Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

670 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$161.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

$26

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-23 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

66% 25% -$240

Other

31% 28% +$761

Tech

3% 47% -$740

Sports

0% 57% +$6

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 37m tonnes at end of december 2026	Yes	+200	$16	11¢	$22	+$6	10-02 15:26
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	+20	$11	20¢	$4	-$7	10-21 18:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1	$1	36¢	$0	$0	10-21 20:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	23	$30.4K	18,000	17,999	+0	Yes	+$247	10-21 14:17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	37	$19.6K	18,267	18,267	+0	Yes	-$45	10-21 17:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	125	$18.2K	18,003	18,002	+1	No	-$66	10-22 14:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	39	$17.2K	14,390	14,390	+0	Yes	-$6	10-21 23:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	20	$12.3K	13,101	13,101	+0	No	-$118	10-21 23:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	8	$7.7K	10,486	10,486	+0	Yes	-$155	10-22 14:36
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	35	$7.5K	12,314	12,314	+0	No	+$7	10-22 14:36
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	20	$6.6K	3,383	3,383	+0	No	-$8	10-21 10:58
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	15	$5.4K	8,408	8,408	+0	No	-$36	10-21 23:31
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	21	$5.3K	2,844	2,844	+0	No	+$7	10-21 17:26
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	3	$5.1K	2,588	2,588	+0	No	-$10	10-21 10:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	7	$5.0K	9,650	9,650	+0	No	-$132	10-22 14:37
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	15	$5.0K	4,019	4,019	+0	Yes	-$21	10-21 23:31
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	39	$3.4K	3,724	1,881	+1,843	No change	+$191	10-22 14:34
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	17	$2.9K	5,944	1,074	+4,870	No	-$1,288	04-09 20:42
chatgpt outage by february 28	4	$1.8K	1,363	1,363	-0	Yes	+$899	02-26 14:12
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	9	$1.6K	979	1,169	-190	Yes	+$531	02-21 19:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	22	$1.0K	1,005	1,005	+1	open	—	10-22 14:38
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	22	$765	757	757	+0	Yes	-$3	10-22 14:38
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	25	$752	1,063	730	+333	No	+$230	03-29 02:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	11	$525	600	600	+0	No	-$3	10-22 14:38
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	3	$434	1,030	100	+930	No	+$632	10-23 12:06
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	1	$334	1,052	0	+1,052	No	-$334	03-30 15:41
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$279	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 14:38
chatgpt outage by august 31 2026 20260812155953998	9	$185	275	0	+275	Yes	+$90	08-18 16:19
ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?	10	$184	256	0	+256	No	-$184	09-10 05:24
another critical cloudflare incident by september 30 2026 2	7	$150	272	0	+272	No	-$150	08-15 06:36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	9	$143	301	0	+301	Yes	+$159	09-15 10:10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$138	100	100	+0	No	+$0	10-22 14:38
Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	12	$133	208	0	+208	No	-$133	10-01 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 12:06:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	68¢	$61	0x845c1e…
10-22 19:35:50	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x80dd11…
10-22 14:38:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	136	37¢	$50	0x323879…
10-22 14:38:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	90	67¢	$60	0xa28155…
10-22 14:38:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x1fec51…
10-22 14:38:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x42274a…
10-22 14:38:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	118	70¢	$83	0x02678f…
10-22 14:38:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	201	49¢	$98	0xd940c9…
10-22 14:37:08	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,833	23¢	$422	0x87602a…
10-22 14:36:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	486	67¢	$326	0xc225ce…
10-22 14:36:45	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	1,705	29¢	$501	0x5a49f7…
10-22 14:35:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	954	78¢	$745	0x38da88…
10-22 14:34:56	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	SELL	949	97¢	$922	0x5ccebc…
10-21 23:31:21	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	4,839	32¢	$1,538	0xd966bd…
10-21 23:31:11	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3,962	62¢	$2,454	0xc0ef96…
10-21 23:30:53	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	5,000	60¢	$3,004	0x53b2a0…
10-21 23:30:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,442	87¢	$4,735	0x4e2d8c…
10-21 20:59:02	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$125	0x632f7e…
10-21 20:58:20	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	700	62¢	$438	0xac6c77…
10-21 20:58:11	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	609	62¢	$381	0xaed2fe…
10-21 20:38:09	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	1,927	31¢	$590	0xd8f674…
10-21 20:29:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	486	66¢	$321	0x4dd8ad…
10-21 20:29:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	5,092	34¢	$1,731	0x4dd8ad…
10-21 20:27:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x572a52…
10-21 20:27:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x568245…
10-21 20:26:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,500	21¢	$320	0xde8ef8…
10-21 20:26:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	484	79¢	$381	0xde8ef8…
10-21 20:22:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x4d90a9…
10-21 20:22:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x1d754e…
10-21 20:22:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe3cc9c…
10-21 20:22:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	97	69¢	$67	0xbf36c4…
10-21 20:16:44	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xd57c70…
10-21 20:16:44	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	882	34¢	$300	0x7748ef…
10-21 20:16:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x4297d4…
10-21 20:12:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xf76904…
10-21 20:12:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$49	0x64a799…
10-21 20:12:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xb6f96b…
10-21 20:08:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0x6d47f5…
10-21 20:08:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x05e12d…
10-21 20:07:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xc4c6f4…
10-21 20:05:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x9eac5e…
10-21 20:01:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x13abf6…
10-21 20:00:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x36379d…
10-21 20:00:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	339	79¢	$267	0xf0588d…
10-21 20:00:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0xe40966…
10-21 19:59:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xf40f27…
10-21 19:51:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xfcfdb4…
10-21 19:51:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	171	47¢	$80	0xac9f89…
10-21 19:45:42	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	170	62¢	$106	0xee98a9…
10-21 19:45:41	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,415	62¢	$884	0xc6409d…
10-21 19:45:30	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	2,200	32¢	$715	0x72d7d4…
10-21 19:45:30	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0x154b7d…
10-21 19:42:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x3fcc39…
10-21 19:42:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	575	78¢	$449	0x3fcc39…
10-21 19:41:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x038d35…
10-21 19:36:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	460	22¢	$99	0xdb613e…
10-21 19:36:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$393	0xdb613e…
10-21 19:35:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x03cfcb…
10-21 19:35:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	250	88¢	$220	0x3d11c8…
10-21 19:33:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xff1ab9…
10-21 19:33:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	117	33¢	$39	0xff1ab9…
10-21 19:30:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x95b20a…
10-21 19:28:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xbf8d76…
10-21 19:28:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x7e1d24…
10-21 19:27:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0xddb1de…
10-21 19:25:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	2,000	35¢	$700	0x9ff6b9…
10-21 19:25:26	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	2,000	35¢	$700	0x25d82c…
10-21 19:23:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	118	53¢	$62	0x14d5a2…
10-21 19:23:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	71	47¢	$34	0x14d5a2…
10-21 19:21:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xf36421…
10-21 19:19:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	225	21¢	$48	0x7f49e9…
10-21 19:19:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	135	21¢	$29	0x906e71…
10-21 19:19:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	377	79¢	$297	0x906e71…
10-21 19:19:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x472ca1…
10-21 19:18:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	92	22¢	$20	0x0fde3b…
10-21 19:18:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x7252fe…
10-21 19:12:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	105	22¢	$23	0x3012ee…
10-21 19:11:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	116	79¢	$91	0x822e3a…
10-21 19:10:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,488	7¢	$104	0x3dda13…
10-21 19:08:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	183	22¢	$39	0x936a47…
10-21 19:08:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	362	22¢	$78	0x128817…
10-21 19:08:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	495	79¢	$390	0x128817…
10-21 19:08:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x076af6…
10-21 19:05:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x0c6360…
10-21 19:05:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x0c6360…
10-21 19:03:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	156	21¢	$33	0xd263eb…
10-21 19:03:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	511	79¢	$402	0xd263eb…
10-21 19:01:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0xc96c42…
10-21 19:01:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x683829…
10-21 19:01:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	641	79¢	$505	0x683829…
10-21 18:59:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	400	22¢	$86	0x696039…
10-21 18:59:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	547	21¢	$116	0x4675ba…
10-21 18:59:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$394	0x4675ba…
10-21 18:58:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xcb2dcd…
10-21 18:58:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xcd8ad3…
10-21 18:58:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x8254a2…
10-21 18:58:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	178	48¢	$85	0x8254a2…
10-21 18:57:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0xe98807…
10-21 18:54:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xf2790a…
10-21 18:54:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	344	21¢	$73	0x7b82d8…