Polite-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

297 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$51

$3.36K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-07 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 13:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:39
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:56
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:32
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:50
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 05:38
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:27
highest temperature in dallas on april 15 2026 78 79f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28d4e5…
11-06 10:05:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb83842…
11-05 00:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b11d7…
11-04 12:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd28fe8…
11-03 09:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe3260…
11-02 12:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76ebbf…
10-31 17:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5f66a…
10-31 09:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89ee3b…
10-30 09:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x285fed…
10-29 07:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xdd5606…
10-28 04:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f8228…
10-27 07:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd570c3…
10-26 05:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5505bf…
10-24 06:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fa1dc…
10-23 07:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5eb7d1…
10-21 08:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e5909…
10-19 06:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e8d9a…
10-18 07:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x216957…
10-17 07:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33d857…
10-16 05:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b7cef…
10-15 07:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x739a37…
10-14 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x020929…
10-13 05:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x404ede…
10-12 04:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x624d09…
10-11 03:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e6f94…
10-08 07:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f6387…
10-07 08:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795d6f…
10-06 07:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cbe52…
10-04 08:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc683ed…
10-03 04:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x710d00…
10-02 07:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41b737…
10-02 03:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e4c9d…
10-01 07:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe479cc…
09-30 09:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd4cda…
09-29 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a0cc7…
09-28 08:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a5ce0…
09-27 02:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9dcf…
09-25 07:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93a3ee…
09-24 06:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee8d33…
09-23 05:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84e913…
09-22 06:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84245f…
09-21 08:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e4f2b…
09-20 03:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc3d0e…
09-19 06:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcae91…
09-18 01:12:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc66cc…
09-17 03:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb94633…
09-16 08:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x581bd0…
09-15 23:36:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x101afd…
09-15 02:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe56f61…
09-14 02:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7c088…
09-13 12:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c47a5…
09-12 08:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6e006…
09-11 06:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd059e1…
09-10 01:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f2e75…
09-09 01:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71265f…
09-08 01:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85728a…
09-07 01:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40cd8f…
09-06 01:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2e168…
09-05 09:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc599e4…
09-04 08:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa49008…
09-03 01:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcec0d4…
09-01 01:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4d7bb…
08-30 01:01:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x529c16…
08-29 05:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09ee9f…
08-28 01:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceb550…
08-27 01:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbd2432…
08-26 02:03:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf07a10…
08-25 08:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8a394…
08-24 07:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3aa8eb…
08-23 07:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07891b…
08-22 06:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd99e57…
08-21 01:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x979c21…
08-20 05:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x409355…
08-19 07:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e1740…
08-18 01:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e5256…
08-17 06:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31626e…
08-16 10:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd86486…
08-15 02:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x761161…
08-14 06:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88cb9f…
08-13 00:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x067de4…
08-12 06:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa27dd1…
08-11 00:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87dae6…
08-10 00:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1323da…
08-09 00:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa58d50…
08-08 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb73c21…
08-07 00:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1c96…
08-06 00:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61f278…
08-05 00:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f74c…
08-04 03:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12b617…
08-03 01:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd65fe1…
08-02 00:24:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6468c…
08-01 00:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ea2f3…
07-31 07:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6af6f9…
07-30 00:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfda028…
07-29 01:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x942cae…
07-28 00:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90486d…
07-27 07:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf38c1…
07-26 01:10:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea46e8…
07-25 00:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2ea9…
07-24 06:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7985a1…