Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

167

Trades

495

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 04-30 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 18% -$41

Other

21% 31% -$56

Sports

1% 78% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	21	$94	31,303	31,303	+0	No	-$31	04-28 21:36
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	15	$94	4,662	4,662	+0	No	-$4	04-29 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	12	$73	191	175	+16	Down	+$22	04-26 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$68	115	54	+61	Down	+$37	04-26 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$50	67	64	+4	Up	+$21	04-26 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$48	36	35	+1	Up	+$18	04-26 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	10	$48	180	169	+11	Down	-$4	04-26 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$45	3,244	0	+3,244	Up	-$45	04-25 04:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$34	1,000	1,125	-125	No	+$2	04-29 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$31	42	25	+17	Down	+$1	04-30 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$29	83	22	+61	Down	+$0	04-26 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$27	94	28	+66	Up	+$7	04-26 21:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	2	$23	59	55	+4	No	+$3	04-25 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$21	544	44	+500	Down	-$9	04-30 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$20	51	0	+51	Down	+$31	04-25 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	7	$20	22	21	+1	Down	+$2	04-27 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	5	$18	77	0	+77	Down	-$18	04-25 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$18	25	16	+9	Down	+$7	04-26 23:09
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	4	$16	330	307	+23	No	-$14	04-28 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	04-28 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$16	46	5	+40	Down	-$8	04-26 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$16	44	15	+29	Down	-$9	04-26 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$14	22	0	+22	Up	+$8	04-26 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$13	60	15	+46	Up	-$5	04-26 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$13	18	10	+7	Up	+$6	04-25 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$13	61	0	+61	Down	-$13	04-25 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	11	$12	122	0	+122	Down	-$12	04-25 04:41
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	3	$12	236	202	+34	Yes	+$4	04-24 20:31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 05:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 00:30 UTC	3	$11	23	6	+17	Down	-$1	04-24 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x02cee4…
04-30 18:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6d88f6…
04-30 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcddb8f…
04-30 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ca47f…
04-30 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa9e9f7…
04-30 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x1d670e…
04-30 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb675ad…
04-30 18:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x76e0b8…
04-30 18:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x3b6792…
04-30 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x303d46…
04-30 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x44260d…
04-30 18:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d580e…
04-30 17:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6b8cbb…
04-30 17:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xc4c23f…
04-29 23:33:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,125	2¢	$18	0x0a3d51…
04-29 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e73a8…
04-29 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb1230…
04-29 19:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9bb18e…
04-29 19:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd1c215…
04-29 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2fa1a9…
04-29 18:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2fe08c…
04-29 18:43:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	3,785	1¢	$30	0xd9e305…
04-29 18:39:26	Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x70bec2…
04-29 16:23:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x342503…
04-29 16:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa740da…
04-29 16:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2d0f5…
04-29 16:22:00	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	574	1¢	$3	0x444812…
04-29 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9c0d9f…
04-29 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x12c596…
04-29 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb40ace…
04-29 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x48a248…
04-29 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd45ce5…
04-29 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x80a58a…
04-29 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xea8843…
04-29 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x955621…
04-29 14:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a0db3…
04-29 14:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd5c211…
04-29 14:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf50ac7…
04-29 14:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcef17a…
04-29 13:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf93a14…
04-29 13:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x263fb1…
04-29 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x166069…
04-29 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x26b735…
04-29 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0250fd…
04-29 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x8d9ebd…
04-29 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5743a2…
04-29 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x451c2e…
04-29 13:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x976104…
04-29 13:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf63e2f…
04-29 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd0d0f1…
04-29 13:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6e9a9f…
04-29 13:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x29d914…
04-29 13:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf15b5f…
04-29 13:15:14	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc71b92…
04-29 13:12:56	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x07b6a2…
04-29 13:03:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0x26ffc6…
04-29 12:33:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa6acfc…
04-29 12:20:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xdfa177…
04-29 12:20:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	986	2¢	$16	0xeccc19…
04-28 21:36:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30,970	0¢	$31	0x3887fd…
04-28 21:32:14	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x81a9bf…
04-28 21:31:56	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	307	0¢	$1	0x467a15…
04-28 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d47c5…
04-28 15:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfec320…
04-28 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xaf65e5…
04-28 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x620437…
04-28 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x177a02…
04-28 15:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2435a5…
04-28 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa985a6…
04-28 15:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xac882a…
04-28 15:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5813e1…
04-28 15:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x360759…
04-28 15:12:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xc01707…
04-28 15:11:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2e3b20…
04-28 15:06:34	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0x2ab0ec…
04-28 15:06:26	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9b219d…
04-28 15:06:22	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xed3245…
04-28 15:06:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x0ade69…
04-28 15:06:06	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x4f0474…
04-28 15:06:02	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x8609b7…
04-28 15:05:58	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xb455ca…
04-28 05:55:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x6f8ef4…
04-28 05:53:30	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x6375f7…
04-28 05:53:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	738	0¢	$4	0xea69b7…
04-28 05:08:52	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0xf95844…
04-28 05:03:26	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,176	0¢	$6	0x663283…
04-28 05:02:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc56e1e…
04-27 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb45e36…
04-27 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xabe4a2…
04-27 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x8d22eb…
04-27 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9af53f…
04-27 14:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x15a9ac…
04-27 14:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf5aa46…
04-27 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0400fd…
04-27 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc582d4…
04-27 14:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xd9fbd4…
04-27 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x98042c…
04-27 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x791c38…
04-27 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x99223b…
04-27 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9e7035…