Unsteady-Bandanna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-30 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

64% 98% +$5

Crypto

26% 92% +$1

Politics

10% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	2	$210	105	105	+0	No	+$0	01-31 04:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$204	105	105	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 04:07
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	02-13 15:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	01-31 04:13
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-01 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-20 15:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-18 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-12 13:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-10 11:16
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	01-17 13:37
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-29 15:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:58
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-02 14:43
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-22 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-12 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-09 14:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 19?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-19 06:34
Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-12 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-22 13:55
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-24 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-22 13:54
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-18 14:48
Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-12 14:28
Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-24 15:09
Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-20 14:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-24 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-11 13:51
Will White House post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-20 14:22
Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-20 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:07:45	Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e27b9…
10-30 15:07:36	Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc75fe4…
10-12 14:28:21	Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x586333…
10-12 14:28:17	Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe2f5d6…
10-12 14:28:14	Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x421aa1…
09-20 14:22:34	Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc21770…
09-20 14:22:28	Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfca923…
09-20 14:22:22	Will White House post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa29fe3…
09-02 13:54:27	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x231ffe…
09-02 13:53:49	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1ea6b3…
08-24 15:10:07	Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5cf449…
08-24 15:10:00	Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb4711…
08-24 15:09:52	Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb97295…
08-09 14:57:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xf5dff0…
08-09 14:57:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xafeece…
08-09 14:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb168a0…
08-09 14:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e77d5…
08-09 14:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x222e35…
08-09 14:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23dfc9…
07-22 13:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x196495…
07-22 13:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56a984…
07-22 13:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b2b4c…
07-22 13:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7da904…
07-22 13:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb4956e…
07-12 13:36:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x592890…
07-12 13:36:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbcfe88…
07-12 13:36:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5cea1a…
07-12 13:36:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1933a1…
06-19 06:34:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c47d4…
06-19 06:34:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75b77b…
06-19 06:34:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30ab48…
06-11 13:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb46b48…
06-11 13:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31299f…
06-11 13:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x603ee2…
06-11 13:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x005013…
06-11 13:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6c9a6…
06-11 13:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ab3a4…
06-01 12:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5f9ae7…
06-01 12:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xadd927…
06-01 12:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dff05…
06-01 12:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9dca3…
06-01 12:52:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3d0ebe…
06-01 12:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9e9501…
06-01 12:52:35	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78a605…
05-20 15:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51e71d…
05-20 15:18:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb5182f…
05-20 15:18:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x57e0c8…
05-07 13:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc73ebe…
05-07 13:58:27	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x062de5…
04-29 15:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3bf3de…
04-18 14:49:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0b3bd…
04-18 14:48:48	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4919ec…
04-18 14:47:50	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd521ee…
04-01 14:23:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eda95…
04-01 14:23:45	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xff2388…
03-24 14:24:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 560 579	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5a724a…
03-24 14:24:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe29cac…
03-24 14:24:07	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6cdbd7…
03-10 11:16:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xec6040…
03-10 11:16:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa14acc…
03-02 14:44:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e84ad…
03-02 14:43:59	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3af997…
02-13 15:31:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x614f76…
01-31 04:13:36	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9e2550…
01-31 04:07:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	87	97¢	$85	0x65c6a5…
01-31 04:07:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xa3abd8…
01-31 04:06:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x2ad5f2…
01-31 04:05:54	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xdff299…
01-17 14:47:20	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc39ccc…
01-17 13:37:02	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x60dde2…
01-17 13:32:26	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4ddc39…
01-17 13:28:02	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xa000d2…
01-17 13:23:12	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2e0227…