Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
317
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$50
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-13 22:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
39%
Other
31%
Politics
22%
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$1 06-12 14:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 56¢ $7 +$1 06-05 04:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +12 $5 49¢ $6 +$1 06-10 22:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 06-12 11:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +51 $6 11¢ $6 $-0 06-13 18:06
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-10 02:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +14 $7 36¢ $5 $-2 06-13 15:11
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +55 $6 $4 $-1 06-08 01:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 $-0 06-12 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $2 22¢ $0 $-2 06-07 20:24