Ill-Chaplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-18 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$2

Other

49% 62% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-10 05:40
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on May 23?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-20 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-14 02:33
xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-04 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on June 9?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	06-09 07:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 30?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-28 13:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 29?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-27 06:49
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on April 25?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	04-23 01:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 31corhigher	1	$89	90	+90	No	+$0	04-16 13:19
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 66 67f	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-13 05:04
ethereum above 1600 on april 8	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:29
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 15corhigher	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-05 03:03
highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 25corhigher	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-25 04:04
ethereum above 1700 on march 20	1	$88	89	+89	Yes	+$0	03-18 06:07
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 7c	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-16 00:59
will xrp dip to 0pt9 march 2 8	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-08 00:44
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 6	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-05 12:06
will ethereum dip to 1200 february 23 march 1	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	02-27 03:09
highest temperature in nyc on february 24 2026 40forhigher	1	$87	88	+88	No	+$0	02-23 10:53
will the price of solana be between 40 50 on february 15	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-14 14:03
will his hers be the top global netflix show this week february 10	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-08 09:03
will the price of solana be between 150 160 on february 4	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-03 05:48
will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 19	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-17 13:18
will xrp dip to 1pt4 january 5 11	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-07 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on May 17?	1	$73	73	+73	No	+$0	05-16 04:30
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week 831	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	04-20 01:19
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 31	1	$49	49	+49	No	+$0	03-30 02:09
will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	1	$43	44	+44	No	+$0	01-22 07:18
will star search be the top us netflix show this week january 27 2026	1	$43	43	+43	No	+$0	01-22 07:17
will black and blue be the top us netflix movie this week 468	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	04-20 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 12:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf91c89…
08-17 04:11:07	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc114ab…
08-10 04:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd94d05…
07-28 07:30:49	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdfe379…
07-22 14:40:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6bfaf…
06-29 09:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xef8358…
06-23 15:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x08640c…
06-20 19:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x00c7e7…
06-20 17:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x243717…
06-20 17:17:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe37765…
06-20 17:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x11b593…
06-20 17:15:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4156d3…
06-19 02:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9a26c9…
06-18 18:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	7¢	$4	0x179113…
06-17 04:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x57bc6e…
06-17 03:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x8f106e…
06-16 09:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x78354f…
06-16 04:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6e0e09…
06-15 23:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x912932…
06-15 23:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcc894c…
06-15 23:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xdd097b…
06-15 23:49:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x34291a…
06-15 23:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xaae2b3…
06-15 12:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xdbdfc9…
06-15 07:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x2e8111…
06-15 01:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8f6325…
06-14 17:32:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x24fe6a…
06-14 16:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x286704…
06-14 16:38:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf4dcf3…
06-14 16:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x501d87…
06-14 15:59:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8eeb8d…
06-14 15:22:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef68ab…
06-14 15:16:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xfd5a73…
06-14 15:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xf907b2…
06-14 14:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7b67c0…
06-14 14:32:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xfc57ea…
06-14 14:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x5986dc…
06-09 07:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2d2478…
06-04 04:35:34	xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x68d992…
05-28 13:43:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xabf1ff…
05-20 13:50:16	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on May 23?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xee32b3…
05-16 04:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on May 17?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xc06f5a…
05-16 04:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x514e61…
05-14 02:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0fd404…
05-10 05:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9ec862…
04-27 06:49:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 29?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbaf6c6…
04-23 01:40:50	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xda1ca7…
04-20 01:19:56	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week 831	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x899fb2…
04-20 01:19:46	will black and blue be the top us netflix movie this week 468	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8be9a0…
04-16 13:19:04	highest temperature in beijing on april 17 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x3b248f…
04-13 05:04:29	highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe1c38f…
04-07 02:29:01	ethereum above 1600 on april 8	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2322a2…
04-05 03:03:21	highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x0e3585…
03-30 02:09:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 31	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdeb166…
03-30 02:09:38	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 31	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4ede74…
03-25 04:04:13	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xbae46d…
03-18 06:07:37	ethereum above 1700 on march 20	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x61ebed…
03-16 00:59:35	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 7c	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xfe2264…
03-08 00:44:47	will xrp dip to 0pt9 march 2 8	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x105eb7…
03-05 12:06:31	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 6	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xdde016…
02-27 03:09:06	will ethereum dip to 1200 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0bb548…
02-23 10:53:22	highest temperature in nyc on february 24 2026 40forhigher	No	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0xc46fa1…
02-14 14:03:03	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on february 15	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x82de04…
02-08 09:03:37	will his hers be the top global netflix show this week february 10	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x54aaac…
02-03 05:48:06	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on february 4	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa6105e…
01-22 07:18:28	will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0xdfb2e3…
01-22 07:17:38	will star search be the top us netflix show this week january 27 2026	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xed8771…
01-17 13:18:56	will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 19	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x9a6d97…
01-07 04:11:47	will xrp dip to 1pt4 january 5 11	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xdddb86…