Dapper-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$616

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

Trades

11,070

lifetime

Volume

$355.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-08 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$22

Other

22% 67% $-1,252

Politics

19% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 3634 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No		+0	$-616	62¢	$0	+$616	06-01 09:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	19	$8.6K	9,396	9,396	+0	open	—	06-01 09:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$6.5K	6,667	6,667	+0	open	—	06-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$6.1K	4,832	4,832	+0	open	—	06-02 19:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$4.7K	4,904	4,904	+0	open	—	04-12 13:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$4.4K	3,171	3,171	+0	open	—	05-21 09:11
will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	3	$4.3K	2,809	2,750	+58	open	—	04-16 15:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$4.2K	3,713	3,713	+0	open	—	05-13 15:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,849	2,849	+0	open	—	05-13 05:57
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$4.0K	2,778	2,778	+0	open	—	04-21 19:46
highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 16corbelow	54	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-10 15:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$3.3K	3,302	3,302	+0	open	—	04-21 19:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$3.3K	2,278	2,278	+0	open	—	04-21 19:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,606	3,251	-1,645	open	—	05-31 04:49
btc updown 5m 1774413300	9	$3.2K	5,752	0	+5,752	open	—	03-25 04:39
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	2	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-28 06:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$3.2K	4,005	4,005	+0	open	—	06-10 06:37
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	2	$3.1K	4,393	4,393	+0	open	—	06-10 06:37
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$3.1K	2,121	2,121	+0	open	—	04-21 19:51
bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	2	$2.8K	2,660	2,660	+0	open	—	06-10 06:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	2	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-19 06:21
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$2.6K	1,730	1,730	+0	open	—	05-01 23:00
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 16c	103	$2.5K	3,338	0	+3,338	open	—	03-27 07:25
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	2	$2.5K	1,864	1,863	+1	open	—	06-08 08:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$2.5K	4,675	4,675	+0	open	—	06-10 06:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$2.5K	3,498	0	+3,498	open	—	04-06 10:41
highest temperature in istanbul on april 6 2026 12c	2	$2.5K	2,488	0	+2,488	open	—	04-03 14:46
btc updown 5m 1776867900	3	$2.4K	1,883	1,819	+64	open	—	04-22 14:29
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$2.3K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	04-01 14:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$2.3K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	04-21 19:42
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$2.2K	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	04-22 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:37:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	397	38¢	$151	0x0516eb…
06-10 06:37:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4,005	29¢	$1,162	0x40dd35…
06-10 06:37:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,675	11¢	$492	0x313e9e…
06-10 06:37:07	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	4,393	14¢	$594	0x86801d…
06-10 06:37:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	2,660	28¢	$753	0xc1a88e…
06-08 21:01:42	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	397	75¢	$299	0xc10388…
06-08 19:42:51	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,946	26¢	$500	0xe2014c…
06-08 17:42:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2,660	75¢	$2,000	0x0ff1e2…
06-08 08:25:55	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	1,863	81¢	$1,507	0x94602d…
06-08 06:40:51	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,941	68¢	$2,000	0xfac313…
06-07 18:59:45	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0xa29a37…
06-07 18:59:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,864	54¢	$1,000	0xadda19…
06-07 18:54:03	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	1,294	95¢	$1,225	0xc468d6…
06-07 18:53:13	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x02eaf8…
06-06 14:35:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	1,294	77¢	$1,000	0x63d6b3…
06-06 03:34:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	6,667	53¢	$3,543	0x4ecaf7…
06-03 21:27:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	4,393	57¢	$2,500	0xd17ca1…
06-02 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	282	70¢	$197	0xf02d89…
06-02 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,003	55¢	$546	0xdf9a89…
06-02 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2,034	62¢	$1,257	0xb2d597…
06-02 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1,651	86¢	$1,420	0xa6295c…
06-02 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2,161	84¢	$1,822	0x75daa7…
06-02 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1,020	82¢	$840	0x015b60…
06-02 19:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	43¢	$49	0x9a7239…
06-02 19:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,385	40¢	$951	0x1fc838…
06-02 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,295	43¢	$983	0x1e968d…
06-02 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x04268a…
06-02 18:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x451c21…
06-02 07:31:35	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	No	SELL	1,664	70¢	$1,171	0xd0ca07…
06-01 19:58:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	6,667	45¢	$3,000	0xef6752…
06-01 17:11:29	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	No	BUY	1,664	60¢	$1,000	0x7a0aa9…
06-01 09:13:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	629	49¢	$308	0x67de6e…
06-01 09:11:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5525f0…
06-01 09:10:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x701861…
06-01 09:10:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc7897d…
06-01 09:04:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x561bad…
06-01 09:03:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0x569ab2…
06-01 08:59:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7,679	49¢	$3,763	0x52b24b…
06-01 08:33:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xfc7eb6…
06-01 08:33:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xb3a714…
06-01 08:14:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x38e158…
06-01 08:13:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xe4ec94…
06-01 08:13:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd14760…
06-01 08:12:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x9c459d…
06-01 08:11:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	380	52¢	$198	0x61909b…
06-01 08:11:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	209	49¢	$103	0xec61e1…
06-01 08:11:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0x498b75…
06-01 07:07:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	724	100¢	$724	0x5baa42…
05-31 19:41:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x571fc8…
05-31 19:40:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x79b896…
05-31 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x9770b3…
05-31 18:04:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,005	50¢	$2,000	0x69cf6f…
05-31 11:34:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0xf0c0f8…
05-31 11:11:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0xca57df…
05-31 10:57:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,744	42¢	$2,000	0xb27525…
05-31 04:49:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3,251	71¢	$2,308	0x16d6e7…
05-28 17:24:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,087	48¢	$1,000	0xb4ca79…
05-28 17:23:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,587	39¢	$1,000	0x59e85b…
05-28 06:32:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,606	62¢	$1,000	0x92e4e0…
05-28 06:27:27	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x4ef361…
05-26 20:00:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	993	64¢	$636	0x8172a8…
05-25 16:19:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	993	60¢	$600	0xd3f911…
05-21 09:11:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3,171	76¢	$2,418	0x0c3718…
05-21 09:10:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0xc433dd…
05-19 19:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	84	72¢	$60	0xb02089…
05-19 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x3285ae…
05-19 19:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d9a38…
05-19 19:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	675	92¢	$620	0xa76f06…
05-19 19:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	675	73¢	$492	0xc6276d…
05-19 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,111	8¢	$84	0xd872a3…
05-19 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	179	9¢	$16	0xc1be35…
05-19 19:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xef1c9f…
05-19 18:17:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3,171	63¢	$2,000	0xab9d38…
05-19 06:21:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	SELL	2,000	74¢	$1,484	0xffa61d…
05-18 20:05:55	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0x765d8a…
05-18 06:20:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0x868a14…
05-16 16:47:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	38¢	$760	0x369924…
05-13 15:42:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0xc64b2f…
05-13 15:31:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,700	62¢	$1,054	0x747787…
05-13 05:57:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,849	70¢	$1,994	0x47ab8e…
05-11 20:14:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0xdda6ce…
05-11 20:01:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xb15849…
05-11 19:59:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x36e988…
05-11 19:55:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	583	61¢	$356	0x066af0…
05-09 15:48:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,849	70¢	$2,000	0x1aa455…
05-09 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0x50d785…
05-09 05:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0590e1…
05-05 17:48:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2,013	57¢	$1,149	0xdff6d7…
05-04 22:24:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2,013	50¢	$1,000	0xf4c44f…
05-01 23:00:20	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1,730	82¢	$1,418	0x84baf2…
05-01 07:04:46	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	1,864	65¢	$1,212	0x61d914…
05-01 06:47:52	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	136	65¢	$88	0x333b31…
05-01 06:46:18	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1,730	69¢	$1,200	0xe16cd2…
04-28 06:32:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	75¢	$1,131	0xba4bd8…
04-28 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xb175ae…
04-28 06:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf7a302…
04-28 06:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x46ad2d…
04-28 06:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x90571a…
04-28 06:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0xaf8033…
04-28 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x40225c…