Cloudy-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

753

Trades

1,207

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 08-09 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 74% -$2,423

Other

5% 100% +$16

Sports

1% 0% -$218

Politics

0% 73% -$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	No	+$16	05-31 21:40
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:05 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Up	-$1,200	07-22 02:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:20 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,237	0	+1,237	Up	+$37	07-21 21:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,213	0	+1,213	Up	+$13	07-21 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	Down	+$14	07-21 20:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:40 UTC	3	$703	719	0	+719	Up	+$16	07-21 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:15 UTC	3	$643	823	823	+0	Up	+$43	07-22 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:10 UTC	2	$605	308	308	+0	Up	+$5	07-22 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	9	$585	605	0	+605	Down	+$20	07-21 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$538	294	294	+0	Up	+$38	05-12 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$413	217	217	+0	Up	+$13	05-14 14:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:30 UTC	49	$328	533	0	+533	Down	-$328	07-21 20:33
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	1	$320	423	0	+423	Up	+$103	07-18 16:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:35 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	07-22 21:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:45 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	07-22 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:05 UTC	3	$240	247	0	+247	Down	+$7	07-19 16:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:15 UTC	14	$237	229	229	+0	Up	-$167	07-22 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:10 UTC	2	$225	222	222	+0	Down	-$1	07-20 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$220	232	0	+232	Down	-$18	05-14 13:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 19:10 UTC	3	$211	134	134	+0	Down	+$11	08-01 19:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 21:10 UTC	2	$202	102	102	+0	Down	+$2	07-30 21:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:30 UTC	2	$201	104	104	+0	Up	+$1	08-02 18:34
mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	2	$200	225	225	+0	Athletics	-$200	08-08 22:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:25 UTC	1	$200	245	0	+245	Down	+$45	07-18 20:28
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:05 UTC	1	$200	240	0	+240	Down	+$40	07-18 22:08
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:50 UTC	1	$200	206	0	+206	Up	+$6	07-18 21:52
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:35 UTC	1	$200	203	0	+203	Down	+$3	07-18 20:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	4	$181	91	91	+0	Down	+$1	08-05 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:05 UTC	2	$163	109	109	+0	Up	+$53	07-20 22:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:40 UTC	2	$155	88	88	+0	Down	-$5	07-18 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xfb8ae5…
08-09 14:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4e1fdd…
08-08 22:55:37	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	Boston Red Sox	SELL	225	0¢	$0	0x912e9a…
08-08 20:41:39	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	Boston Red Sox	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x8c2918…
08-08 20:39:31	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 08	Atlanta Braves	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0xc3126c…
08-08 19:48:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x363266…
08-08 13:44:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xf424cd…
08-08 13:43:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa5ba88…
08-08 13:42:19	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 08	Atlanta Braves	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x72f67c…
08-08 13:38:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x39d6e9…
08-08 00:55:28	mlb tor phi 2026 08 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5f229c…
08-07 22:49:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x8c17fb…
08-07 22:47:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x98690f…
08-07 22:28:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x9545f7…
08-07 22:26:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa6e0ac…
08-07 18:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x095e9b…
08-07 18:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x55dd01…
08-06 22:18:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x0bebc6…
08-06 22:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x41c5e4…
08-06 22:04:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x217400…
08-06 21:54:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4067de…
08-06 21:53:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3e9f19…
08-06 01:34:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x048f3b…
08-06 01:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa2f5b6…
08-06 01:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:25 UTC	Down	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0xf5f199…
08-06 01:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xd6bfb3…
08-06 01:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe069fc…
08-06 00:59:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf8696d…
08-05 23:20:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xff72ec…
08-05 01:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0bd24b…
08-05 01:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x34c8b4…
08-05 01:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb56954…
08-05 01:03:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfccc37…
08-05 00:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xaa64ea…
08-05 00:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5ca41b…
08-05 00:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x087204…
08-05 00:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x289144…
08-05 00:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xe25d9a…
08-05 00:48:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x256602…
08-05 00:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xfc1628…
08-05 00:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3da067…
08-05 00:39:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x10d3a8…
08-05 00:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x8d56df…
08-05 00:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x614a47…
08-05 00:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	44	27¢	$12	0x6fb6e1…
08-05 00:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x4ad39a…
08-05 00:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc8ba98…
08-05 00:29:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xfbbf59…
08-05 00:15:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x23a2d9…
08-05 00:09:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa28aff…
08-05 00:09:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ac494…
08-05 00:09:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0404b0…
08-04 23:18:35	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x46a7d6…
08-04 23:16:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbae727…
08-04 23:14:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5378ba…
08-04 23:13:38	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xec8e31…
08-04 23:04:21	XRP Up or Down - August 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5279ef…
08-04 23:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5a09b0…
08-04 22:59:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9ff5da…
08-04 22:58:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb30ea0…
08-04 22:44:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb407ab…
08-04 22:44:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8385d8…
08-04 22:39:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfb6f35…
08-04 22:39:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xebb1a1…
08-04 22:39:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4aa2f3…
08-04 22:39:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3ed8e6…
08-04 22:39:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x65220c…
08-04 13:59:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf1451f…
08-04 13:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7d386b…
08-04 01:44:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd7aca1…
08-04 01:43:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0ee12c…
08-04 01:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x847328…
08-04 01:24:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2b3adf…
08-04 01:24:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4affd6…
08-04 01:24:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xddc9f9…
08-04 01:24:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x675d69…
08-04 01:19:51	Solana Up or Down - August 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5cea22…
08-04 01:14:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x37ab0a…
08-04 01:09:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x56c5a8…
08-04 01:09:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x05e0f8…
08-04 01:09:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5ffa70…
08-04 00:59:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2748b0…
08-04 00:59:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2d94be…
08-04 00:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x33f5f9…
08-03 23:29:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x95ea8c…
08-03 21:59:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2b268d…
08-03 20:34:44	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x46ce96…
08-03 20:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xd6fff0…
08-03 20:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x3ae042…
08-03 17:59:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8b0dc6…
08-03 17:59:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa40b85…
08-03 16:44:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2ed6bf…
08-03 16:33:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2fc486…
08-03 16:33:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x51c4c3…
08-03 16:29:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdb9c7a…
08-03 16:28:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xbf194d…
08-03 14:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x490cc2…
08-03 14:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa03d11…
08-03 14:19:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf584f…
08-03 14:09:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xce4e03…