Cavernous-Lynx — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 76% -$13

Other

11% — —

Politics

4% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-31	-$30	99¢	$-30	$0	05-09 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$31	38	9	+29	Down	-$2	05-09 20:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$30	0	31	-31	open	—	05-09 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$25	68	0	+68	Down	-$25	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$21	22	0	+22	Down	-$1	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$16	18	0	+18	Up	+$2	05-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$11	45	0	+45	Up	-$11	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	05-09 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-09 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-09 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	05-09 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	05-09 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$8	11	0	+11	Down	+$3	05-09 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$5	05-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 20:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$5	05-09 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	500	0	+500	Yes	-$5	05-09 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-09 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	Up	$0	05-09 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-09 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-14 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5bb75a…
05-09 21:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0bfa60…
05-09 21:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x113f6c…
05-09 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x26088c…
05-09 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc31890…
05-09 21:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0d8714…
05-09 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1f3d99…
05-09 21:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x53c08b…
05-09 21:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa62586…
05-09 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x96cb11…
05-09 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x159708…
05-09 21:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x539aa2…
05-09 21:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x339aff…
05-09 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe6d18c…
05-09 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd544a5…
05-09 20:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3cf0f4…
05-09 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf13b7…
05-09 20:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8b5da1…
05-09 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfff8fa…
05-09 20:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2a05f1…
05-09 20:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x67073e…
05-09 20:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x85b2cb…
05-09 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x40873b…
05-09 20:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x210d7f…
05-09 20:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4369da…
05-09 20:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a73ba…
05-09 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2529d1…
05-09 20:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc26209…
05-09 20:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d9107…
05-09 20:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x09a646…
05-09 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x095a99…
05-09 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe044a7…
05-09 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd6612a…
05-09 20:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2fb9f3…
05-09 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x22a15f…
05-09 20:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x892fdc…
05-09 20:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x989259…
05-09 20:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdd66b3…
05-09 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xbaf4da…
05-09 20:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc8c147…
05-09 20:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9c1d2…
05-09 20:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x389057…
05-09 20:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe30be8…
05-09 20:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5c1cc8…
05-09 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9cca2d…
05-09 20:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc0a260…
05-09 20:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdf44ab…
05-09 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x54394d…
05-09 19:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44e115…
05-09 19:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa836d8…
05-09 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xefe358…
05-09 19:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x320653…
05-09 19:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xa3b88c…
05-09 19:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfdc7ba…
05-09 19:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd11a39…
05-09 19:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf3e2b0…
05-09 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x32e2e4…
05-09 19:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcd2e39…
05-09 19:30:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x06ada1…
05-09 19:30:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x17218f…
05-09 19:30:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x29af6b…