Trusting-Dancing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$51

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-17 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 0% $-1

Other

40% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+54	$51	94¢	$51	$-0	06-02 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	14	$2.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	04-14 21:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$1.9K	988	988	+0	No	$-1	03-21 14:58
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$1.3K	664	664	+0	open	—	04-12 14:38
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$1.2K	610	610	+0	Yes	$-1	03-15 22:06
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	5	$792	412	412	+0	open	—	03-10 23:47
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$772	395	395	+0	open	—	03-09 16:49
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$693	365	365	+0	open	—	04-24 16:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$690	363	363	+0	open	—	03-25 23:05
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$462	239	239	+0	open	—	03-30 20:59
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$399	206	206	+0	open	—	03-07 19:02
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$397	205	205	+0	open	—	03-06 17:19
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	5	$393	201	201	+0	open	—	03-10 12:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$390	199	199	+0	open	—	03-12 11:35
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$385	201	201	+0	open	—	03-12 23:55
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$378	194	194	+0	open	—	03-14 16:53
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$375	192	192	+0	open	—	03-17 16:09
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$374	192	192	-0	open	—	03-20 20:42
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$371	190	190	+0	open	—	03-20 08:33
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$364	189	189	+0	open	—	03-19 23:35
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$364	193	193	+0	open	—	03-16 14:28
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$362	186	186	+0	open	—	03-16 21:27
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$359	185	185	+0	open	—	03-22 22:32
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$359	185	185	+0	open	—	03-17 09:40
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$356	185	185	+0	open	—	03-28 21:42
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$354	184	184	+0	open	—	03-18 04:13
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$354	181	181	+0	open	—	03-28 14:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$353	182	182	+0	open	—	03-19 10:22
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$352	185	185	+0	open	—	03-24 22:33
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$349	185	185	+0	open	—	03-26 05:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$347	189	189	+0	open	—	03-29 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:37:55	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x681c96…
06-17 06:37:13	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x260783…
06-16 20:36:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xc4d741…
06-16 16:34:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x4ec3b5…
06-16 16:00:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xb47d4f…
06-16 07:57:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$55	0xd5128c…
06-14 20:53:54	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x6c3fe4…
06-14 15:50:49	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x0d7973…
06-14 07:34:19	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x92c68a…
06-14 01:33:42	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0xce7424…
06-12 07:17:12	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0xa99d21…
06-12 00:13:10	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x2e858f…
06-11 06:33:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$15	0xd93d90…
06-10 23:27:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5b3f9c…
06-10 23:23:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x3467ae…
06-10 22:49:25	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x0dc8c0…
06-10 18:42:18	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x162043…
06-10 12:24:43	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x0c4cdc…
06-10 06:22:51	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x473938…
06-10 05:45:18	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x38c155…
06-09 23:44:06	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x605fd0…
06-05 07:21:54	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	64	90¢	$57	0x5963ea…
06-05 01:12:42	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xc0db37…
06-02 17:17:54	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xafc72a…
06-02 16:45:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x634437…
06-02 12:38:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xbbcc38…
05-15 07:11:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x5a3bfa…
05-12 11:15:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x96fd33…
05-12 09:33:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x0d9b22…
05-06 04:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xc8065f…
04-28 01:32:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x76f0dc…
04-27 21:27:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x717487…
04-27 13:52:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	69	96¢	$66	0xa4c3cd…
04-27 08:47:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x8f6271…
04-24 16:50:42	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$161	0xd98289…
04-24 09:37:32	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	95¢	$161	0x959f34…
04-21 08:47:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x23efdc…
04-21 02:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$56	0xe95fc8…
04-17 14:49:36	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xa42f5c…
04-17 09:39:34	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xbd2d1a…
04-16 18:48:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x37ae55…
04-16 06:15:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x061a11…
04-14 21:54:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x68a1f3…
04-14 04:49:59	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x598b25…
04-14 03:23:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x91d6e5…
04-13 22:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x498aee…
04-13 14:19:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x9a9de2…
04-13 07:36:33	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2e0a37…
04-13 07:26:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x100655…
04-13 07:25:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe469d0…
04-13 07:11:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2e68b6…
04-13 05:10:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xe0d548…
04-12 20:17:17	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x0ba7fe…
04-12 14:38:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0xdca29f…
04-12 09:09:17	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xe213ce…
04-12 07:52:47	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x36f56b…
04-11 23:49:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x1be660…
04-11 14:30:25	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0xc50859…
04-11 05:48:03	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x6e02d3…
04-11 03:16:43	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x9f670c…
04-10 19:34:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xfc5043…
04-09 07:01:23	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xd70ea8…
04-09 02:53:31	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x7a1b53…
04-08 21:44:41	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x789c70…
04-08 16:40:29	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x462e38…
04-07 15:36:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xb3d2ae…
04-07 07:53:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$61	0x84cb6f…
03-30 20:59:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xa181f2…
03-30 15:54:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x3bf194…
03-29 20:13:50	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xff8260…
03-29 14:09:02	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xc24112…
03-29 13:54:12	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	189	90¢	$170	0xa1e55f…
03-29 04:29:42	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0xf10385…
03-29 04:20:26	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0x0348d7…
03-29 03:34:42	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	71	94¢	$66	0x6bfc88…
03-28 21:42:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	185	96¢	$178	0xe3291d…
03-28 15:12:15	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	185	96¢	$178	0x851c9b…
03-28 14:37:11	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$177	0x32cff7…
03-28 09:03:49	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x62176b…
03-28 08:56:55	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x958839…
03-28 08:51:25	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x38cdc5…
03-27 10:43:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	181	96¢	$175	0x1d8546…
03-27 06:29:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	181	97¢	$175	0xd8e1f2…
03-26 13:03:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xaf490e…
03-26 06:31:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7fade8…
03-26 05:01:29	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	185	94¢	$174	0x5ed3ff…
03-26 00:02:13	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	185	95¢	$175	0x1a4ab7…
03-25 23:05:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	178	95¢	$170	0x827600…
03-25 18:36:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	178	95¢	$170	0x492df7…
03-25 17:18:53	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	178	96¢	$171	0x640961…
03-25 13:13:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	178	96¢	$171	0xa71bfb…
03-25 04:33:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	194	93¢	$179	0x6af263…
03-24 23:06:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	194	93¢	$180	0x64935f…
03-24 22:33:27	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	185	95¢	$176	0x80fdc8…
03-24 15:16:21	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	185	95¢	$176	0x22e77b…
03-22 22:32:03	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	185	97¢	$180	0x5bc92a…
03-22 15:27:49	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0xc5050a…
03-22 14:19:27	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	189	98¢	$185	0xd57a02…
03-22 06:32:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0xca4c10…
03-21 20:59:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	185	95¢	$175	0xc0fb79…