Daring-Cummerbund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-15 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

60% — —

Sports

35% 40% $-59

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$509	473	473	+0	open	—	04-05 00:21
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$265	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	03-17 00:29
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	4	$213	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 00:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$141	80	80	+0	open	—	03-11 23:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$100	159	0	+159	open	—	06-12 16:08
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$69	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 02:38
Lightning vs. Canadiens	2	$61	42	41	+1	open	—	04-25 02:25
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$50	938	0	+938	open	—	04-15 23:24
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	1	$50	128	0	+128	open	—	04-19 21:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	04-11 05:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$45	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 02:31
nhl car las 2026 06 06	2	$40	66	0	+66	open	—	06-07 03:10
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$40	53	0	+53	Sean Strickland	$-40	05-10 04:40
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$40	52	0	+52	Canadiens	+$12	05-08 23:39
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	05-27 16:15
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$28	50	0	+50	Sabres	$-28	05-12 06:55
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	04-26 19:57
Canadiens vs. Lightning	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 14:49
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 00:30
nhl car las 2026 06 09	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	06-10 01:56
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	05-26 00:09
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	37	0	+37	Canadiens	+$17	05-10 04:57
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	05-15 12:04
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-30 00:03
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 22:28
nhl mon nj 2026 04 04	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-05 01:41
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	05-18 23:35
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	04-09 02:05
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-08 03:58
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	05-21 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:36:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbfa710…
06-15 04:33:54	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3df833…
06-15 04:27:34	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xb9e2ed…
06-15 03:33:00	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbcfb8b…
06-15 03:09:51	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd3c032…
06-14 20:41:10	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x61ee62…
06-14 20:41:01	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xbb953b…
06-14 20:41:01	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8cc341…
06-12 16:08:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x9471b0…
06-12 00:31:22	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Golden Knights	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x7017bd…
06-10 01:56:07	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd13ae1…
06-07 03:10:12	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xff8981…
06-07 02:44:27	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x2ee029…
05-30 00:03:02	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x169516…
05-27 16:15:24	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xa26221…
05-26 00:09:54	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x00dea3…
05-21 22:37:16	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x2a4049…
05-18 23:35:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1446dc…
05-15 12:04:46	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x5e0f42…
05-15 00:30:10	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x508428…
05-12 06:55:52	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x7d73af…
05-10 04:57:57	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x917795…
05-10 04:40:09	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xf5c66b…
05-10 04:33:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1eabdc…
05-08 23:39:15	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb3fc84…
05-08 23:21:35	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd99e02…
05-06 23:00:44	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x679130…
05-03 14:49:10	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x648ca4…
05-01 22:28:24	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x8c1ff0…
04-30 02:38:28	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xbe961d…
04-29 22:40:44	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x021c2d…
04-26 19:57:38	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0b74d4…
04-25 02:25:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x3c91ec…
04-24 23:12:08	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x86d471…
04-19 21:41:40	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x40b51d…
04-15 23:24:00	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	938	5¢	$50	0x73475d…
04-11 05:04:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xfa32c9…
04-09 02:05:13	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xd3db60…
04-08 03:58:35	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xbc3600…
04-05 01:41:49	nhl mon nj 2026 04 04	Canadiens	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x359887…
04-05 00:21:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x81e5a1…
03-17 00:29:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	418	22¢	$92	0x73cc87…
03-17 00:28:57	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x8d456b…
03-12 18:43:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xc65bd8…
03-11 23:22:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xf1c84e…
03-11 23:19:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x689e6d…
03-08 18:26:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe3089f…
03-08 17:54:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x41bfda…
03-08 02:41:43	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xb37564…
03-07 21:45:47	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x476234…
03-07 21:44:31	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xaaf5fa…
03-05 22:48:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xe286b8…
03-05 22:48:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x77925e…
03-05 22:47:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xab6f25…
03-05 22:47:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x3b3d79…
03-05 22:47:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x802a6c…
03-05 22:47:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc88d7a…
03-05 22:47:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x64a136…
03-05 22:47:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x3d83fe…
03-05 22:47:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xa5e587…
03-05 16:19:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xdb3f5f…
03-05 16:08:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe0cef6…
03-05 11:33:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	373	52¢	$195	0x1c55df…
03-05 06:09:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xe6c554…
03-05 06:08:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	85	45¢	$38	0xb667c6…
03-05 05:52:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4ff74f…
03-05 04:42:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5734be…
03-05 03:07:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x2d0c6f…
03-02 16:29:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x329c11…
03-02 02:31:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8d23c0…