668,509	Yes	-$29,090	05-04 00:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	181	$28.5K	9,630,432	0	+9,630,432	Yes	-$28,523	04-30 22:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	61	$16.2K	100,000	100,000	+0	No	-$3,753	05-02 12:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	42	$15.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$15,000	04-30 07:07
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	281	$11.9K	264,740	0	+264,740	No	-$11,941	01-09 16:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$10.3K	102,803	0	+102,803	No	-$10,280	09-15 18:32
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	42	$10.1K	51,366	0	+51,366	No	-$10,053	07-15 12:13
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	9	$7.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$1,800	07-18 21:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	16	$7.7K	1,626,691	0	+1,626,691	Yes	-$7,665	06-17 17:58
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	20	$7.6K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$1,141	07-19 13:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$6.1K	8,772	0	+8,772	Yes	+$2,632	07-24 13:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	18	$4.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$4,938	04-30 07:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	136	$4.9K	2,448,371	0	+2,448,371	No	-$4,897	06-17 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	236	$2.5K	3,232	2,999	+233	Up	+$1,342	07-31 07:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$2.0K	1,000,000	0	+1,000,000	No	-$2,000	04-29 13:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1.0K	1,000,000	0	+1,000,000	No	-$1,000	04-29 12:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	14	$1000	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$1,000	07-08 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:45 UTC	595	$1000	19,998	0	+19,998	Down	-$1,000	07-07 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:25 UTC	353	$1000	9,999	0	+9,999	Up	-$1,000	07-07 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:50 UTC	660	$997	19,938	0	+19,938	Up	-$997	07-07 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:30 UTC	325	$991	9,999	0	+9,999	Up	-$991	07-09 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:35 UTC	475	$951	19,999	0	+19,999	Up	-$951	07-07 22:38
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	8	$900	90,000	0	+90,000	No	-$900	07-08 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:30 UTC	224	$878	9,939	0	+9,939	Up	-$878	07-07 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:05 UTC	48	$579	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$1,421	07-31 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:10 UTC	124	$567	3,999	0	+3,999	Down	-$567	07-31 07:13
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	11	$485	2,991	2,991	+0	No	-$113	07-13 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:20 UTC	2	$354	385	385	+0	Down	+$154	07-07 22:23
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	7	$332	115,780	0	+115,780	Yes	-$332	05-02 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 18:32:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4e70a3…
09-15 09:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xb3241e…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0xf0e4d4…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xee116c…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xe5f26d…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	80	60¢	$48	0xdde1c2…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xdd7bad…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0xc8d2a9…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc3f3ae…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa78548…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	189	60¢	$113	0x9b491c…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x998ae8…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7f7cbf…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6d44dc…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x6cb196…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x681e6b…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x60b9a5…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x562e2e…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x560a25…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	90	60¢	$54	0x50e79a…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x465105…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x38d985…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x195999…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x0c58a3…
07-31 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x03187f…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xfb1ae0…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf0174d…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdc0780…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd589d2…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xcda483…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	60¢	$15	0xc962c2…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc7475e…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xbeb6e5…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xb44680…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	60¢	$12	0xad8751…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa0d6c8…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x89e114…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x78a9c6…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x6ec1d1…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	67	60¢	$40	0x6c2c2c…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x68cc6a…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6895fe…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x47739f…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x44e85f…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x373da4…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x35be6e…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2e747f…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x2c0091…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x293aa8…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x1ee2b8…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x1ecc9d…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x1dc3d6…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x18a1ab…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x146279…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1228cd…
07-31 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x03fdbc…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xff4bea…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xeb426e…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xe5b160…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xe59e19…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xdfb15a…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xdde661…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xd8338b…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xd42234…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xd36e9b…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd236d4…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xd0ad19…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd03f5f…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xccc06c…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc933b7…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0xc7a4a9…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc72fd0…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xc6bdfb…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xb9d3c2…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0xb9b5d2…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0xb63546…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xb5a850…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0xb07d83…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xae1a25…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xadf70e…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xad9ea4…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xab58a5…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa70302…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa591a6…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa08baf…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x9c5441…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x947004…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x8f8651…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8d3c3f…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8c6fbf…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x826363…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x7bfc7c…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x788a4f…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x75ba46…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x703288…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6f5875…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6f3f36…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x63568a…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x5fe1f3…
07-31 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x5ee3ee…