Steep-Lambkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

85% 96% -$2

Politics

8% 88% -$8

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-29 16:34
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-16 03:09
Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-18 15:14
will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 18:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:39
will mrbeasts next video get 84 million or more views on week 1	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-28 05:12
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 22c	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	03-19 11:17
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-07 18:55
highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 10:37
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:24
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-05 16:24
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-17 07:09
highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 15c	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-25 11:15
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-31 23:59
nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 20 39	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 15:26
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-15 11:06
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-11 12:42
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-18 04:16
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?	2	$33	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-04 19:00
will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-27 17:01
will kpop demon hunters be the 2 global netflix movie this week 473	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-16 21:29
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 19:42
will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-31 19:26
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	07-04 18:49
highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 19c	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-17 18:25
will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 18:46
Will "Black Phone 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-25 13:06
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-17 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:07:18	Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x09ee0d…
07-04 18:49:07	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9bfa7f…
07-04 08:05:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0afb1e…
06-25 13:24:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x62e59b…
06-25 12:14:04	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe8cc6…
06-18 04:16:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3ff444…
06-17 14:45:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x5f38f9…
06-17 07:09:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x614b4e…
06-17 06:16:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x972b06…
06-15 11:06:16	Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd5f93f…
06-11 12:42:54	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe1a145…
06-11 02:36:43	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x5b918e…
06-08 19:42:24	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x422ef1…
06-07 13:53:33	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc5af1e…
06-01 17:37:02	Will Kevin O'Neil advance from the CA-48 primary election?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4310b4…
05-31 23:59:13	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4639e0…
05-30 02:04:12	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xceaa40…
05-29 16:34:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x51530a…
05-25 13:06:51	Will "Black Phone 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xee7b66…
05-20 07:39:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5497f3…
05-19 19:52:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x65219a…
05-18 15:14:24	Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb0d007…
05-17 18:42:54	Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe1b537…
05-11 20:59:48	Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbc9c94…
05-07 20:06:31	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd92bac…
05-07 17:44:30	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa597d3…
05-05 16:24:20	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9885a8…
05-04 22:23:02	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x605391…
05-04 19:00:10	Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x900be4…
05-04 02:13:50	Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xaae75e…
04-29 23:15:12	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2aaeed…
04-27 08:22:38	Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4fa9bc…
04-23 00:00:16	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 894	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cf58b…
04-16 03:09:48	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe29979…
04-14 04:22:17	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4ac7d0…
04-14 00:00:13	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x6b45f0…
04-14 00:00:13	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x285b5d…
04-11 00:00:17	Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd795d1…
04-07 18:55:11	will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa8e08a…
04-06 23:00:55	will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d92a1…
04-03 15:26:57	nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x82f378…
04-02 19:24:59	nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xfb59f0…
04-01 06:28:21	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x99ce2b…
04-01 04:24:05	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaeec6b…
03-31 19:26:29	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd78f35…
03-30 19:26:27	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1612f2…
03-30 08:48:36	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x87803c…
03-30 03:28:04	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf4730a…
03-30 00:01:52	will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x63e2c5…
03-28 05:12:07	will mrbeasts next video get 84 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x177241…
03-27 20:07:09	will mrbeasts next video get 84 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8e06c9…
03-27 17:01:29	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x192ae1…
03-26 14:40:19	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0a1978…
03-25 11:15:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc254b1…
03-24 23:00:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xeb8800…
03-19 11:17:35	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7d5225…
03-19 11:15:23	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x26ee07…
03-18 14:53:13	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bb6b8…
03-17 21:54:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 15c	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x216586…
03-17 18:54:23	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf53a5d…
03-17 18:25:53	highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 19c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfe422e…
03-17 16:05:13	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb29579…
03-17 12:05:59	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x86778d…
03-17 00:07:27	highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x58673c…
03-16 21:29:27	will kpop demon hunters be the 2 global netflix movie this week 473	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x03816e…
03-16 18:48:11	will jensen huang say data center at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5308…
03-16 14:11:15	will kpop demon hunters be the 2 global netflix movie this week 473	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb2e119…
03-16 10:37:59	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5b00f0…
03-16 08:03:51	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x346268…
03-16 03:50:03	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec5ddf…
03-16 00:39:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x584b0f…
03-15 18:46:53	will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xabae16…
03-15 16:09:29	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be between 8m and 8pt5m	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe20ca5…
03-15 08:24:09	will jensen huang say data center at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x057466…
03-14 04:12:51	will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc58bf2…
03-13 12:31:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x193c1e…
03-12 23:10:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfb9586…
03-12 19:17:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x148190…
03-12 00:16:39	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x710c23…
03-12 00:01:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x78dd2e…
03-10 19:15:19	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt0 or less in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8e66b0…
03-10 14:56:15	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2a33e4…
03-10 09:31:55	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt0 or less in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5180e9…
03-09 19:41:49	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1b980a…
03-09 18:58:29	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfe1064…
03-09 03:18:19	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x42db3b…
03-08 16:53:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x677bad…
03-08 10:38:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xedff5a…
03-07 19:48:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa6cf4c…
03-06 00:13:01	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4d0700…
03-05 03:19:31	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfa57ea…
03-03 09:09:11	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x45e024…
03-02 17:00:43	andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 160 189	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa7d214…
03-02 10:49:59	highest temperature in dallas on march 2 2026 72forhigher	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe455d1…
03-02 08:00:59	highest temperature in dallas on march 2 2026 72forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b2d3a…
03-02 07:18:37	highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 64 65f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbfcf66…
03-01 20:23:21	highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaf3d9b…
02-28 17:52:01	highest temperature in atlanta on march 1 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x84a058…
02-28 17:10:05	highest temperature in atlanta on march 1 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84d2e7…
02-28 14:26:13	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcca904…