Lost-Octopus — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

20 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$42

$42 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 44% +$10

Other

12% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	+5	$1	100¢	$5	+$4	05-05 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	-4	$-2	100¢	$-4	$-2	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	+7	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-06 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$10	0	11	-11	Down	+$10	05-06 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-06 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-06 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-06 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	Down	$-2	05-06 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 6?	1	$2	0	4	-4	open	—	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-05 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-06 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 12:12
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	1	$1	106	0	+106	No	$-1	05-05 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 06:45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 13:17
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	1	$1	111	0	+111	No	$-1	05-05 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 14:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x012ec8…
05-06 13:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6917b8…
05-06 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdb8fe1…
05-06 12:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x07b519…
05-06 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe5ae8c…
05-06 11:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x747611…
05-06 11:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4e2010…
05-06 03:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1d2ef9…
05-06 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x422e5f…
05-06 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x0a48c9…
05-06 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xc98bc7…
05-06 03:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8237f5…
05-06 03:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x95cbcc…
05-05 07:36:06	Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdfca7d…
05-05 07:36:04	Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xfb749b…
05-05 06:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x92ccae…
05-05 06:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x089c25…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1ae405…
05-05 02:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x81e7d1…
05-05 02:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x184c15…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$4.29K	96	05-06 14:35
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$854	91	05-06 14:32
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	14	$590	54	05-06 14:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$7.27K	72	05-06 14:32
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	13	$826	75	05-06 14:32
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	13	$619	52	05-06 14:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	12	$926	23	05-06 13:15
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	11	$849	31	05-06 14:32