Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$626

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

624

Trades

1,193

lifetime

Volume

$5.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$124

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-06

last 11-04 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Politics

36% 75% -$880

Other

35% 51% +$323

Crypto

18% 57% +$4

Sports

10% 33% -$63

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+140	$105	82¢	$116	+$10	10-21 05:21
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$3	88¢	$5	+$2	10-12 00:13
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+8	$1	46¢	$3	+$2	10-12 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$1.2K	3,968	3,968	+0	No	-$621	06-10 15:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$366	441	441	+0	No	-$314	10-25 23:36
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	06-13 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?	3	$160	169	0	+169	No	+$9	06-21 06:59
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	4	$136	90	90	+0	Yes	-$17	07-09 19:50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$131	107	107	+0	Yes	+$68	07-19 22:02
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	5	$114	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 05:40
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	1	$105	140	0	+140	open	—	10-21 05:21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$4	07-03 23:03
val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10	2	$80	110	0	+110	XLG Gaming	$0	06-10 20:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	4	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$1	06-15 15:39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$77	350	350	+0	No	-$52	07-14 20:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	1	$72	514	0	+514	No	+$442	08-08 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?	7	$67	42	42	+0	No	-$2	07-08 02:12
will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	2	$62	38	38	+0	No	+$2	06-27 13:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$60	71	0	+71	Yes	+$11	10-16 04:37
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$58	64	0	+64	No	-$58	06-15 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	-$2	07-10 02:27
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$53	1,389	1,389	+0	No	-$8	07-06 03:04
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$51	300	249	+51	No	-$24	07-06 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	2	$49	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	4	$48	66	66	+0	No	-$36	06-21 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	3	$45	28	28	+0	No	-$7	07-09 19:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	7	$43	69	25	+45	No	+$29	07-20 20:41
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	2	$40	36	36	+0	No	-$20	06-23 21:49
will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	2	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$3	06-27 13:00
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$32	20	20	+0	Mexico	+$7	07-01 03:44
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 23:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	2	$29	43	5	+38	No	+$17	08-10 18:05
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$28	99	74	+24	No	-$4	07-11 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xb5e185…
11-04 19:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6782b9…
11-04 19:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x364bd0…
11-04 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x27d96a…
11-04 17:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5c8830…
10-26 04:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x04e67d…
10-26 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3eeea…
10-26 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7931e…
10-26 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f70a2…
10-26 03:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x39c41f…
10-26 03:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7d8771…
10-26 03:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5d9c3b…
10-26 03:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3e674c…
10-26 03:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x07be0d…
10-26 03:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xf1e048…
10-26 03:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde044a…
10-26 03:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9c7525…
10-26 03:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6ecdd4…
10-26 03:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x08e143…
10-26 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe744ff…
10-26 02:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd964d1…
10-26 02:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf8f37b…
10-26 02:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e0095…
10-26 02:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x0922c0…
10-26 02:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5415ba…
10-26 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x59d787…
10-26 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d78b5…
10-26 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf5f555…
10-26 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x74fe84…
10-26 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb4cf9…
10-26 02:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x64b650…
10-26 02:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7164ac…
10-26 02:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeafc30…
10-26 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d97a6…
10-26 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf07f49…
10-26 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x823da2…
10-26 01:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xb489e4…
10-26 01:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf8dd78…
10-25 23:36:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	441	6¢	$26	0x0fd9f6…
10-21 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x49e953…
10-21 06:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x365df2…
10-21 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9d4446…
10-21 06:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35b301…
10-21 06:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x203a3b…
10-21 06:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf6cdb3…
10-21 06:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf1332a…
10-21 06:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xac3bd1…
10-21 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x225f1a…
10-21 06:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xedb89c…
10-21 06:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x13a5f9…
10-21 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x83ef05…
10-21 06:31:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7a55eb…
10-21 06:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xbb862f…
10-21 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x29cfa5…
10-21 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x3b0dfa…
10-21 06:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe0f96b…
10-21 06:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3304f5…
10-21 06:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x8d0ecf…
10-21 06:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7ad6b7…
10-21 05:21:24	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	140	75¢	$105	0xae1b65…
10-16 04:38:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	378	79¢	$300	0x238758…
10-16 04:37:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xda6cb6…
10-12 20:32:06	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2dbfd9…
10-12 15:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf157fe…
10-12 15:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x79566f…
10-12 01:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x49fc2b…
10-12 01:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe3c987…
10-12 01:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x565543…
10-12 00:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe4a674…
10-12 00:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x28b668…
10-12 00:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x357eaf…
10-12 00:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xdfd273…
10-12 00:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca49dc…
10-12 00:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe80b46…
10-12 00:23:33	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0cd500…
10-12 00:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf971c1…
10-12 00:13:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x50160f…
10-12 00:11:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x44ff07…
10-10 12:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf75a54…
10-10 11:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9bf2b4…
10-10 10:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd86ef3…
10-10 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c103c…
10-10 04:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb5656c…
10-09 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x84a9f6…
10-09 13:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2193bf…
10-09 13:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9ea7e4…
10-09 13:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b8ea5…
10-09 13:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x31edca…
10-09 13:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28c6bb…
10-07 18:04:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd12a3b…
10-07 17:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x28dc56…
10-07 17:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x462f1f…
10-07 17:35:22	Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35fcdc…
10-07 16:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb903e…
10-07 16:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6b3c9d…
10-07 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x65bcc0…
10-07 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x613bc9…
10-07 16:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe081f5…
10-07 16:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb0fff…
10-07 16:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x1911f8…