Glum-Glove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

128

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$105

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

50% 94% +$8

Politics

29% 100% +$10

Crypto

14% 100% +$2

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+114	$80	57¢	$66	-$14	10-20 10:37
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+40	$39	99¢	$40	+$1	10-29 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$207	104	104	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$206	104	104	+0	No	+$0	09-07 19:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 03:26
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	+$0	08-13 01:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$167	89	89	+0	No	-$1	08-25 11:51
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$107	109	0	+109	Yes	+$2	10-08 17:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	2	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	08-07 23:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$1	08-10 16:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$98	98	0	+98	No	+$0	09-01 02:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$93	93	0	+93	No	+$0	08-16 01:30
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$93	94	0	+94	Yes	+$1	08-16 21:41
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$0	06-26 20:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$1	08-14 00:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$1	08-20 21:59
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	5	$88	88	0	+88	Yes	+$0	09-04 09:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$80	114	0	+114	open	—	10-20 10:37
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	05-13 02:30
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	05-31 18:08
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	08-04 19:10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$53	114	114	+0	No	+$0	10-17 14:45
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in August?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-28 02:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-29 21:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	04-28 09:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$1	09-28 23:56
will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	03-31 08:04
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$43	45	0	+45	Yes	+$1	08-05 08:17
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	06-29 03:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	10-29 17:44
will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-31 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:44:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x746a10…
10-25 23:10:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xd3260f…
10-20 10:37:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0xe108f4…
10-17 14:45:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	114	23¢	$27	0x7fafa1…
10-17 09:22:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	114	23¢	$26	0x47c0b8…
10-08 17:50:39	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x940f83…
10-05 03:27:47	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdce149…
10-05 03:26:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x180cf2…
10-02 05:58:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd60f47…
10-01 00:21:38	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f78bf…
09-28 23:56:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xeeb885…
09-27 02:50:48	Will Solana reach $170 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd283b1…
09-25 12:37:02	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbe3c4e…
09-24 07:59:47	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8144e7…
09-23 22:29:43	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x89c731…
09-22 22:08:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x04a4cb…
09-22 14:59:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x581864…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x77e719…
09-14 16:42:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x37069f…
09-10 19:57:09	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x246045…
09-10 12:55:52	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xba1d95…
09-07 19:05:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x685cef…
09-05 16:02:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xcb1039…
09-04 09:14:15	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22b8d1…
09-04 09:09:30	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x34ca9e…
09-04 09:09:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5e82b2…
09-04 09:00:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f2504…
09-04 08:54:24	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7954c2…
09-03 06:22:52	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x535977…
09-01 02:54:07	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb1a65f…
08-28 02:43:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in August?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xfa9cf5…
08-26 21:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3b80c4…
08-26 19:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x54a071…
08-26 19:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 28?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x491de3…
08-26 17:29:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x354ac0…
08-26 08:36:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ff582…
08-25 21:11:00	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc79652…
08-25 11:51:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	94¢	$83	0xce66ec…
08-25 09:11:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0xd89d0f…
08-22 13:59:27	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47cc80…
08-22 03:13:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x62014f…
08-20 21:59:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	89	99¢	$89	0xae9620…
08-20 08:15:33	Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8599ac…
08-16 21:41:27	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xc97e2d…
08-16 20:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xb9788a…
08-16 01:30:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x03f868…
08-14 00:41:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xa4240f…
08-13 20:16:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x404f31…
08-13 08:47:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x427ce0…
08-13 01:21:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x76e409…
08-11 12:05:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x5b2f39…
08-10 16:51:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	99	99¢	$99	0x3f5342…
08-10 13:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0x2e7aa4…
08-07 23:54:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x27f7c7…
08-05 08:17:17	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x9f9886…
08-04 19:10:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x6a9101…
08-03 14:38:20	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa79e1c…
07-31 09:09:53	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x18e50a…
07-31 02:19:12	Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x328b00…
07-30 12:21:30	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc58ade…
07-30 02:00:53	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc64c0b…
07-29 23:48:39	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf4ce2e…
07-27 09:00:19	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbdafef…
07-27 02:24:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x7bcf3d…
07-25 16:24:09	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19a3e8…
07-24 06:18:55	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e0c04…
07-24 00:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x76207d…
07-17 11:28:19	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8ec0d6…
06-29 21:08:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf7e5a9…
06-29 03:11:26	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xab253b…
06-28 08:07:07	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xdaa3b8…
06-26 23:08:10	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf2cfa…
06-26 20:46:50	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0xb4be82…
06-07 07:41:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9a01fb…
05-31 18:08:40	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf75e64…
05-25 15:19:34	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a9eaf…
05-25 12:30:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90ab28…
05-13 02:30:13	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x5749e0…
05-11 14:22:55	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70658a…
05-07 20:13:20	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x021302…
05-07 09:27:53	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x885f26…
05-06 06:54:34	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b4bcf…
05-05 19:28:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x936804…
05-05 16:25:02	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91867d…
04-28 09:04:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfbb14a…
04-24 21:01:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe005ea…
04-23 09:02:14	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x20cabc…
04-22 12:01:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa3a961…
04-21 07:31:04	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1463af…
04-20 08:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x57cce4…
04-19 21:06:04	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcfef35…
04-19 14:43:00	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x777d49…
04-19 00:44:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c54f5…
04-18 00:22:02	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa00f9a…
04-17 17:12:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe92aca…
04-17 00:25:58	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd674d8…
04-16 06:09:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe4373e…
04-15 22:00:38	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5e9c90…
04-15 07:24:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x29a345…
04-06 00:04:01	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdf124f…