Offbeat-Pole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

1,782

Trades

26,034

lifetime

Volume

$2.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$1.06K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 09-27 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% +$44,730

Sports

12% 51% -$15,111

Politics

8% 46% +$1,171

Crypto

0% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	+1,078	$959	90¢	$965	+$5	08-02 03:57
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf be time person of the year 2026	No	+50	$47	98¢	$49	+$2	08-01 17:54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	+855	$86	4¢	$33	-$53	08-01 11:52
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	+174	$23	6¢	$10	-$13	07-31 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	256	$185.5K	272,554	84	+272,470	Yes	+$1,250	06-16 07:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	453	$185.1K	196,106	16,606	+179,500	Yes	+$7,112	04-26 06:51
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	286	$171.3K	241,722	5,375	+236,347	No	+$2,620	06-16 17:29
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	181	$108.9K	120,098	2,013	+118,086	No	+$956	06-16 16:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	273	$101.4K	134,867	18,652	+116,215	Yes	+$5,912	07-29 14:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	207	$92.2K	151,903	22	+151,882	Yes	+$2,880	03-13 06:26
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	196	$88.7K	94,238	1,320	+92,918	No	+$1,483	03-14 15:08
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	256	$87.0K	264,257	1,773	+262,484	Yes	-$750	06-16 07:28
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	333	$84.2K	102,588	593	+101,995	No	+$3,269	04-26 15:38
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	124	$64.4K	67,821	100	+67,721	Yes	+$1,876	03-13 06:26
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	357	$62.7K	96,770	34,619	+62,152	Yes	+$1,092	07-29 06:08
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	323	$56.4K	46,290	33,338	+12,952	No	+$1,622	07-29 14:27
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	269	$56.2K	71,570	36	+71,534	No	-$52,371	02-28 07:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	641	$45.7K	129,245	8,360	+120,885	Yes	+$24,538	02-28 08:52
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	827	$27.0K	52,920	5	+52,915	Yes	+$16,716	02-28 06:54
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	571	$23.3K	57,057	2,872	+54,185	Yes	+$26,962	02-28 08:57
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	911	$22.4K	49,666	375	+49,291	No	-$21,806	02-28 06:54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	95	$21.6K	37,407	1,202	+36,205	No	+$1,148	07-15 20:59
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	137	$20.0K	26,042	2,087	+23,955	Yes	-$1,738	02-28 08:57
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	88	$19.1K	36,285	38	+36,246	No	+$110	04-09 01:24
cs2 yaw guara 2026 08 04	284	$18.9K	36,998	0	+36,998	cancelled	-$370	08-04 01:50
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C	179	$17.7K	23,966	0	+23,966	Acend	+$6,060	08-02 11:32
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$17.2K	17,912	300	+17,612	No	+$422	07-10 20:50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$16.3K	50,186	2,000	+48,186	No	-$14,702	07-12 07:40
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	605	$15.8K	242,478	198	+242,280	No	-$11,997	07-11 23:38
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$14.5K	17,031	12	+17,018	No	+$264	07-12 03:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	404	$13.2K	81,842	42,094	+39,748	No	-$3,518	07-29 06:08
cs2 mzp js1 2026 08 03	132	$13.0K	19,968	0	+19,968	Metizport	+$6,954	08-03 10:51
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	27	$13.0K	16,277	70	+16,207	No	+$124	06-15 15:28
cs2 sf2 ef1 2026 08 08	116	$12.8K	15,001	0	+15,001	cancelled	-$5,263	08-08 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 16:54:21	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x0cf502…
09-27 16:54:12	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x96cbf0…
09-27 16:54:02	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x34317a…
09-27 16:53:53	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1fd977…
09-27 16:53:42	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x8d983d…
09-27 16:53:33	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xd934b0…
09-27 16:53:21	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x8d07e3…
09-27 16:53:12	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xf6ce9c…
09-27 16:53:02	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x734e48…
09-27 16:52:53	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xe8e0d4…
09-27 16:52:42	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1a1bbc…
09-27 16:52:33	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Texans	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x461823…
09-27 15:47:11	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	1,559	44¢	$686	0x52fd99…
09-27 15:45:24	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x18fdff…
09-27 15:45:15	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd1a9f7…
09-27 15:45:06	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xeb44bb…
09-27 15:44:56	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd4f86c…
09-27 15:44:47	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x9fca60…
09-27 15:44:38	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xb54399…
09-27 15:44:29	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xf3c7ec…
09-27 15:44:20	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xaee19d…
09-27 15:44:11	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x976b87…
09-27 15:44:02	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xa5bc99…
09-27 15:38:36	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0ef92e…
09-27 15:38:26	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5b1775…
09-27 15:38:17	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x93492e…
09-27 15:38:08	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x2de90a…
09-27 15:37:56	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc09cf8…
09-27 15:37:45	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x8fd0ee…
09-27 15:37:36	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xfcbea9…
09-27 15:37:24	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x08ba09…
09-27 14:45:26	Jets vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x2bf344…
09-27 14:45:17	Jets vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x61228c…
09-27 14:45:06	Jets vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xe43519…
09-27 14:18:41	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Dolphins	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x345c71…
09-27 10:21:11	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xbccbfd…
09-27 10:21:08	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x70de23…
09-27 10:21:05	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xfeabbb…
09-27 10:21:00	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xa1a751…
09-27 10:20:53	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x256128…
09-27 10:20:50	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xbfa4c9…
09-27 10:20:47	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd2813e…
09-27 04:57:11	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	219	48¢	$105	0xa2b5c6…
09-27 04:56:53	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	728	48¢	$349	0xe413be…
09-27 04:54:39	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	554	48¢	$266	0xf97b66…
09-27 04:53:33	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	554	48¢	$266	0x828881…
09-27 04:53:15	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	442	48¢	$212	0xf76209…
09-27 04:52:53	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	616	48¢	$296	0x8f0196…
09-27 04:51:21	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	814	48¢	$391	0xb85674…
09-27 04:50:59	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	645	48¢	$310	0x45de0a…
09-27 04:48:27	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x41aaf3…
09-27 04:47:51	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	432	48¢	$207	0xc4b514…
09-27 04:46:32	nfl min tb 2026 09 27	Buccaneers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x311df3…
09-27 02:30:44	Ravens vs. Cowboys	Ravens	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x0888b8…
09-26 17:01:56	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Bengals	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x680e9f…
09-26 03:15:18	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Bengals	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xd1a501…
09-25 15:34:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Bengals	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x714f77…
09-25 12:58:27	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xc2fd55…
09-06 15:42:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	50¢	$84	0xb10039…
09-06 15:42:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x9febb2…
09-06 15:26:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa40ee4…
09-06 15:15:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xaa0c11…
09-06 15:11:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x701445…
09-06 15:11:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x152d98…
09-06 14:45:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0xea3f02…
09-05 03:03:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x986445…
09-04 15:24:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0xd7dc25…
09-04 14:40:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xecb808…
09-04 14:40:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x9799f8…
09-04 14:36:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x36c226…
09-04 14:28:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	73	50¢	$36	0x35c894…
09-04 14:23:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	51¢	$33	0x47ebef…
09-04 12:31:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0xf1461a…
09-04 12:31:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3d1791…
09-04 12:31:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xd89129…
09-04 12:31:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x0ec405…
09-04 12:30:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x831d02…
09-04 12:30:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	47¢	$31	0xaf64d2…
09-04 12:30:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0x6d61eb…
09-04 08:47:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	104	60¢	$62	0x0136d3…
09-04 08:41:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0x7c0683…
09-04 08:30:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	60¢	$74	0xd72b9b…
09-03 12:33:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xf2ffd1…
09-03 12:32:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0xa91de4…
09-03 12:32:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xadf600…
09-03 12:32:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x166911…
09-03 12:31:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0xa829a7…
09-03 05:53:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	207	48¢	$99	0x9b3c0f…
09-02 20:54:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x8825f4…
09-02 20:35:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x8014b0…
09-02 20:35:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0x09a977…
09-02 12:17:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	62	42¢	$26	0x946019…
09-02 05:11:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0xab3414…
09-01 17:02:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x20a9dc…
09-01 15:30:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0x7603ab…
09-01 15:28:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x53874b…
09-01 15:28:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb95e02…
09-01 09:31:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xdb318e…
09-01 09:17:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x660c2f…
09-01 08:36:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0x2e1350…